Sturdy-Garbage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-27

last 06-09 12:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$3

Politics

19% 50% $-0

Sports

16% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	4	$2.2K	1,175	1,175	+0	Yes	+$3	03-29 18:33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	5	$2.2K	1,160	1,160	+0	open	—	03-29 20:47
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$1.9K	962	958	+4	Yes	+$0	03-29 14:35
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	2	$1.8K	982	982	+0	open	—	03-30 03:49
Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	6	$853	461	461	+0	open	—	03-29 19:29
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	10	$682	1,843	1,842	+1	open	—	03-29 21:34
Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?	2	$306	157	157	+0	open	—	03-29 18:21
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	5	$291	363	358	+5	open	—	03-29 22:05
will iran strike syria in march	2	$287	151	150	+1	open	—	03-29 23:38
Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	3	$283	147	147	+0	open	—	03-29 21:09
will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	2	$277	151	151	+0	open	—	03-29 23:14
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	2	$273	143	143	+0	open	—	03-29 21:45
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	3	$85	1,511	1,511	+0	open	—	03-29 17:02
Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	6	$41	416	415	+1	open	—	03-29 23:01
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	2	$21	120	119	+1	No	$-0	03-29 23:59
Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)	1	$17	19	0	+19	open	—	05-29 09:35
fr2 rei rst 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-18 03:22
DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	06-09 12:44
nba was por 2026 03 29	1	$10	11	0	+11	open	—	03-29 13:38
btc updown 15m 1769481900	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-27 02:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:44:51	DR Congo vs. Chile: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	13	90¢	$12	0x828892…
05-29 09:35:09	Spread: Sarpsborg 08 FF (-1.5)	SK Brann	BUY	19	92¢	$17	0x86b10f…
04-18 03:22:22	fr2 rei rst 2026 04 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	15	90¢	$14	0x0230c0…
03-30 03:49:04	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	SELL	982	93¢	$917	0x496468…
03-29 23:59:10	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	SELL	119	9¢	$10	0x953b65…
03-29 23:54:52	Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?	Yes	BUY	120	9¢	$11	0x232c07…
03-29 23:38:00	will iran strike syria in march	No	SELL	150	95¢	$143	0xad1781…
03-29 23:33:10	will iran strike syria in march	No	BUY	151	95¢	$144	0xa9881c…
03-29 23:14:46	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	SELL	151	92¢	$139	0x82df95…
03-29 23:09:52	will elon musks net worth be between 650b and 660b on march 31	No	BUY	151	91¢	$138	0xd9eb95…
03-29 23:01:52	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	91	5¢	$4	0x549a03…
03-29 22:59:00	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	92	5¢	$5	0x221078…
03-29 22:17:16	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	77	5¢	$4	0xce8c1e…
03-29 22:13:28	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	77	5¢	$4	0x26728f…
03-29 22:05:40	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	144	97¢	$139	0xe6fca6…
03-29 22:05:40	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	131	3¢	$4	0x902c32…
03-29 22:02:22	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	144	96¢	$139	0x63eeba…
03-29 21:45:56	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	SELL	143	96¢	$137	0xb3173a…
03-29 21:41:04	Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	143	96¢	$137	0x1019c1…
03-29 21:34:30	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	140	94¢	$132	0x3dd093…
03-29 21:29:52	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	140	94¢	$132	0xc76e03…
03-29 21:19:46	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	247	5¢	$13	0x8b246a…
03-29 21:16:14	Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	247	5¢	$13	0xaa361a…
03-29 21:09:16	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	147	96¢	$142	0x9ec880…
03-29 21:05:20	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	60	96¢	$58	0x427dd7…
03-29 21:05:18	Will Italy send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	87	96¢	$84	0x90b441…
03-29 20:58:20	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	335	4¢	$14	0x30996a…
03-29 20:54:28	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	335	5¢	$18	0x94960a…
03-29 20:47:06	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	148	92¢	$136	0x846011…
03-29 20:43:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	148	93¢	$138	0x0258b9…
03-29 20:25:02	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	153	95¢	$145	0x73d6c3…
03-29 20:22:02	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0x6f6a77…
03-29 20:16:02	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	246	5¢	$13	0xe1fcf7…
03-29 20:11:20	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	247	6¢	$15	0x24d6cf…
03-29 19:29:28	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	155	92¢	$143	0xa84daa…
03-29 19:25:32	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	155	92¢	$143	0xddb221…
03-29 19:20:08	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x23f191…
03-29 19:12:30	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	219	3¢	$6	0x839c91…
03-29 19:05:14	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	152	93¢	$141	0x88f4f2…
03-29 19:01:32	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	152	92¢	$140	0x296033…
03-29 18:54:32	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	SELL	154	93¢	$143	0xf8d9f9…
03-29 18:50:50	Will the Utah Mammoth win the Western Conference?	No	BUY	154	92¢	$142	0x01cb81…
03-29 18:33:34	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	151	95¢	$143	0xe72123…
03-29 18:28:58	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	151	95¢	$143	0x8b5e91…
03-29 18:21:50	Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?	No	SELL	157	98¢	$153	0xf1c0b9…
03-29 18:18:26	Will the Boston Bruins win the Eastern Conference?	No	BUY	157	98¢	$153	0xd7a90f…
03-29 18:06:06	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?	Yes	BUY	982	93¢	$910	0x3a5e26…
03-29 17:13:18	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	SELL	1,024	93¢	$948	0xd484a4…
03-29 17:10:12	Will Finland advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	1,024	92¢	$945	0xbfe037…
03-29 17:02:56	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	472	3¢	$13	0x58c91d…
03-29 17:02:56	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	SELL	1,039	3¢	$29	0x36fb95…
03-29 16:59:50	Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	Yes	BUY	1,511	3¢	$42	0x240fdc…
03-29 15:52:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	1,012	94¢	$950	0x2d1e49…
03-29 15:49:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	859	94¢	$807	0xb96c4e…
03-29 15:49:40	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	153	94¢	$144	0x4818c9…
03-29 15:43:40	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	SELL	968	3¢	$33	0x5f8a8b…
03-29 15:38:28	will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	No	BUY	968	4¢	$36	0x13062a…
03-29 14:35:54	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	958	97¢	$927	0x907c6e…
03-29 14:31:42	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	962	97¢	$931	0x4c43ee…
03-29 13:38:42	nba was por 2026 03 29	Trail Blazers	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xae9028…
01-27 02:57:07	btc updown 15m 1769481900	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x379928…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3c2…df3d	14	$4.06K	407	04-25 17:06
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	14	$1.96K	447	04-28 10:31
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	13	$35.7K	925	05-06 18:50
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	13	$17.4K	1,459	04-30 07:49
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	13	$4.56K	1,019	05-06 18:38
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	13	$1.84K	794	04-22 22:58
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	12	$5.36K	337	06-04 20:27
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	11	$1.17K	88	05-12 20:48