Long-Term-Haunt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

296

Trades

297

lifetime

Volume

$3.35K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-28 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$5

Politics

6% 90% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$26	26	+26	No	-$26	05-15 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 15:03
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:51
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	26	+26	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:35
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 08:40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:46
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on April 27?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-27 02:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on April 26?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on April 25?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-25 12:58
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-24 09:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:21
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:18
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$1	04-21 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 15corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 06:27
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 20 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:24
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 20 2026 24c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 16:52
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 06:20
highest temperature in wuhan on april 19 2026 30c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:42
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 16c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 08:45
highest temperature in istanbul on april 18 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:24
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 08:08
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 26corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 17 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 05:39
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 16 2026 31c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:07
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:55
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:49
highest temperature in wellington on april 15 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 06:52
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 23c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 15:24:34	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9254d5…
10-27 16:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2b69e0…
10-27 07:53:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x624c57…
10-26 05:28:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe70afb…
10-24 06:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb0e034…
10-22 09:49:59	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x595141…
10-20 04:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x577999…
10-19 06:24:50	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on October 19?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcb4fba…
10-18 07:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xb355c8…
10-17 07:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 17?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x579ca5…
10-16 05:09:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x9866dc…
10-15 05:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x404b56…
10-14 07:08:47	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xf3e4d1…
10-13 13:29:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2eebdb…
10-13 04:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 13?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x068d4a…
10-12 01:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on October 12?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc15a9d…
10-11 03:10:27	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xf54510…
10-08 05:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a00e9…
10-07 08:49:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd0458b…
10-06 07:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb46ca1…
10-04 07:53:32	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7199db…
10-03 00:51:02	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x47bbbf…
10-02 07:18:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x546f98…
10-02 03:11:41	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77befc…
10-01 05:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07e1ef…
09-30 09:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6b3f5…
09-29 06:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc13f6b…
09-28 08:12:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6c8008…
09-27 11:10:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fb0f2…
09-26 10:56:18	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on September 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb023ed…
09-25 07:24:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa11553…
09-24 06:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d502a…
09-23 05:12:49	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50a1cc…
09-22 01:08:54	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11b9a3…
09-21 08:11:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4bfff4…
09-20 03:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe100fd…
09-19 06:46:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x326eec…
09-18 01:08:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd84d9…
09-17 01:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeebb71…
09-16 08:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a7e3e…
09-15 23:31:31	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf98ef9…
09-15 02:25:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d96a9…
09-14 00:47:46	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C or below on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fe762…
09-13 12:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81c790…
09-12 06:29:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdd3b6…
09-11 01:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18213d…
09-10 01:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcaa5c6…
09-09 00:53:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35ac09…
09-08 01:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d09d6…
09-07 01:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a8f7c…
09-06 07:12:48	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35f895…
09-06 01:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d34db…
09-05 09:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x335e75…
09-04 08:15:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x040a66…
09-03 01:10:10	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb60b7b…
09-01 01:20:39	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x332b87…
08-30 00:11:57	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe6cde…
08-29 05:47:58	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeba17c…
08-28 01:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8de95a…
08-27 01:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x75ee3a…
08-26 01:59:49	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaacf37…
08-25 08:10:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4ecb45…
08-24 07:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6dbf1d…
08-23 07:09:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x661929…
08-22 01:22:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1d7d74…
08-21 01:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x810264…
08-20 05:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd87834…
08-19 07:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b1426…
08-18 00:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a0488…
08-17 05:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56701c…
08-16 01:43:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x766c6d…
08-15 02:31:37	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1bd11a…
08-14 01:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd9f84…
08-13 00:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4d484…
08-12 00:23:49	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c0984…
08-11 00:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x790469…
08-10 00:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd27d1f…
08-09 00:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cb9cc…
08-08 00:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or below on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6668e2…
08-07 00:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba067a…
08-06 00:20:38	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6267c…
08-05 00:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b7125…
08-04 03:24:11	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56cc5f…
08-03 00:16:24	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7ae056…
08-02 00:17:03	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c97b0…
08-01 00:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x81df06…
07-31 01:01:00	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on July 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe443fb…
07-30 00:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x43e746…
07-29 00:13:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x028913…
07-28 00:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x14c95a…
07-27 01:20:37	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa26470…
07-26 08:39:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xebca88…
07-26 01:04:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xab86c5…
07-25 00:27:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17be1b…
07-24 01:15:42	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on July 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x854117…
07-23 00:28:24	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 98-99°F on July 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5b7c3…
07-22 01:25:45	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff0675…
07-20 23:33:25	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7c320a…
07-19 22:24:52	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b313d…
07-18 22:01:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa6ccc9…