Turbulent-Celebrity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$577

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,214

lifetime

Volume

$338.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$279

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 07-02 07:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

59% 0% $-1,377

Other

39% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$800

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 360 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	372	$56.3K	49,872	49,872	+0	open	—	05-26 13:57
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	18	$32.6K	17,151	17,151	+0	open	—	05-28 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	116	$28.5K	120,933	120,933	+0	open	—	04-26 07:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	40	$27.1K	177,197	177,197	+0	open	—	03-30 21:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	106	$25.0K	21,853	21,854	-1	open	—	02-28 08:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$23.4K	19,488	19,488	+0	open	—	05-25 23:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	54	$19.0K	90,261	17,000	+73,261	open	—	06-12 20:13
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$16.5K	21,167	21,205	-38	open	—	06-07 22:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$14.6K	48,916	3,089	+45,828	open	—	05-31 21:11
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$12.1K	11,663	11,663	+0	open	—	04-08 02:47
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	25	$10.4K	50,138	0	+50,138	open	—	07-02 15:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$10.0K	7,572	7,572	+0	open	—	06-01 14:57
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	154	$7.7K	36,695	36,695	+0	open	—	02-01 09:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$7.4K	4,751	4,751	+0	open	—	03-07 00:41
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	16	$5.6K	8,620	4,834	+3,786	open	—	06-17 17:12
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$3.5K	22,571	3,000	+19,571	open	—	05-25 18:41
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$3.3K	75,807	75,807	+0	open	—	05-21 17:03
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	6	$2.8K	11,000	0	+11,000	open	—	07-01 15:48
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	35	$2.8K	2,229	2,229	+0	open	—	02-02 16:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	15	$2.8K	12,602	0	+12,602	open	—	05-06 06:29
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	5	$2.1K	7,604	7,604	+0	open	—	06-11 13:19
jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 10	4	$2.1K	7,121	0	+7,121	open	—	04-10 05:25
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	4	$2.1K	30,303	30,303	+0	open	—	04-06 13:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	10	$2.0K	15,000	15,000	+0	open	—	05-30 13:17
bitcoin above 80k on february 3	6	$1.9K	12,406	12,669	-263	open	—	02-03 16:19
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	7	$1.9K	11,233	11,233	+0	open	—	02-14 16:09
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	18	$1.7K	10,167	0	+10,167	open	—	04-07 15:32
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	3	$1.6K	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-12 13:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$1.4K	11,346	0	+11,346	No	$-1,377	05-07 20:35
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$1.4K	1,765	1,765	+0	open	—	01-11 00:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 15:11:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	502	10¢	$50	0xa2228c…
07-02 14:04:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	900	10¢	$90	0x43ba62…
07-02 14:03:31	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1,899	10¢	$190	0xec36c8…
07-02 14:03:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1,900	10¢	$190	0xcd63ed…
07-02 13:58:22	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xffe5ea…
07-02 13:26:53	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	4,179	10¢	$418	0x9571a5…
07-02 07:04:56	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	4,991	14¢	$696	0x2c671d…
07-02 07:03:23	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x027cfe…
07-02 05:58:07	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x15dd3e…
07-02 04:02:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	457	10¢	$46	0xcd6c59…
07-02 03:54:44	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	150	10¢	$15	0x843cc0…
07-02 03:09:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4ba3b6…
07-02 03:09:13	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x4ad712…
07-02 03:09:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x41f370…
07-02 03:08:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xd11065…
07-02 03:08:47	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x293e79…
07-02 03:08:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xc15bbc…
07-02 03:08:32	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1f8838…
07-02 03:08:16	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x3ea3ca…
07-02 03:08:05	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x2b9c93…
07-02 03:07:59	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbc4963…
07-02 03:03:46	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	3,724	10¢	$372	0xc574d3…
07-01 16:57:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	854	15¢	$128	0xa1be32…
07-01 15:51:53	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	1,093	8¢	$87	0xbb3455…
07-01 15:51:17	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	3,044	8¢	$244	0x7388fa…
07-01 15:48:20	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x128c10…
07-01 15:43:13	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xabbab6…
07-01 15:43:11	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	3,601	23¢	$828	0x0a56f8…
07-01 15:42:55	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	25	23¢	$6	0xfd4276…
07-01 15:37:14	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	4,354	27¢	$1,176	0x7e3189…
