Turbulent-Celebrity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$577

Unrealized P&L

+$10.0K

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,101

lifetime

Volume

$315.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$286

Open exposure

$16.8K

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-08 07:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

56% 0% $-1,377

Other

42% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$800

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	+65,232	$13,366	24¢	$15.7K	+$2,289	06-08 07:35
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	+5,766	$1,291	12¢	$663	$-628	06-08 06:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	-37,756	$-850	1¢	$-472	+$378	06-04 17:26
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	-38	$-8,043	100¢	$-38	+$8,004	06-07 22:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	372	$56.3K	49,872	49,872	+0	open	—	05-26 13:57
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	18	$32.6K	17,151	17,151	+0	open	—	05-28 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	116	$28.5K	120,933	120,933	+0	open	—	04-26 07:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	40	$27.1K	177,197	177,197	+0	open	—	03-30 21:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	106	$25.0K	21,853	21,854	-1	open	—	02-28 08:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$23.4K	19,488	19,488	+0	open	—	05-25 23:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	38	$16.9K	79,232	14,000	+65,232	open	—	06-08 07:35
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$16.5K	21,167	21,205	-38	open	—	06-07 22:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$14.6K	48,916	3,089	+45,828	open	—	05-31 21:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$12.1K	11,663	11,663	+0	open	—	04-08 02:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$10.0K	7,572	7,572	+0	open	—	06-01 14:57
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	154	$7.7K	36,695	36,695	+0	open	—	02-01 09:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$7.4K	4,751	4,751	+0	open	—	03-07 00:41
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$3.5K	22,571	3,000	+19,571	open	—	05-25 18:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$3.3K	75,807	75,807	+0	open	—	05-21 17:03
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	35	$2.8K	2,229	2,229	+0	open	—	02-02 16:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	15	$2.8K	12,602	0	+12,602	open	—	05-06 06:29
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$2.1K	7,121	0	+7,121	open	—	04-10 05:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$2.1K	30,303	30,303	+0	open	—	04-06 13:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$2.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	05-30 13:17
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	6	$1.9K	12,406	12,669	-263	open	—	02-03 16:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	7	$1.9K	11,233	11,233	+0	open	—	02-14 16:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	18	$1.7K	10,167	0	+10,167	open	—	04-07 15:32
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$1.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-12 13:01
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	4	$1.4K	7,604	1,838	+5,766	open	—	06-08 06:07
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$1.4K	11,346	0	+11,346	No	$-1,377	05-07 20:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$1.4K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	01-11 00:40
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	2	$1.2K	4,785	4,785	+0	open	—	06-04 17:26
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$1.2K	989	989	+0	Sean Strickland	+$800	05-10 06:37
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	3	$997	5,714	5,714	+0	open	—	06-05 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:35:13	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,602	62¢	$1,000	0x7f6855…
06-08 06:07:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,766	17¢	$1,000	0x5232c8…
06-07 22:06:52	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	11,205	93¢	$10,420	0x7adeee…
06-07 20:21:30	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,811	35¢	$1,684	0x4e8a14…
06-07 20:20:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	167	35¢	$58	0x899824…
06-07 20:20:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	134	35¢	$47	0x6aaae9…
06-07 20:20:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	290	35¢	$102	0x60e7ad…
06-07 20:19:52	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0xccfbd7…
06-07 20:19:24	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0xb89a46…
06-07 20:19:22	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x6928f6…
06-07 20:18:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	345	35¢	$121	0x66d0ad…
06-07 20:18:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	35¢	$105	0x749fff…
06-07 20:18:49	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x690571…
06-07 20:18:46	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	35¢	$15	0x98f298…
06-07 20:18:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	720	35¢	$252	0x5bb455…
06-07 12:27:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	16,658	12¢	$1,999	0x4476d5…
06-05 18:58:25	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	19¢	$1,856	0x874c3e…
06-05 15:13:28	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	10,000	12¢	$1,215	0x7c9280…
06-05 06:33:40	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	4,000	14¢	$545	0x485f7f…
06-05 06:33:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1,838	3¢	$59	0x23aabf…
06-05 06:33:09	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,714	3¢	$187	0x77a663…
06-04 17:26:24	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	4,785	13¢	$622	0xa6ebb9…
06-04 17:26:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	20,737	2¢	$476	0x61295f…
06-04 17:26:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17,019	2¢	$374	0x2d121c…
06-04 17:25:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	220	11¢	$25	0xc5bb77…
06-03 18:40:04	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,530	15¢	$679	0xc729a6…
06-01 15:49:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8,642	19¢	$1,642	0xc586e9…
06-01 15:29:45	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,704	19¢	$704	0x95ce1e…
06-01 15:20:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	19¢	$380	0xc84a2e…
06-01 15:20:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,469	19¢	$469	0x9ae0b4…
06-01 15:07:11	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x5a3abb…
