Lost-Perp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

300

Trades

300

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 11-09 08:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 231 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 90% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	05-14 04:52
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$23	24	+24	No	-$23	05-15 04:52
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	05-12 17:21
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-30 06:45
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-29 13:39
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-28 01:26
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C on April 27?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-27 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:02
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on April 25?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-25 10:40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-24 08:55
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 23 2026 27c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 22:40
highest temperature in busan on april 23 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 10:14
highest temperature in toronto on april 22 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:45
highest temperature in shanghai on april 22 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-22 09:26
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 23:50
highest temperature in busan on april 21 2026 21c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 09:48
highest temperature in houston on april 20 2026 74 75f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 02:51
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:35
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:37
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 10:45
highest temperature in denver on april 18 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 01:38
highest temperature in chongqing on april 18 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 11:25
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 68 69f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 09:52
highest temperature in mexico city on april 16 2026 29c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 01:43
highest temperature in tel aviv on april 16 2026 36c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 15:20
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:14
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 03:58
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 15 2026 31c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 10:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 08:11:21	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on November 9?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd2edb0…
11-08 11:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xc6e1cf…
11-07 02:49:30	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on November 7?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8edcd5…
11-05 16:18:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on November 6?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x0bdccf…
11-04 02:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$8	0x883177…
11-03 12:14:24	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c8de2…
11-02 13:17:51	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e8fa9…
11-01 04:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 11°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfbd7d…
10-31 09:40:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 9°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0def0e…
10-30 09:36:46	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1dc3c1…
10-29 17:36:41	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95f1d7…
10-29 08:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b8f94…
10-28 05:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 10°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f2e91…
10-27 08:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6a8b7b…
10-26 08:51:00	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09de44…
10-24 09:51:06	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8078e3…
10-22 10:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25f97c…
10-20 04:44:47	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c0db1…
10-19 08:12:24	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1605f6…
10-18 08:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x67eb24…
10-17 08:15:29	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5194d5…
10-16 08:43:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec481f…
10-15 08:52:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x926ab6…
10-14 08:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x925412…
10-13 08:10:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on October 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x50508d…
10-12 07:47:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaebd4…
10-11 07:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fc463…
10-08 07:23:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x32935d…
10-07 13:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2fdef9…
10-06 07:25:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4740db…
10-04 10:13:13	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfa98ab…
10-03 05:37:14	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x255d52…
10-02 07:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x904a3f…
10-01 08:00:59	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x015c29…
09-30 11:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x78bf83…
09-29 09:09:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08e104…
09-28 09:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x02b64a…
09-27 08:23:00	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf6bc30…
09-25 08:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on September 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c259b…
09-24 08:01:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1df5cb…
09-23 05:21:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc969a4…
09-22 07:22:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7f5e4e…
09-21 08:29:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x71d914…
09-20 05:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f2723…
09-19 07:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85d86b…
09-18 01:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9aab5f…
09-17 03:49:33	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fa692…
09-16 07:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x56b76e…
09-15 08:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x858b0e…
09-14 07:45:43	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x383b75…
09-13 09:18:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5bf798…
09-12 10:13:04	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeec6f4…
09-11 07:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa57e6a…
09-10 02:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8b1b5f…
09-09 01:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x249f83…
09-08 01:49:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc42ef6…
09-07 03:52:13	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb75b8…
09-06 17:03:25	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbf0beb…
09-06 08:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb4a4f6…
09-05 09:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf699b0…
09-04 08:32:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xccee1c…
09-03 08:11:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe4210e…
09-01 01:38:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x829153…
08-30 07:14:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2df930…
08-29 06:28:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe92cfe…
08-28 06:29:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33f8dc…
08-27 06:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xde238b…
08-26 08:11:00	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdf0aae…
08-25 07:14:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49a1c9…
08-24 09:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8764eb…
08-23 08:16:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xec08db…
08-22 07:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe03c71…
08-21 03:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc3e92d…
08-20 08:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3017fd…
08-19 08:18:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5fec27…
08-18 04:07:03	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95fd2b…
08-17 07:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45f904…
08-16 10:51:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24a48b…
08-15 08:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5634d0…
08-14 06:31:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x70c642…
08-13 07:19:07	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3a237…
08-12 07:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaeab86…
08-11 00:58:03	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6d319c…
08-10 00:39:43	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8a22ce…
08-09 01:10:15	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76c73d…
08-08 07:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x27818e…
08-07 00:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa87db0…
08-06 00:30:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0fb773…
08-05 07:10:50	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e3595…
08-04 07:03:53	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 38°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x995ca9…
08-03 01:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7474e1…
08-02 01:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5d79f1…
08-01 00:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xae842b…
07-31 07:45:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x12ea29…
07-30 01:14:33	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1173ae…
07-29 05:58:44	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdfa8d4…
07-28 05:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd32617…
07-27 07:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd507d5…
07-26 06:12:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64a32a…
07-25 00:44:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x374b6f…