Tedious-Tuber — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

38.3%

Resolved

Trades

132

lifetime

Volume

$14.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$108

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-28 07:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 65 days

Categories

Other

47% 0% -$3

Crypto

42% 94% +$19

Politics

10% 0% -$1

Sports

2% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$398	200	200	+0	No	$0	01-22 15:27
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	07-07 07:41
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	09-08 09:57
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	09-28 07:06
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	04-23 13:47
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	05-20 13:55
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	2	$275	138	138	+0	No	$0	05-27 11:06
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$274	138	138	+0	No	$0	04-29 06:56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	2	$274	138	137	+0	No	$0	04-14 04:57
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	2	$274	137	137	+0	No	$0	03-27 12:33
Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	2	$274	137	137	+0	No	$0	07-02 02:50
Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$273	137	137	+0	open	—	06-22 14:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$273	137	137	+0	No	$0	03-26 08:09
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$273	137	137	+0	No	$0	05-14 06:11
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	2	$272	137	137	+0	No	$0	06-23 01:52
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$271	137	137	+0	No	$0	03-30 08:38
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-07 12:29
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-02 11:52
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 120 139	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-23 06:05
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-04 12:53
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 600 619	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-31 06:06
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 200 219	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-27 07:37
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	01-18 10:57
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 140 159	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-17 13:50
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-23 08:15
elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-12 13:04
elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-16 05:22
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-02 10:22
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	03-21 12:36
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	2	$200	100	100	+0	No	$0	02-09 09:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 07:07:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x8a3a9f…
09-28 07:06:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0xc5c8ed…
09-28 07:05:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x2555d2…
09-08 09:59:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x07f2ec…
09-08 09:57:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x5e585a…
09-08 09:57:21	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x883ab4…
07-07 07:42:34	bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xf10988…
07-07 07:41:19	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x33dada…
07-07 07:41:11	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x36a713…
07-02 02:51:44	bitcoin above 56k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x6cd5c8…
07-02 02:50:22	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x9c575a…
07-02 02:50:07	Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xd9d496…
06-23 01:53:47	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x74752e…
06-23 01:52:43	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0x28ce7d…
06-23 01:52:14	Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x4de82b…
06-22 14:12:40	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0xc7ae9a…
06-22 14:12:10	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$137	0xe668af…
05-27 11:07:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x84eff6…
05-27 11:06:09	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0xa819de…
05-27 11:06:02	Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xc2215e…
05-20 13:56:25	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$37	0x81c2d2…
05-20 13:56:02	Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5a7aca…
05-20 13:55:34	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0x445e13…
05-20 13:55:25	Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xab7a79…
05-14 06:14:00	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xda605d…
05-14 06:13:26	Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	91	100¢	$91	0xc1cf98…
05-14 06:11:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	137	99¢	$136	0xde2d50…
05-14 06:11:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0xedbef5…
04-29 06:56:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 29?	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x37ab08…
04-29 06:56:12	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0xf14961…
04-29 06:56:02	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x2acdec…
04-25 09:16:28	Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 April 20-26?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xa69bd8…
04-23 13:48:08	bitcoin above 74k on april 23	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x1f99c3…
04-23 13:47:28	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	138	100¢	$137	0xcb99f0…
04-23 13:47:22	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0x7aa586…
04-21 05:40:56	will bitcoin reach 83k on april 21	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x6397c5…
04-14 04:59:01	will bitcoin reach 81k on april 14	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xa15ef6…
04-14 04:58:37	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 14	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xaf196b…
04-14 04:58:37	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 14	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6fe510…
04-14 04:58:33	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 14	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0xbdd450…
04-14 04:58:33	will bitcoin reach 80k on april 14	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0x5fd87a…
04-14 04:57:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0xbde040…
04-14 04:56:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xef58d9…
04-07 09:46:33	bitcoin above 64k on april 7	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xcf8e00…
04-02 08:31:25	bitcoin above 62k on april 2	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xa273c5…
03-30 08:39:00	bitcoin above 62k on march 30	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xeff383…
03-30 08:38:00	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	137	99¢	$135	0xf734c1…
03-30 08:36:30	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x753af2…
03-27 12:34:03	bitcoin above 62k on march 27	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x3fa049…
03-27 12:33:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	SELL	137	100¢	$137	0x34501d…
03-27 12:32:57	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xe1a7f3…
03-26 08:10:19	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 26	No	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0xf13e57…
03-26 08:09:43	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	137	100¢	$136	0xbe7841…
03-26 08:09:17	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	137	100¢	$136	0x81abab…
03-23 08:16:39	bitcoin above 64k on march 23	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6542d…
03-23 08:15:03	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe3c164…
03-23 08:14:51	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 320 339	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4b5041…
03-21 12:38:29	will bitcoin dip to 63k on march 21	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8582fb…
03-21 12:36:13	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x957a28…
03-21 12:35:57	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 260 279	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4d5a95…
03-20 04:59:11	will the price of bitcoin be between 62000 64000 on march 20	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x4aa3b2…
03-20 04:58:11	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x24ae06…
03-20 04:57:37	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc833aa…
03-17 13:51:07	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 17	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdac66c…
03-17 13:50:41	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 140 159	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xb5508b…
03-17 13:50:29	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 140 159	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6754fd…
03-16 05:22:33	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 16	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe9265f…
03-16 05:22:11	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5130e1…
03-16 05:21:59	elon musk of tweets march 10 march 17 420 439	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x6aca56…
03-12 13:05:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on march 12	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa9e24c…
03-12 13:04:03	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x549773…
03-12 13:03:53	elon musk of tweets march 2026 600 639	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2ad27c…
03-10 14:58:37	will the price of bitcoin be between 74000 76000 on march 10	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x92ea96…
03-10 14:53:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-10 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x7dc62f…
03-10 14:52:13	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x63f7a2…
03-10 14:51:59	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 240 259	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7c95ed…
03-07 12:30:43	bitcoin above 62k on march 7	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc52da9…
03-07 12:29:51	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x41410a…
03-07 12:29:39	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 200 219	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x35b0d4…
03-04 09:10:33	bitcoin above 62k on march 4	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5b24a2…
03-04 09:10:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5081fc…
03-04 09:09:57	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x97f171…
03-01 08:34:41	bitcoin above 72k on march 1	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x970d59…
03-01 08:33:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x53529c…
03-01 08:33:31	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x85ecc7…
02-09 09:58:17	will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on february 9	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa18672…
02-09 09:57:47	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x1c190b…
02-09 09:53:49	elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 40 59	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfe193e…
02-04 12:54:58	will the price of bitcoin be between 82000 84000 on february 4	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xb74082…
02-04 12:53:58	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xe6b5fb…
02-04 12:53:46	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 160 179	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5ff84d…
02-02 10:23:00	bitcoin above 86k on february 2	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x80066b…
02-02 10:22:32	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0xa18abe…
02-02 10:22:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 480 499	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x08a53d…
01-31 06:18:44	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x87fdef…
01-31 06:14:58	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 06:00 UTC	Down	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x70655a…
01-31 06:06:10	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 600 619	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x5e4ce0…
01-31 06:05:48	elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 600 619	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xcdf5f8…
01-31 05:59:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-31 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0xd22b07…
01-27 07:38:17	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x55526a…