Defenseless-Brood — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$64

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

179

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$16.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$93

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-27 20:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 175 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 99% -$79

Other

2% 100% +$13

Politics

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$122	123	+123	No	+$0	10-27 20:10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	1	$122	122	+122	Yes	+$0	10-26 17:14
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	1	$120	122	+122	Yes	+$2	10-25 23:54
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 25?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	10-24 17:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	10-23 16:58
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	10-22 16:57
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 22?	1	$120	120	+120	No	+$0	10-22 00:09
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	1	$119	120	+120	Yes	+$0	10-20 17:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	1	$119	119	+119	Yes	+$0	10-19 17:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	1	$119	119	+119	No	+$0	10-18 17:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 18?	1	$119	119	+119	Yes	+$0	10-17 14:49
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	1	$119	119	+119	Yes	+$0	10-16 01:42
bitcoin above 74k on october 15 2026	1	$119	119	+119	Yes	+$0	10-14 17:43
Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 14?	1	$118	119	+119	No	+$0	10-14 01:35
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 13?	1	$118	118	+118	No	+$0	10-12 16:59
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 12?	1	$118	118	+118	No	+$0	10-11 19:12
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 11?	1	$117	118	+118	No	+$0	10-10 18:39
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	1	$117	118	+118	Yes	+$0	10-09 17:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	10-08 19:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	1	$117	117	+117	Yes	+$0	10-07 20:07
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 7?	1	$117	117	+117	No	+$0	10-06 17:26
bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	1	$117	117	+117	Yes	+$0	10-05 16:55
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5?	1	$116	117	+117	Yes	+$1	10-04 17:58
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 20?	1	$112	112	+112	Yes	-$112	08-19 16:54
Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 19?	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	08-18 16:37
ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	1	$112	112	+112	No	+$0	08-17 18:42
xrp above 0pt9 on august 17 2026	1	$111	112	+112	Yes	+$0	08-16 17:09
ethereum above 1700 on august 16 2026	1	$111	111	+111	Yes	+$0	08-15 17:15
ethereum above 1600 on august 15 2026	1	$111	111	+111	Yes	+$0	08-14 17:12
ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	1	$111	111	+111	Yes	+$0	08-12 16:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 20:10:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$122	0x3a4bde…
10-26 17:14:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 27?	Yes	BUY	122	100¢	$122	0x4a5ee5…
10-25 23:54:08	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	122	99¢	$120	0x23f7ae…
10-24 17:46:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 25?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x2fde17…
10-23 16:58:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x6b6e65…
10-22 16:57:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf78c6c…
10-22 00:09:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 22?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5e9718…
10-20 17:45:03	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 21?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$119	0xa39635…
10-19 17:25:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on October 20?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x2673f7…
10-18 17:39:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xdcdea0…
10-17 14:49:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 18?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x6bcbfe…
10-16 01:42:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0xc88c7c…
10-14 17:43:24	bitcoin above 74k on october 15 2026	Yes	BUY	119	100¢	$119	0x591c2b…
10-14 01:35:37	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on October 14?	No	BUY	119	100¢	$118	0xfdcdd7…
10-12 16:59:39	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 13?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0xaa0f16…
10-11 19:12:18	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 12?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$118	0x9f51c0…
10-10 18:39:01	Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on October 11?	No	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0x907f35…
10-09 17:17:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 10?	Yes	BUY	118	100¢	$117	0xed4c2e…
10-08 19:11:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on October 9?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x2826e0…
10-07 20:07:35	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on October 8?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xa90df4…
10-06 17:26:48	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on October 7?	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0xbc1fd1…
10-05 16:55:59	bitcoin above 78k on october 6 2026	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x1f1885…
10-04 17:58:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5?	Yes	BUY	117	100¢	$116	0x6a1b06…
10-03 19:31:25	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 10 03	Team Spirit	SELL	52	49¢	$25	0x9abd01…
10-03 19:17:43	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 10 03	Team Spirit	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xab7a9c…
10-03 19:17:04	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 10 03	Team Spirit	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xb59041…
10-03 19:15:36	dota2 ts8 ty 2026 10 03	Team Spirit	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xca77e3…
10-02 17:24:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 3?	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x35c974…
10-01 17:08:30	bitcoin above 78k on october 2 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x3b15ca…
09-30 17:00:45	bitcoin above 78k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x92cb99…
09-29 16:32:30	ethereum above 2400 on september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0xf265c6…
09-28 17:02:48	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 29?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x322f3e…
09-27 16:41:59	Will the price of Solana be above $145 on September 28?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x4d59ba…
09-26 17:05:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 27?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x186f59…
09-25 17:18:51	Will the price of Solana be above $95 on September 26?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x3b12e4…
09-24 16:44:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 25?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x398dbb…
09-23 18:23:50	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0xcd1fad…
09-22 18:04:37	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xef0d3d…
09-21 16:55:02	Will the price of Solana be above $100 on September 22?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0x9452fe…
