Gregarious-Paperwork — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

290

Trades

290

lifetime

Volume

$3.32K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-29 07:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 222 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$5

Politics

5% 89% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on May 14?	1	$26	26	+26	Yes	+$0	05-14 15:01
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:58
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:46
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:48
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:58
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on April 28?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:37
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 27?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$0	04-28 01:35
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:28
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 09:13
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 12:05
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 09:03
highest temperature in nyc on april 23 2026 72 73f	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 01:59
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 19c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 07:18
highest temperature in jakarta on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:16
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 02:45
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-21 10:08
highest temperature in toronto on april 20 2026 6c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-21 01:16
highest temperature in karachi on april 20 2026 34c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:45
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-20 03:42
highest temperature in lucknow on april 19 2026 42c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:07
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-19 05:39
highest temperature in moscow on april 18 2026 10c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:36
highest temperature in wuhan on april 17 2026 28c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-17 10:12
highest temperature in seattle on april 16 2026 54 55f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-17 03:46
highest temperature in busan on april 16 2026 21c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 12:00
highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 68 69f	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-16 05:52
highest temperature in istanbul on april 15 2026 18c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-15 14:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:43:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x0d64a5…
10-28 04:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x33fba6…
10-27 07:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x16e41f…
10-26 05:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 26?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcb4d55…
10-24 06:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0xeb7ced…
10-23 07:14:35	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on October 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbd574c…
10-21 08:58:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 13°C on October 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdb1e14…
10-19 06:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 14°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xadce63…
10-18 07:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd52558…
10-17 07:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdd3e6a…
10-16 05:12:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd48c76…
10-15 06:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9955ae…
10-14 07:12:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x52ca35…
10-13 05:33:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1723aa…
10-12 04:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x21412c…
10-11 03:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x893479…
10-08 05:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10e433…
10-07 08:54:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3706d…
10-06 07:13:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf8368d…
10-04 08:27:19	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x39717e…
10-03 04:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbc6c6…
10-02 07:22:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2a8641…
10-02 03:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x774548…
10-01 07:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf27fda…
09-30 09:25:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe77010…
09-29 08:10:38	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc92b60…
09-28 08:15:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae24de…
09-27 02:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe1c9b6…
09-25 07:54:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5ed7f8…
09-24 06:42:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4cd9c2…
09-23 05:15:53	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77f706…
09-22 06:14:34	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc65c18…
09-21 08:23:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d038d…
09-20 03:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x531c97…
09-19 06:49:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8bfc9e…
09-18 01:11:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcdb21b…
09-17 03:43:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5229b…
09-16 08:45:54	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3481ea…
09-15 23:35:24	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x778f5f…
09-15 02:28:13	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12e9f7…
09-14 02:45:03	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3400a7…
09-13 12:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a5a2c…
09-12 08:11:19	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5af10…
09-11 06:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb9b99a…
09-10 01:48:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73b47b…
09-09 09:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbc22f7…
09-08 15:43:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdae48a…
09-08 01:09:21	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d6b32…
09-07 01:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2baa3f…
09-06 01:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10125a…
09-05 09:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fd8bb…
09-04 08:20:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6fc94e…
09-03 01:31:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x551245…
09-01 01:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x219721…
08-30 00:15:09	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65d6fa…
08-29 05:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x90bf8d…
08-28 01:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb7096…
08-27 01:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x664df8…
08-26 02:03:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x279a80…
08-25 06:43:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4249e1…
08-24 07:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x73e8df…
08-23 07:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b27d8…
08-22 06:31:16	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe19eec…
08-21 01:28:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f34fd…
08-20 05:38:25	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf7cab…
08-19 07:23:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2415f…
08-18 00:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c4565…
08-17 06:07:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1fc2b5…
08-16 10:45:04	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8df311…
08-15 02:34:39	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd15b5e…
08-14 06:19:40	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17506e…
08-13 00:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89783b…
08-12 06:48:33	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d00cd…
08-11 00:26:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e651f…
08-10 00:34:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf84e1a…
08-09 07:55:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x77a8d1…
08-09 00:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x186bd7…
08-08 06:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4515d…
08-07 00:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83739f…
08-06 00:24:54	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2c8f4…
08-05 00:36:45	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3d54d2…
08-04 03:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe036f3…
08-03 00:19:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb67705…
08-02 00:22:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x401536…
08-01 00:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7066dd…
07-31 07:14:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x694c77…
07-30 00:20:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeab5f8…
07-29 01:13:00	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5dc9d…
07-28 00:23:36	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b1812…
07-27 06:54:37	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C or higher on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x949c0b…
07-26 01:07:58	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3bc64c…
07-25 00:32:06	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0638c7…
07-24 01:19:52	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xce2be3…
07-23 01:07:15	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x472dd7…
07-22 01:33:46	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x99d4c2…
07-20 23:36:30	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6bac1…
07-19 22:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9e565b…
07-18 22:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x46c068…
07-17 23:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7edb4a…
07-17 01:25:50	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1063ed…