Realized P&L
-$194
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
82.8%
Resolved
53
Trades
292
lifetime
Volume
$6.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$993
27 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-30 01:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Other
60% 92% +$38
Politics
20% 79% -$243
Sports
19% — —
Tech
1% 100% +$10
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 82 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +102 $99 98¢ $100 +$0 10-22 02:35
Will Toronto Raptors win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +102 $98 96¢ $99 +$0 10-26 03:32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +98 $91 97¢ $95 +$4 10-27 22:43
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? No +92 $90 99¢ $92 +$2 10-28 18:36
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +91 $84 95¢ $86 +$3 10-29 02:28
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +93 $84 87¢ $81 -$3 10-27 22:53
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +69 $57 93¢ $65 +$8 10-27 04:14
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +53 $50 94¢ $50 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +49 $48 99¢ $48 +$1 10-22 03:11
Will Union Saint-Gilloise win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +39 $37 97¢ $38 +$0 10-29 08:28
Will Portugal win the UEFA EURO 2028? No +33 $30 92¢ $30 $0 10-16 20:04
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +29 $29 99¢ $29 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +28 $27 98¢ $28 +$0 10-24 00:33
Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +24 $23 95¢ $23 $0 10-22 03:46
Will Gemini Carbon be released on November 11, 2026? No +24 $24 83¢ $20 -$3 10-29 08:47
will the next fable model 5pt2 be released on november 19 2026 No +18 $17 91¢ $16 -$1 10-29 02:09
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +16 $14 97¢ $16 +$2 10-27 03:31
Will Yaxel Lendeborg win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +22 $18 67¢ $15 -$3 10-27 04:15
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds per game in 2026-27? No +15 $13 87¢ $13 +$0 10-25 09:01
Will AJ Dybantsa win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +14 $12 88¢ $12 $0 10-27 04:14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? No +15 $12 78¢ $11 -$1 10-28 18:35
Will Ty Jerome win the 2026-27 NBA Most Improved Player? No +13 $9 53¢ $7 -$2 10-24 07:10
Will the Washington Capitals be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +6 $6 96¢ $6 +$0 10-29 04:06
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of December 2026? No +9 $6 60¢ $5 $0 10-30 01:07
Will Mikel Brown Jr. win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 +$0 10-27 04:14
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? No +5 $4 70¢ $4 +$0 10-27 04:14
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +8 $6 2¢ $0 -$6 10-28 02:15