06-01 14:57:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	7,572	83¢	$6,285	0x475f4d…
06-01 14:26:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4,785	13¢	$622	0x1a472f…
06-01 13:28:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,561	19¢	$300	0x7a4272…
06-01 13:28:08	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	277	18¢	$50	0xd8f09a…
06-01 13:20:31	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	5,665	14¢	$804	0xb46d67…
06-01 13:19:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7,439	16¢	$1,190	0xa9ca7f…
06-01 13:13:22	Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?	Yes	BUY	48	13¢	$6	0x7e48f5…
06-01 09:56:32	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3,506	17¢	$596	0xcdbebc…
06-01 09:54:33	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7,317	20¢	$1,463	0xd93c85…
06-01 08:45:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,480	17¢	$252	0x8a9d15…
06-01 07:59:03	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	17¢	$2	0x841bdd…
06-01 07:21:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	12,683	20¢	$2,537	0x40bd9c…
06-01 07:14:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14,290	20¢	$2,858	0x142d93…
06-01 02:50:05	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,057	15¢	$159	0xf2dfc5…
05-31 21:11:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,828	3¢	$99	0xbfe0cc…
05-31 19:23:01	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x0066a1…
05-31 18:59:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	238	15¢	$36	0x4548bd…
05-31 18:55:10	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	121	15¢	$18	0xf41380…
05-31 18:29:17	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0x8a3865…
05-31 15:16:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	69	15¢	$10	0xa0447a…
05-31 13:51:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xd9450d…
05-31 13:20:09	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	485	15¢	$73	0x427f40…
05-31 13:16:29	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,167	20¢	$233	0xab5fe9…
05-31 13:03:26	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2,353	15¢	$353	0x2778e4…
05-31 13:02:58	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,161	15¢	$174	0x6ede9c…
05-30 13:17:15	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,011	3¢	$35	0x3bb949…
05-30 12:43:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x8bd51e…
05-30 12:42:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,000	4¢	$140	0xf71049…
05-30 12:41:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xac8b05…
05-30 12:40:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,522	3¢	$123	0xd32521…
05-30 12:40:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0xf8e2b4…
05-30 12:39:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,481	4¢	$192	0x68cad1…
05-30 12:39:27	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x7e9459…
05-30 12:39:22	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	942	3¢	$33	0x30d62a…
05-29 15:12:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,000	47¢	$1,410	0x44f3f4…
05-29 15:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	36	46¢	$16	0xf4de44…
05-29 15:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	130	50¢	$65	0xed4089…
05-29 15:10:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	484	50¢	$242	0x37deea…
05-29 15:09:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	3,922	51¢	$2,000	0x80b1db…
05-29 07:51:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15,000	10¢	$1,500	0x1f76f7…
05-28 20:53:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xe1bab2…
05-28 20:53:14	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,503	100¢	$9,493	0xbee9c4…
05-28 20:53:14	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	100¢	$39	0x5472c9…
05-28 20:53:11	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,564	100¢	$7,557	0x6cdb5a…
05-28 19:09:59	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	158	92¢	$145	0x391b36…
05-28 19:06:15	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	93	92¢	$86	0x86c953…
05-28 19:05:47	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	173	92¢	$159	0xa95521…
05-28 19:04:16	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xdc886f…
05-28 18:58:42	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,771	95¢	$9,283	0x61d596…
05-28 18:02:45	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,905	80¢	$1,524	0x097f53…
05-28 17:45:10	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,415	84¢	$3,705	0xc539b1…
05-28 17:43:58	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xaae764…
05-28 17:43:58	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	84¢	$0	0xa4fc6d…
05-28 17:43:55	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x367e03…
05-28 17:43:53	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	508	84¢	$425	0xb40c18…
05-28 17:43:53	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	66	84¢	$55	0x955313…
05-28 17:43:53	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$5	0x641062…
05-28 17:43:53	Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0x17ac92…
05-26 13:57:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8,245	98¢	$8,064	0x53245a…
05-26 13:57:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x11458b…
05-26 13:56:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x6888f4…
05-26 13:56:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x0d4162…
05-26 13:55:02	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11,056	98¢	$10,813	0x01bffa…
05-26 08:40:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	19,322	97¢	$18,800	0x3efcc7…
05-25 23:58:51	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	SELL	19,488	97¢	$19,000	0xb08c9c…
05-25 18:41:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	19,571	1¢	$241	0x35b29e…
05-24 13:10:50	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	4,806	6¢	$305	0x0f4554…
05-23 14:03:07	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	11,170	28¢	$3,128	0x1df30c…
05-23 13:55:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	No	BUY	2,958	28¢	$828	0x5bba32…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	38	$686.2K	9,817	06-10 04:52
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	38	$8.94K	1,699	06-09 21:11
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	35	$229.9K	22,333	06-10 01:08
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	35	$121.5K	607	06-08 23:32
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	33	$20.9M	28,759	06-10 05:18
Dearest-Agenda 0xbacd…ab35	33	$4.02M	12,092	06-10 01:36
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	33	$23.5K	2,008	06-08 10:59
Tough-Mask 0xad52…11ac	32	$138.6K	1,544	06-10 01:10