Short-Term-Slaw — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$29

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

64.4%

Resolved

760

Trades

1,337

lifetime

Volume

$1.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-18

last 11-03 21:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 37 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% +$29

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 171 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	—	+3	$1	99¢	$3	+$2	11-03 23:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	3	$7	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	10-30 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 00:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	6	$6	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 01:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$5	5	4	+1	Up	+$1	10-29 04:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$5	4	4	+0	Up	+$3	11-03 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 16:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-21 13:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 09:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-20 04:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 20:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 04:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$1	10-29 09:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 06:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-20 03:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 23:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-21 12:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	+$0	05-19 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 15:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$0	05-20 08:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$0	05-20 08:57
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	10-30 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$0	05-20 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$4	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	10-29 20:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	2	$4	4	3	+1	Up	+$1	10-29 09:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	2	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$2	11-03 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Up	$0	05-20 01:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$4	4	3	+1	Down	+$1	10-29 20:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 23:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x910a31…
11-03 23:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x7dcc2a…
11-03 23:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4cc192…
11-03 23:20:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa233a1…
11-03 23:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xec5eba…
11-03 23:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc732a2…
11-03 21:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x223a0e…
11-03 21:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9adbc2…
11-03 21:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x4416ce…
11-03 21:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xfeb737…
11-03 21:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xe933dd…
11-03 21:17:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x29788c…
11-03 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xf2e0f6…
11-03 21:06:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x93cb39…
11-03 20:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x36939c…
11-03 20:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x998764…
11-03 20:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xf7b580…
11-03 19:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x3a0b73…
11-03 19:57:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x80c8e3…
11-03 19:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xaf0093…
11-03 19:37:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xc6a53d…
11-03 19:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3eb8d7…
11-03 18:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x39c9f6…
11-03 18:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x4b015f…
11-03 18:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc0f203…
11-03 18:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc72f01…
11-03 18:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xff824b…
11-03 18:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2d1d93…
11-03 17:31:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x2eb91d…
11-03 17:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xcf5e6f…
11-03 17:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xb1aa25…
11-03 16:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xab9f14…
11-03 16:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x91968c…
11-03 16:30:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x935a10…
11-03 16:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x8e2638…
11-03 16:12:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x1b20f8…
11-03 15:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x056484…
11-03 15:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x305521…
11-03 15:36:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x360431…
11-03 15:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb20bbd…
11-03 15:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb95900…
11-03 15:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x6ea037…
11-03 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x92e72b…
11-03 15:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x9e40a0…
11-03 15:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x05a597…
11-03 15:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x3b0170…
11-03 14:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe9f111…
11-03 14:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x9b94bb…
11-03 14:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x9a9ed0…
11-03 14:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x0045a2…
11-03 14:26:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x26ef0f…
11-03 14:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xc7b696…
11-03 14:10:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x00cd4f…
11-03 14:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x31652b…
11-03 14:01:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xed9e2c…
11-03 13:55:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x834f8f…
11-03 13:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x481810…
11-03 13:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xd62d53…
11-03 13:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x907d96…
11-03 13:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xfe9f2b…
11-03 13:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x9833b2…
11-03 13:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xc30dfb…
11-03 13:00:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x619c5f…
11-03 12:49:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x595637…
11-03 12:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xd1b00d…
11-03 12:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x97d227…
11-03 12:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x4d3701…
11-03 12:26:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x0a8118…
11-03 12:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x1f1768…
11-03 12:16:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x81a9c4…
11-03 12:06:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x02b208…
11-03 11:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7f5c64…
11-03 11:40:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x07db98…
11-03 11:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x741107…
11-03 10:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x2ef1a8…
11-03 10:44:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa09562…
11-03 10:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xa80704…
11-03 10:35:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xcf5e6b…
11-03 10:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfd8317…
11-03 10:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xa04b9b…
11-03 10:15:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x12005f…
11-03 09:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd26ee7…
11-03 09:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4e68b6…
11-03 09:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xabab78…
11-03 09:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3e10af…
11-03 09:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x7f81c3…
11-03 09:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x1ca5fd…
11-03 09:15:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-11-03 09:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xfb4e0b…
11-03 09:14:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x18736a…
11-03 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x582710…
11-03 09:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xa4a7be…
11-03 09:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x754be6…
11-03 08:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9359dd…
11-03 08:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa5963f…
11-03 08:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0xd7c47a…
11-03 08:45:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x182fe2…
11-03 08:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x7ba3e7…
11-03 08:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x673d4b…
11-03 08:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd1d3e1…
11-03 08:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x85ca5e…