Taut-Volunteering — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$30

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

56.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$276

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-03 18:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Politics

42% 47% +$25

Other

38% 43% -$35

Tech

14% 33% -$14

Crypto

7% 75% -$4

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	2	$33	23	23	+0	Yes	+$13	01-06 16:57
Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	06-03 18:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	1	$20	21	0	+21	No	+$1	06-03 18:10
will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	3	$17	14	14	+0	Yes	+$11	01-02 21:23
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$15	19	19	+0	No	-$5	01-13 03:48
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	-$15	06-03 18:06
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$12	8	8	+0	Yes	+$0	01-11 04:36
elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	2	$11	19	19	+0	No	-$3	01-02 15:28
will israel strike lebanon on january 3 2026	1	$10	32	0	+32	Yes	+$22	01-03 03:02
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$10	21	0	+21	No	-$10	01-03 19:28
will trump say 2026 this week december 29 january 4	2	$8	12	0	+12	No	-$8	01-03 10:30
solana up or down on january 1	1	$6	6,000	0	+6,000	Down	-$6	01-01 18:03
nothing ever happens khamenei	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$2	02-28 16:28
congress authorizes military force against venezuela by january 31	2	$5	231	231	+0	No	-$1	01-13 03:47
will edmundo gonzlez urrutia visit venezuela by march 31 2026	2	$5	7	7	+0	No	-$3	01-13 03:47
trump approval up or down this week 669	1	$5	13	0	+13	Up	-$5	01-03 19:34
cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-04 21:39
bitcoin up or down on january 2	1	$5	7	0	+7	Up	+$2	01-02 04:36
will anyone audibly fart during trumps wef 2026 speech	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-19 22:41
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 20 26	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	01-19 22:38
acn egy ben 2026 01 05 egy	1	$4	36	0	+36	No	-$4	01-05 17:54
will the iranian regime fall by january 31	2	$4	30	0	+30	No	-$4	01-10 04:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$4	7	7	+0	No	$0	01-13 03:46
will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	1	$3	50	0	+50	No	-$3	01-01 19:07
will trump say transgender this week january 18	1	$3	8	0	+8	Yes	-$3	01-09 19:37
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	1	$3	43	0	+43	No	-$3	01-04 20:45
will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$1	01-10 04:36
will israel strike gaza on january 2 2026	1	$3	205	0	+205	No	-$3	01-03 03:53
will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	01-19 22:39
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?	1	$3	3	0	+3	No	+$0	01-09 03:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 18:17:19	Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	85¢	$20	0xe17cd8…
06-03 18:10:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd7ec6f…
06-03 18:06:34	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	15	97¢	$15	0xbbd310…
02-28 16:29:11	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5f73c1…
02-28 16:28:55	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xf30605…
02-07 03:07:53	will the strangers chapter 3 be the highest grossing movie this weekend	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf36717…
02-07 03:06:19	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x358835…
02-07 03:05:59	us strikes iran by february 8 2026	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f3ad3…
02-07 03:05:37	us strikes iran by february 7 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f5f3e…
02-07 03:05:01	will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x15fd9f…
01-19 22:44:10	us strike on somalia by january 31 338	Yes	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x1b691d…
01-19 22:41:00	will anyone audibly fart during trumps wef 2026 speech	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x65a02a…
01-19 22:39:18	will any of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x75066b…
01-19 22:38:32	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 20 26	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3cbaa2…
01-13 03:48:17	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	Yes	SELL	19	27¢	$5	0x13877d…
01-13 03:47:43	congress authorizes military force against venezuela by january 31	Yes	SELL	231	1¢	$2	0x3b8d7b…
01-13 03:47:29	will edmundo gonzlez urrutia visit venezuela by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	19¢	$1	0x815957…
01-13 03:46:33	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	7	27¢	$2	0x5868ea…
01-13 03:46:23	nothing ever happens january 581	No	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x70a264…
01-13 03:46:03	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x6777a5…
01-11 04:36:52	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0xae07b3…
01-10 04:42:44	congress authorizes military force against venezuela by january 31	Yes	BUY	231	1¢	$3	0x3b8c6c…
01-10 04:40:12	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb6a191…
01-10 04:36:18	will venezuela give the us oil by january 31	Yes	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x312473…
01-10 04:28:04	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x7469f0…
01-09 19:37:12	will trump say transgender this week january 18	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0xb2add0…
01-09 04:14:50	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x4c1394…
01-09 04:14:34	will the iranian regime fall by january 31	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x05c7fe…
01-09 04:06:00	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x87c124…
01-09 04:05:26	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase january 6 12	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xdf3f58…
01-09 04:04:12	nothing ever happens khamenei	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x645e2c…
01-09 04:01:40	nothing ever happens january 581	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb9481a…
01-09 03:56:06	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 9, 2026?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x06d33c…
01-06 16:57:09	trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	Yes	SELL	23	100¢	$23	0xc04001…
01-06 12:00:43	will edmundo gonzlez urrutia visit venezuela by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xd8e058…
01-05 17:54:35	acn egy ben 2026 01 05 egy	Yes	BUY	36	11¢	$4	0x5483c4…
01-04 21:39:13	cilia flores released from custody by january 9 2026	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x90c371…
01-04 20:45:27	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xfdb26a…
01-04 05:33:05	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	Yes	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xcb4bb2…
01-03 19:42:47	trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xdfa1c2…
01-03 19:34:33	trump approval up or down this week 669	Down	BUY	13	37¢	$5	0x63414f…
01-03 19:28:13	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2a45b0…
01-03 17:09:43	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	Yes	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x52c393…
01-03 15:53:21	us forces seize another venezuela linked oil ship by january 9 2026 785	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x5da67b…
01-03 10:30:17	will trump say 2026 this week december 29 january 4	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x7198ca…
01-03 03:53:57	will israel strike gaza on january 2 2026	Yes	BUY	205	1¢	$3	0xe8ab4f…
01-03 03:02:31	will israel strike lebanon on january 3 2026	Yes	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xa46eb2…
01-02 21:23:19	will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	Yes	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xe99057…
01-02 19:24:25	will trump say 2026 this week december 29 january 4	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x89df4c…
01-02 15:32:57	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 480 499	Yes	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x1d883f…
01-02 15:28:57	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	Yes	SELL	19	21¢	$4	0x64830e…
01-02 10:36:43	elon musk of tweets december 26 january 2 460 479	Yes	BUY	19	34¢	$7	0xa0f144…
01-02 04:36:29	bitcoin up or down on january 2	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xeeca9d…
01-02 04:29:09	will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xfc6bd2…
01-02 04:28:57	will israel strike lebanon on january 2 2026	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x50f270…
01-01 19:07:39	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on january 2	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0xda921b…
01-01 18:03:11	solana up or down on january 1	Up	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x612a3a…
01-01 17:59:47	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	8	75¢	$6	0x8e4756…
01-01 17:33:33	will anyone be charged over daycare fraud in minnesota	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0xd5f2d0…
01-01 17:33:11	Will Nansen launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x7119ba…