Turbulent-Celebrity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$577

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.1%

Resolved

Trades

1,466

lifetime

Volume

$430.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 08-12 18:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% 0% $-1,377

Other

39% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

0% 100% +$800

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	372	$56.3K	49,872	49,872	+0	open	—	05-26 13:57
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?	18	$32.6K	17,151	17,151	+0	open	—	05-28 20:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	116	$28.5K	120,933	120,933	+0	open	—	04-26 07:27
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	40	$27.1K	177,197	177,197	+0	open	—	03-30 21:25
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	106	$25.0K	21,853	21,854	-1	open	—	02-28 08:08
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?	9	$23.4K	19,488	19,488	+0	open	—	05-25 23:58
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	54	$19.0K	90,261	17,000	+73,261	open	—	06-12 20:13
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	26	$18.8K	82,175	0	+82,175	open	—	08-09 04:21
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$16.5K	21,167	21,205	-38	open	—	06-07 22:06
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	10	$14.6K	48,916	3,089	+45,828	open	—	05-31 21:11
israel closes its airspace by august 31	88	$12.3K	47,660	0	+47,660	open	—	08-02 23:39
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	10	$12.1K	11,663	11,663	+0	open	—	04-08 02:47
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846	27	$11.4K	50,336	50,336	+0	open	—	07-26 09:08
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	15	$10.3K	26,049	26,049	+0	open	—	07-26 09:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	6	$10.0K	7,572	7,572	+0	open	—	06-01 14:57
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	154	$7.7K	36,695	36,695	+0	open	—	02-01 09:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	5	$7.4K	4,751	4,751	+0	open	—	03-07 00:41
dota2 bb4 pari 2026 07 19	7	$6.9K	4,600	4,600	+0	open	—	07-19 18:45
dota2 vg ty 2026 07 19 game1	2	$6.1K	3,185	3,185	+0	open	—	07-19 11:00
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	20	$6.1K	17,106	0	+17,106	open	—	07-31 16:18
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	16	$5.6K	8,620	4,834	+3,786	open	—	06-17 17:12
dota2 ngx bb4 2026 07 16	2	$4.9K	2,899	2,899	+0	open	—	07-17 16:23
israel closes its airspace by july 31	32	$4.8K	39,946	0	+39,946	open	—	07-08 17:15
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$3.5K	22,571	3,000	+19,571	open	—	05-25 18:41
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15	2	$3.4K	11,139	11,139	+0	open	—	07-20 07:48
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	10	$3.3K	75,807	75,807	+0	open	—	05-21 17:03
dota2 ty pari 2026 07 18	2	$3.0K	2,083	2,083	+0	open	—	07-18 17:26
dota2 ty pari 2026 07 18 game2	3	$2.8K	1,862	1,862	+0	open	—	07-18 16:18
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	35	$2.8K	2,229	2,229	+0	open	—	02-02 16:37
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	15	$2.8K	12,602	0	+12,602	open	—	05-06 06:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 18:39:27	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x22e606…
08-12 18:39:25	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	1,000	24¢	$240	0x7bfe8b…
08-12 18:39:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x29aca4…
08-12 18:39:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	764	24¢	$183	0x5cf0d1…
08-12 18:39:15	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x0b870c…
08-11 13:40:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	201	29¢	$58	0x043fe7…
08-11 13:24:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	2,582	29¢	$749	0x218045…
08-11 12:09:54	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	1,150	29¢	$334	0xdab31b…
08-11 11:41:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	311	29¢	$90	0x71d79f…
08-09 04:21:34	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	19,804	15¢	$2,971	0xf8b52c…
08-08 17:18:16	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	101	15¢	$15	0x924a29…
08-08 14:23:37	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	95	15¢	$14	0x88f7e4…
08-07 19:45:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	240	14¢	$34	0x8bc507…
08-07 19:39:22	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x7f0977…
08-07 19:38:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x7045c3…
08-07 19:38:21	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	49	14¢	$7	0xd73d95…
08-07 19:38:03	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	101	14¢	$14	0x5d35b0…
08-07 19:37:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xd812cb…
08-07 19:37:43	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	48	14¢	$7	0x40f00d…
08-07 19:37:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	3	14¢	$0	0x45a228…
08-07 19:37:24	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xf6a3e0…
08-07 19:37:18	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x01de4e…
08-07 19:37:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xd2d666…
08-07 19:35:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	800	14¢	$112	0x5b0cba…
08-07 19:34:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	1,349	14¢	$189	0x45ca5b…
08-07 19:25:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	114	14¢	$16	0xd83c5d…
08-07 19:17:36	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	5,038	14¢	$705	0x4c90a5…
08-07 10:46:40	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0xe18b31…
08-07 10:28:06	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	332	17¢	$56	0x918b03…
08-07 08:38:49	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	33	17¢	$6	0x2ee082…
08-05 14:11:03	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	17,044	19¢	$3,238	0xd1f038…
