Acceptable-Matchmaker — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 09-17 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 24 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 95% +$1

Other

43% 39% -$13

Politics

2% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$152	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	05-26 06:31
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$123	123	0	+123	Down	+$0	04-27 07:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	1	$102	102	0	+102	Down	+$0	05-07 03:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	1	$96	96	0	+96	Up	+$0	05-17 02:51
Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$96	96	0	+96	Down	+$0	05-12 03:43
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$86	100	0	+100	No	-$86	06-02 01:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	1	$81	81	0	+81	Down	+$0	05-05 08:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1AM ET	1	$71	71	0	+71	Up	+$0	04-30 05:59
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	1	$68	92	0	+92	Yes	+$24	06-05 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	1	$68	68	0	+68	Down	+$0	04-28 01:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	1	$68	68	0	+68	Up	+$0	05-10 08:56
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	1	$53	53	0	+53	No	+$0	04-29 03:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	1	$49	49	0	+49	Down	+$0	05-22 07:46
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	1	$48	48	0	+48	Down	+$0	05-04 06:58
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	3	$46	100	0	+100	No	-$46	06-04 05:26
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$46	100	0	+100	No	-$46	06-25 00:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	1	$44	44	0	+44	Down	+$0	05-21 05:54
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$39	100	0	+100	Yes	+$61	04-27 06:41
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$38	100	0	+100	No	-$38	04-27 06:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	1	$37	100	0	+100	Yes	+$63	06-25 00:29
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	04-29 03:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$36	36	0	+36	Up	+$0	05-04 03:41
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$35	100	0	+100	No	-$35	05-13 02:16
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$34	100	0	+100	No	-$34	05-13 02:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$32	32	0	+32	Down	+$0	05-17 03:58
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	2	$30	16	16	+0	Up	-$2	05-05 07:58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	04-29 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	1	$30	30	0	+30	Up	+$0	05-04 01:51
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	1	$29	29	0	+29	Down	+$0	04-28 03:30
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$28	100	100	+0	No	-$6	05-26 06:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-17 04:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xeb51af…
09-17 04:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	43¢	$13	0x261b7f…
09-17 04:50:13	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	42¢	$12	0x16fae3…
09-03 04:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0xba9713…
09-03 04:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	5¢	$1	0x65d5a0…
09-03 04:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	31¢	$8	0x3ee133…
09-03 04:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	19¢	$5	0x2e3276…
06-25 00:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xa815f5…
06-25 00:29:26	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x5b2910…
06-25 00:29:25	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x3b7275…
06-05 02:30:18	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	92	74¢	$68	0xdcf616…
06-04 05:26:58	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	47¢	$0	0xe3a620…
06-04 05:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	82	46¢	$38	0xe9059e…
06-04 05:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	47¢	$8	0xa1c741…
06-04 05:26:12	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x396862…
06-02 02:00:06	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x2bd42c…
06-02 01:59:56	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf37b1d…
05-26 06:31:08	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xf5c6d2…
05-26 06:21:50	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x2499bb…
05-26 06:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	11¢	$11	0x246aa6…
05-26 01:17:59	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x91e191…
05-26 00:17:03	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0xdff022…
05-26 00:16:51	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x326921…
05-25 02:58:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x96ac49…
05-22 07:46:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x2efea2…
05-21 05:54:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1AM ET	Down	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x471a22…
05-19 05:58:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x407da5…
05-18 01:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0xcfec36…
05-17 03:58:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x1a29ca…
05-17 02:51:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0x264c1d…
05-13 02:17:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6fe19b…
05-13 02:16:53	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x3a0cad…
05-13 02:16:30	Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	35¢	$35	0xf47808…
05-13 02:16:21	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xdd7003…
05-12 03:43:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	96	100¢	$96	0xc0063c…
05-10 08:56:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	68	100¢	$68	0xf3ef71…
05-07 03:56:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x441a36…
05-06 02:36:26	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x07f6c1…
05-05 08:58:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 4AM ET	Down	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xc91b15…
05-05 07:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x4336fc…
05-05 07:57:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x235063…
05-05 02:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd7ced2…
05-04 06:58:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0xb4164a…
05-04 03:41:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	100¢	$36	0x3816fc…
05-04 01:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6f1c78…
05-04 01:41:28	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x037184…
05-04 01:27:42	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd2a765…
05-04 01:13:32	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 64-65°F on May 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd76b8b…
05-04 01:04:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 April 27-May 3?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7441c6…
04-30 05:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xf045ca…
04-29 03:06:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30?	No	BUY	53	100¢	$53	0x58c7ef…
04-29 03:03:52	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x2a511d…
04-29 03:02:24	Trump out as President by April 30?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x8b9573…
04-28 03:30:38	XRP Up or Down - April 27, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x3d7f50…
04-28 01:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	68	99¢	$68	0xd8e583…
04-27 07:07:26	Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x2b4da9…
04-27 06:41:48	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x6ac15b…
04-27 06:41:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0x0b1a86…
04-27 06:41:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xd4cc11…
04-27 06:41:16	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x27d981…