Dark-Mention — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$883

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

64.7%

Resolved

3,122

Trades

7,550

lifetime

Volume

$33.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$87

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

91% 55% -$705

Other

9% 95% -$180

Politics

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 36 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	—	+80	$80	100¢	$80	+$0	10-28 08:25
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes		-100	-$1	6¢	$-6	-$5	10-28 06:21
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	—	-100	-$2	1¢	$-1	+$1	10-28 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	—	-100	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$1	10-27 17:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	4	$121	620	500	+120	No	$0	10-06 15:30
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	2	$110	110	100	+10	No	+$0	10-07 06:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	1	$100	101	0	+101	No	+$1	10-25 06:57
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	10-21 08:05
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	10-26 18:22
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	10-27 16:21
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	09-18 04:38
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	2	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	10-22 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?	2	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	09-20 15:01
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	5	$99	100	210	-110	No	+$2	10-13 07:04
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	10-15 17:19
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	09-27 09:11
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	10-04 19:42
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	1	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	09-29 05:37
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	2	$98	100	0	+100	No	+$2	09-22 09:21
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	1	$97	100	0	+100	No	+$3	10-18 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	4	$90	50	100	-50	No	+$41	10-06 15:06
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	5	$86	205	120	+85	No	-$1	10-03 05:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	5	$86	54	54	+0	Up	+$21	05-21 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$85	54	54	+0	Up	+$22	05-21 14:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	5	$85	54	54	+0	Up	+$22	05-21 19:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	8	$85	54	54	+0	Up	+$22	05-21 08:08
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	9	$84	54	54	+0	Up	+$22	05-21 18:09
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	5	$83	54	54	+0	Up	+$24	05-21 08:58
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	2	$80	80	100	-20	open	—	10-28 08:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	11	$71	54	54	+0	Up	+$7	05-21 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	6	$70	54	54	+0	Up	+$5	05-21 08:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	5	$69	54	54	+0	Down	+$6	05-21 11:52
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	5	$68	54	54	+0	Down	+$5	05-21 18:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	5	$68	54	54	+0	Up	+$5	05-21 17:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 08:25:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0xfe1443…
10-28 08:02:01	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x23588f…
10-28 07:43:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xf21c2f…
10-28 06:21:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe7c592…
10-28 06:20:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0x8618da…
10-28 06:20:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0xc09d40…
10-28 05:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x301571…
10-28 05:55:11	Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf676a3…
10-28 05:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5170be…
10-28 04:59:02	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x08ea33…
10-27 17:07:17	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xfd507d…
10-27 16:25:33	Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7796d2…
10-27 16:25:26	Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x33b53a…
10-27 16:21:30	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa44a3…
10-27 07:58:03	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xce7f8f…
10-26 20:20:27	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x47bd75…
10-26 19:10:09	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0xe18ff8…
10-26 18:23:30	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4e78e0…
10-26 18:22:08	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4613a5…
10-26 07:41:21	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	1¢	$1	0xe2f7d3…
10-25 06:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	101	0¢	$0	0x3f4570…
10-25 06:57:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 24 to October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xab71ea…
10-24 12:22:20	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe8c75a…
10-23 09:13:53	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb1f8d1…
10-22 18:14:12	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x51afe3…
10-22 16:43:12	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf417f7…
10-22 16:43:08	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3c9ced…
10-22 16:38:38	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	0¢	$0	0xbc4065…
10-22 16:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xc6e3c3…
10-22 16:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	85	100¢	$85	0x5274ef…
10-22 16:36:18	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x1c2b47…
10-22 15:58:00	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xa69afb…
10-22 09:13:38	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x03560a…
10-21 20:05:33	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9f20c7…
10-21 17:51:36	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3d0d87…
10-21 13:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xfa4e9c…
10-21 12:24:03	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x5d4fd5…
10-21 11:44:15	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xac6d64…
10-21 08:50:36	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x2c9cb5…
10-21 08:08:15	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x846029…
10-21 08:07:39	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb4b133…
10-21 08:05:11	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0338da…
10-20 17:14:41	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x13879d…
10-20 06:13:32	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xcf0e69…
10-20 06:13:26	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x8a78a8…
10-20 06:13:11	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 19 to October 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x96217b…
10-19 15:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x706d1e…
10-19 06:55:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x24b895…
10-18 06:59:59	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3737c4…
10-18 06:59:53	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x1fbdfa…
10-18 06:59:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x78fc62…
10-18 06:58:44	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x844c13…
10-17 07:20:59	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xa43a58…
10-17 07:16:05	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	1¢	$1	0xd5466d…
10-16 08:26:45	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0f31fd…
10-15 18:14:55	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x27b097…
10-15 17:24:47	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3e4bcf…
10-15 17:24:44	Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x7a27a7…
10-15 17:19:43	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 15 to October 17, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x64b09a…
10-13 07:04:31	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x15e1dc…
10-13 05:31:27	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0xbfa69c…
10-13 05:30:56	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	0¢	$0	0x93eed9…
10-13 05:30:54	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x546260…
10-12 19:22:38	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$0	0x5dc5c3…
10-12 19:22:35	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	1¢	$0	0x41bb10…
10-11 15:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xcc0e1b…
10-11 15:34:22	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa404f2…
10-10 04:11:25	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x03885e…
10-10 04:04:25	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xa1e1cd…
10-08 13:42:38	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0xad3ea5…
10-08 06:04:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xf4b60d…
10-08 05:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x8cc691…
10-08 05:09:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x9087e1…
10-08 05:08:29	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x56dbdc…
10-08 05:07:29	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0xb0447a…
10-08 05:01:43	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x6928ac…
10-07 17:15:38	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x61c9ca…
10-07 17:10:53	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xccf41e…
10-07 17:06:23	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x06464b…
10-07 17:05:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x71fd6c…
10-07 17:04:49	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$1	0xae84c0…
10-07 15:46:55	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0x99bee4…
10-07 13:03:50	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x01535b…
10-07 11:54:23	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	0¢	$0	0x548eac…
10-07 07:14:30	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xc06ff0…
10-07 06:47:56	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 5 to October 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x6ce6ae…
10-07 06:43:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xb8ea08…
10-07 01:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x0c0e59…
10-06 19:09:06	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x35c24c…
10-06 19:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4ebb5e…
10-06 18:30:29	Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xe039bd…
10-06 16:08:44	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xfb343e…
10-06 16:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x4ecef9…
10-06 16:01:56	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x6510f4…
10-06 16:01:20	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0x996f18…
10-06 16:00:54	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	103	0¢	$0	0xfc7392…
10-06 15:30:53	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	477	0¢	$0	0x017b2b…
10-06 15:30:41	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x344776…
10-06 15:23:47	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	2¢	$3	0xe85472…
10-06 15:23:42	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	110	7¢	$8	0xe6e03e…