07-01 15:36:41	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	3,009	27¢	$813	0x1661b3…
06-27 13:23:14	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	3,625	28¢	$1,014	0x7ddc4a…
06-26 17:57:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	15,535	26¢	$4,000	0x23dab3…
06-26 06:51:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	8,604	23¢	$2,016	0x517fc9…
06-25 20:07:50	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	Yes	BUY	8,425	24¢	$1,989	0x4d0d5e…
06-24 16:07:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,518	11¢	$167	0x2ea5b6…
06-24 16:03:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x2014b3…
06-24 16:02:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x74ba2e…
06-24 16:02:55	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	6	11¢	$1	0x3534c8…
06-24 16:02:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	152	11¢	$17	0xaea669…
06-24 15:59:19	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0x4d1e79…
06-24 15:59:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x9c7e3a…
06-24 15:59:01	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	6,328	11¢	$696	0x7ea84a…
06-24 07:46:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	493	11¢	$54	0x329a73…
06-24 01:35:35	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0xaf6d37…
06-24 01:09:34	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0xe18b01…
06-24 00:56:37	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	267	11¢	$29	0x9a3864…
06-23 23:44:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	164	11¢	$18	0x1f7992…
06-21 19:02:44	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	110	14¢	$15	0x9d79e8…
06-21 04:04:04	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x9e4b15…
06-21 04:03:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x881922…
06-21 04:03:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x6ed275…
06-21 04:03:53	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	22	13¢	$3	0x3d5d75…
06-21 03:01:28	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	1,449	13¢	$188	0xdb68f0…
06-20 23:22:22	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0xca2208…
06-20 22:55:07	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x6a7f57…
06-20 22:46:26	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	36	13¢	$5	0xb4b1b3…
06-20 21:31:16	israel closes its airspace by july 31	Yes	BUY	763	13¢	$99	0xed57a3…
06-17 17:12:47	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1,260	24¢	$300	0x08f704…
06-17 17:04:08	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1,152	37¢	$426	0x825758…
06-17 16:07:08	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	1,310	22¢	$282	0x7b0ff4…
06-17 14:47:52	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	No	BUY	3,589	42¢	$1,500	0xdacf11…
06-17 14:42:59	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	4,834	56¢	$2,701	0xaeb482…
06-15 22:01:04	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	116	10¢	$12	0x4168fa…
06-15 22:00:40	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	SELL	3,808	0¢	$9	0x861a7e…
06-14 20:53:01	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x12a243…
06-14 20:38:45	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	109	29¢	$32	0x9fc521…
06-14 19:24:19	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	520	35¢	$182	0x109322…
06-14 19:08:06	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	152	45¢	$69	0xa805df…
06-14 13:58:27	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	104	23¢	$24	0xf96f2c…
06-14 11:57:09	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x2755b7…
06-14 11:57:07	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xc556d7…
06-14 11:56:40	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x275bfc…
06-14 11:54:45	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	19	22¢	$4	0xe8c8c1…
06-14 11:54:43	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	150	22¢	$33	0xda75a9…
06-12 20:13:27	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	479	9¢	$43	0x264c24…
06-12 19:20:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x18667a…
06-12 19:08:25	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,648	9¢	$148	0x3002fb…
06-12 19:01:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	207	9¢	$19	0xfd6580…
06-12 18:58:55	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x8709d5…
06-12 17:14:37	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	700	9¢	$63	0x1d6586…
06-12 17:07:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,100	9¢	$99	0xd99b90…
06-12 16:55:34	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	52	9¢	$5	0x04ad5f…
06-12 16:55:33	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	300	9¢	$27	0xfebe59…
06-12 16:44:21	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	9¢	$0	0xf95b63…
06-12 16:44:19	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,500	9¢	$135	0xfdb70d…
06-12 16:38:39	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	815	9¢	$73	0xfdc71f…
06-12 13:38:00	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	4,065	9¢	$366	0x553f57…
06-12 12:48:42	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x906253…
06-11 14:32:42	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	233	18¢	$42	0xd5a193…
06-11 14:10:34	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	109	18¢	$20	0xa139f3…
06-11 14:01:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	74	18¢	$13	0x20fdd2…
06-11 14:00:22	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0xdd75d2…
06-11 13:58:49	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	549	18¢	$99	0x335218…
06-11 13:58:16	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xe36390…
06-11 13:58:15	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	1,220	18¢	$220	0xa1031a…
06-11 13:53:43	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xaf5220…
06-11 13:52:51	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xa5924c…
06-11 13:50:19	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xafabf4…
06-11 13:49:13	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	Yes	BUY	1	18¢	$0	0xab8a4a…