09-20 16:58:34	Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on September 21?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x5a7b59…
09-19 21:11:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 20?	No	BUY	105	100¢	$104	0x9ea6fc…
09-18 17:57:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on September 19?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0xde3493…
09-17 17:32:45	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 18?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x280291…
09-16 16:44:35	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on September 17?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x9712ae…
09-15 19:55:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on September 16?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$104	0x567656…
09-14 16:56:22	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 15?	Yes	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x397d36…
09-13 16:35:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 14?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x01113a…
09-12 19:18:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 13?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xdbb5fe…
09-12 01:54:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 12?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x9827ec…
09-11 01:51:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 11?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0xccf149…
09-09 19:49:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x93c3c3…
09-08 20:02:48	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on September 9?	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x15fde9…
09-07 19:27:57	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on September 8?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x59c14b…
09-06 20:10:09	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on September 7?	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$102	0x06b34a…
09-05 20:45:13	Will the price of Solana be above $85 on September 6?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x8a8fcf…
09-04 18:43:21	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on September 5?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x80be74…
09-03 21:33:37	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on September 4?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0xd4684d…
09-02 19:06:16	Will the price of XRP be between $1.80 and $1.90 on September 3?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x642e1a…
09-01 16:53:03	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on September 2?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x8d7622…
08-31 16:59:31	solana above 90 on september 1 2026	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$102	0x462397…
08-30 17:13:46	Will the price of XRP be less than $1.10 on August 31?	No	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0x22354c…
08-29 17:20:15	Will the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on August 30?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xd925d1…
08-28 17:02:22	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 29?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x148933…
08-27 16:46:55	Will the price of Solana be above $80 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0xe12507…
08-26 17:11:01	Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 27?	No	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0x14e436…
08-25 16:33:04	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 26?	Yes	BUY	101	100¢	$100	0xc3bb0e…
08-24 18:10:43	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 25?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0dae00…
08-19 16:54:06	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 20?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x205ed1…
08-18 16:37:10	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 19?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xe714ec…
08-17 18:42:24	ethereum above 2100 on august 18 2026	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0xce5db1…
08-16 17:09:12	xrp above 0pt9 on august 17 2026	Yes	BUY	112	100¢	$111	0x1f4491…
08-15 17:15:21	ethereum above 1700 on august 16 2026	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xf89e34…
08-14 17:12:10	ethereum above 1600 on august 15 2026	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x77183e…
08-13 18:07:49	bitcoin above 58k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x936cf3…
08-12 16:25:10	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0xffa313…
08-11 19:04:06	ethereum above 2000 on august 12 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$111	0x5785c4…
08-10 17:24:28	ethereum above 2000 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	111	100¢	$110	0x267303…
08-09 19:29:33	ethereum above 2100 on august 10 2026	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xbac492…
08-08 18:00:01	solana above 70 on august 9 2026	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3d771b…
08-07 16:41:12	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 8?	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0xd15b68…
08-07 01:03:37	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on August 7?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x1a85f2…
08-07 01:03:18	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on August 7?	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0x8ab5b8…
08-05 16:53:14	bitcoin above 60k on august 6 2026	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$109	0xf43bc3…
08-04 19:47:42	bitcoin above 58k on august 5 2026	Yes	BUY	109	100¢	$109	0x398048…
08-03 15:30:24	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 4?	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x49f3cb…
07-31 17:51:24	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 1?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$108	0x9e24d3…
07-30 17:08:26	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31?	No	BUY	108	100¢	$107	0x82f80a…
07-29 22:17:15	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x2283c8…
07-28 18:50:34	ethereum above 1700 on july 29 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0xc2cda5…
07-27 17:11:24	ethereum above 1700 on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	107	100¢	$107	0x69e2c3…
07-26 16:50:12	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 27?	No	BUY	107	100¢	$106	0x67ae75…
07-25 17:59:42	bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	Yes	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x70b750…
07-24 17:14:15	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on July 25?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xaaee98…
07-23 17:42:16	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 24?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0x517719…
07-22 16:52:57	Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on July 23?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$106	0xccc841…
07-21 17:31:04	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 22?	No	BUY	106	100¢	$105	0x36dcf4…
07-20 16:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 21?	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xc3e53a…
07-19 17:53:13	bitcoin above 60k on july 20 2026	Yes	BUY	105	100¢	$105	0xd0f3a6…
07-18 21:57:30	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	England	BUY	105	98¢	$103	0x2dafa3…
07-16 17:03:38	ethereum above 1700 on july 17 2026	Yes	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x114a1a…