Favorite-Lounge — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

Trades

577

lifetime

Volume

$5.24K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$12

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 06-30 02:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

61% 100% +$0

Sports

19% 0% $-0

Other

13% 100% +$1

Politics

7% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No		+12	$6	60¢	$7	+$1	06-04 20:39
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No		+8	$5	58¢	$5	$-1	06-09 14:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	35	$229	155	148	+7	open	—	03-19 14:44
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	22	$166	88	88	+0	open	—	03-15 10:42
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$111	74	74	+0	open	—	03-20 03:00
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	8	$64	33	33	+0	open	—	02-19 18:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	8	$60	52	52	+0	Yes	$-0	02-19 17:05
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	8	$58	30	30	+0	No	$-0	03-19 06:39
will xander schauffele win the 2026 masters tournament	6	$48	25	25	+0	open	—	03-13 05:34
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	6	$46	24	24	+0	No	$-0	03-16 20:56
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	7	$40	21	21	+0	open	—	03-17 05:50
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	6	$38	24	24	+0	open	—	03-05 11:38
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$38	22	22	+0	open	—	03-19 13:57
bun dor hei 2026 02 01 hei	3	$35	19	19	+0	open	—	02-01 13:46
bitcoin up or down march 5 12pm et	2	$34	17	17	+0	open	—	03-05 18:04
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	4	$34	19	19	+0	open	—	02-03 19:48
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	2	$34	38	38	+0	open	—	06-14 21:41
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	6	$32	18	18	+0	open	—	02-18 21:40
GTA VI released before June 2026?	5	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	03-05 08:46
bitcoin up or down march 8 10pm et	2	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	03-09 03:41
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	4	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	02-21 08:21
lal rea ray 2026 02 01 ray	5	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	02-01 13:46
spl kho nsr 2026 01 30 kho	3	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	01-30 16:03
bitcoin up or down march 6 5pm et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-06 22:57
us strikes iran by february 2 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 12:44
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 10am et	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-20 14:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-20 05:50
cs2 mouz mglz 2026 03 08	1	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	03-08 17:36
bitcoin up or down march 11 6am et	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	03-11 10:50
bitcoin up or down march 5 5am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-05 10:50
Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)	1	$19	19	0	+19	SC Freiburg	+$0	05-07 14:37
bitcoin up or down march 8 6am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-08 10:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 02:54:34	mlb mia col 2026 06 29 spread away 2pt5	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xf66877…
06-24 23:54:34	fifwc mar hai 2026 06 24 spread home 1pt5	Morocco	BUY	6	92¢	$5	0x093f32…
06-24 23:43:41	mlb hou tor 2026 06 24 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb009fa…
06-24 17:33:25	trump meets with putin by december 31	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x4ea139…
06-24 02:44:41	mlb chc nym 2026 06 22	Chicago Cubs	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x423ddf…
06-24 02:06:47	mlb ari stl 2026 06 23 spread away 1pt5	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0xe24efe…
06-24 01:09:01	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 spread home 2pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x5fcdcc…
06-24 00:39:55	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0x00bea3…
06-23 00:32:25	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 22 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x9205e3…
06-21 01:59:37	mlb pit col 2026 06 20 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xdd2352…
06-20 19:24:38	mlb cws det 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0xe61445…
06-20 19:24:38	mlb cws det 2026 06 20 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4a7992…
06-19 08:39:05	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	7	42¢	$3	0x70e334…
06-17 20:46:05	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xd8d0c3…
06-17 18:58:40	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x89fe67…
06-17 18:57:46	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfce810…
06-17 18:56:52	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd2b493…
06-17 18:55:58	mlb kc wsh 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xb71e21…
06-17 04:31:01	mlb pit oak 2026 06 16	Athletics	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xa0051b…
06-14 21:41:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	SELL	38	62¢	$24	0xda8c13…
06-14 16:39:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	8	55¢	$4	0x6654a9…
06-14 16:28:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xda3388…
06-13 21:01:42	mlb mia pit 2026 06 13	Miami Marlins	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xe06403…
06-13 19:23:22	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x284706…
06-13 17:58:48	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcc9aa5…
06-13 14:13:09	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x3d4413…
06-11 02:35:22	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 total 219pt5	Over	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xf25214…
06-11 01:08:04	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xfd1093…