08-05 02:23:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	15	21¢	$3	0x9ee6f4…
08-05 02:23:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	60	21¢	$13	0x61568a…
08-05 02:18:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	114	21¢	$24	0x3c01f0…
08-05 02:15:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	120	21¢	$25	0xe4bf6e…
08-05 02:11:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	5,000	21¢	$1,050	0x5e2999…
08-05 02:07:44	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,000	21¢	$210	0xbdaccb…
08-05 02:05:11	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	200	21¢	$42	0xebb9d1…
08-05 02:05:00	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	13	21¢	$3	0x9612f6…
08-05 02:04:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xee79d9…
08-05 02:04:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	3	21¢	$1	0x60845a…
08-05 02:04:29	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1,908	21¢	$401	0xdb5efa…
08-04 17:16:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	9,999	21¢	$2,100	0x6110e4…
08-04 06:48:35	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	9,381	34¢	$3,190	0xbdad30…
08-02 23:39:38	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbbada4…
08-02 23:39:12	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	78	19¢	$15	0xcf3baa…
08-02 19:53:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	47	19¢	$9	0xccda5c…
08-02 19:38:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x1fd552…
08-02 19:31:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1,610	19¢	$306	0xb8ef58…
08-02 19:22:15	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	2,764	19¢	$525	0x1db508…
08-02 13:51:41	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	617	19¢	$117	0x563546…
08-02 13:51:36	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	247	19¢	$47	0xf30c31…
08-02 13:51:32	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	138	19¢	$26	0xbba028…
08-02 12:57:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xdf3a87…
08-02 12:42:45	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	2,244	19¢	$426	0xdf2f99…
08-02 12:37:09	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	2,148	19¢	$408	0x18234d…
08-02 12:35:00	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x40c130…
08-02 12:35:00	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0x074511…
08-02 12:34:59	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	940	19¢	$179	0x6c1371…
08-02 09:12:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	791	18¢	$142	0x9bf38f…
08-02 09:03:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x6590d6…
08-02 08:50:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	6,420	18¢	$1,156	0x19d8d0…
08-02 08:50:29	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$0	0x259d5c…
08-02 08:43:06	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0x848553…
08-02 08:40:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	81	18¢	$15	0xf1d21c…
08-02 06:41:56	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	7,427	31¢	$2,302	0x8a5d6a…
08-02 06:34:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9014e3…
08-02 06:34:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	8	31¢	$2	0x1aa46f…
08-02 05:45:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	2,987	31¢	$926	0x7c4469…
08-02 04:59:18	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	22	16¢	$4	0x9868f3…
08-02 04:56:23	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	196	16¢	$31	0xea3b0d…
08-02 04:16:32	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	115	31¢	$36	0x90f774…
08-02 04:06:26	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	67	31¢	$21	0xa82ea1…
08-02 04:04:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	4,396	31¢	$1,363	0xcb465a…
08-02 00:57:02	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	367	21¢	$77	0x9cdd1b…
08-02 00:56:41	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x141b1c…
07-31 16:46:51	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	2,047	39¢	$799	0xb134b2…
07-31 16:18:59	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0xc206f7…
07-31 13:23:48	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0x662001…
07-31 12:57:18	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xa78404…
07-31 12:57:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x94c496…
07-31 12:57:09	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	1,338	24¢	$321	0x2b0c25…
07-31 06:45:14	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	260	23¢	$60	0x148422…
07-31 06:34:54	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	300	23¢	$69	0xcb0bf6…
07-31 05:50:29	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	390	23¢	$90	0xf1f791…
07-31 04:15:15	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	48	23¢	$11	0xda0087…
07-31 03:20:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1,424	23¢	$327	0xa23c6c…
07-30 23:42:03	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xeef80d…
07-30 23:42:02	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	440	25¢	$110	0x067021…
07-30 23:40:42	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0x3159bb…
07-30 23:37:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0xb5cd56…
07-30 23:37:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	53	25¢	$13	0xa72b72…
07-30 23:37:26	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	5,066	25¢	$1,267	0x931569…
07-30 22:42:33	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0x9ace4b…
07-30 22:41:29	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x220e50…
07-30 22:41:27	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	2	27¢	$0	0x322b92…
07-30 22:12:11	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x837b7f…
07-30 21:53:33	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	385	27¢	$104	0xe84223…
07-30 20:30:44	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	137	27¢	$37	0xf03d0d…
07-30 19:58:53	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x4e7f66…