06-11 00:47:30	mlb min det 2026 06 10	Detroit Tigers	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xa04dd1…
06-10 23:21:39	mlb stl nym 2026 06 10	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x014bdb…
06-10 03:19:24	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 09	Washington Nationals	BUY	10	74¢	$8	0x04bb1b…
06-10 02:09:30	wnba phx gsv 2026 06 09 spread home 7pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x03a31a…
06-10 00:57:13	mlb sea bal 2026 06 09	Seattle Mariners	BUY	8	89¢	$7	0x932d79…
06-09 14:28:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf0d3f4…
06-09 01:54:15	mlb wsh sf 2026 06 08 total 7pt5	Over	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x7ae22c…
06-08 23:58:40	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 08	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	25	33¢	$8	0x1ae712…
06-08 01:54:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	17	47¢	$8	0xbdabf2…
06-07 21:16:28	mlb wsh ari 2026 06 07 total 7pt5	Under	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xb2830a…
06-07 20:45:48	mlb cin stl 2026 06 07 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x699a1c…
06-07 19:31:58	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x0b953b…
06-07 04:11:45	mlb nym sd 2026 06 06 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x24e517…
06-06 03:05:36	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 total 207pt5	Over	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x1570b4…
06-05 02:32:03	mlb kc min 2026 06 04	Kansas City Royals	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x8d5409…
06-05 01:57:06	mlb tor atl 2026 06 04 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x6b7d36…
06-04 20:39:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0x45f234…
06-04 02:09:10	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 total 200pt5	Under	BUY	16	54¢	$9	0x516e11…
06-03 03:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6aa3a2…
06-01 12:00:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x727f37…
06-01 10:50:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	96¢	$12	0x22344e…
06-01 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x70155f…
05-31 20:53:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3a4fac…
05-31 19:08:45	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd1fcb5…
05-31 07:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x65c800…
05-30 10:01:39	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0xde90f8…
05-30 01:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3f9d94…
05-29 15:43:46	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xbb6ca2…
05-29 05:55:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9847f2…
05-29 03:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x264f2b…
05-28 20:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x224165…
05-28 16:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x556919…
05-25 22:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe85e6a…
05-24 21:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0b2de4…
05-24 07:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x75a5d0…
05-22 22:51:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x1fb792…
05-22 11:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0xccd929…
05-21 05:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xf44b91…
05-21 02:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x2567d3…
05-20 19:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x043d44…
05-20 11:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5dc4d4…
05-20 05:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x819f38…
05-19 20:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x6d8202…
05-19 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xb3339e…
05-19 07:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x8b481f…
05-19 01:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb37e5b…
05-18 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77182d…
05-18 10:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x182060…
05-18 03:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0xaf94f8…
05-18 01:50:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6525e4…
05-17 21:50:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5PM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x21cb31…
05-17 10:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0xcb9d01…
05-17 03:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9d6b31…
05-16 11:50:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	13	98¢	$12	0x5f03da…
05-16 10:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf75c5…
05-16 07:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0x9bce0d…
05-15 18:52:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2PM ET	Down	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x3820cb…
05-15 14:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	93¢	$6	0x547725…
05-15 10:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7d49b8…
05-15 08:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5452ab…
05-15 05:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbf6c38…
05-15 03:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x64ad63…
05-15 01:50:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xe3ee9c…
05-15 00:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x58e069…
05-14 11:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x5810b2…
05-14 00:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3d5068…
05-13 21:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5PM ET	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xabd71a…
05-13 17:03:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 13?	Up	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0xb14412…
05-13 15:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf476f4…
05-07 14:37:38	Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)	SC Freiburg	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xea89c9…
04-26 11:56:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12b421…
04-26 03:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xb17497…