(anonymous) 0xcb5961…7fafc8
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Realized P&L
-$134
Unrealized P&L
-$830
Hit rate
92.4%
Resolved
396
Trades
1,123
lifetime
Volume
$22.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.15K
22 positions
First seen
2026-10-05
last 10-26 22:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 23 days
Categories
Other
76% 82% +$64
Politics
14% 70% -$203
Sports
7% 100% +$2
Tech
2% 83% -$6
Pop-Culture
1% 80% +$11
Crypto
0% 67% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
21 active days in 12wk • peak 153 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement? No +1,310 $1,040 16¢ $203 -$837 10-19 06:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +180 $179 100¢ $180 +$0 10-15 08:08
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +170 $169 100¢ $170 +$1 10-15 16:09
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day? No +131 $109 88¢ $116 +$7 10-14 10:42
Will Movistar KOI win Worlds 2026? No +96 $96 99¢ $95 -$1 10-19 17:17
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +90 $78 90¢ $81 +$2 10-13 22:44
Will Brooklyn Nets win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +34 $34 100¢ $34 $0 10-14 04:22
Will Saquon Barkley win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +31 $31 100¢ $31 +$0 10-14 10:36
Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? No +27 $27 100¢ $27 +$0 10-19 14:04
Will LYON win Worlds 2026? No +26 $26 98¢ $26 $0 10-18 22:46
Will G2 Esports win Worlds 2026? No +26 $24 99¢ $26 +$1 10-11 00:02
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +24 $21 84¢ $21 +$0 10-26 17:42
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.75T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day? No +29 $22 70¢ $20 -$1 10-14 10:42
Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-26 03:32
Will Bruno Mars be the top artist for 2026? No +18 $18 99¢ $18 +$0 10-17 23:01
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +18 $17 98¢ $18 +$0 10-22 03:11
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +22 $18 78¢ $17 $0 10-20 21:07
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? No +18 $13 78¢ $14 +$1 10-14 10:42
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in US before 2027? No +14 $14 97¢ $14 +$0 10-07 04:32
Will Team Liquid win Worlds 2026? No +12 $12 99¢ $12 $0 10-15 15:41
Will CTBC Flying Oyster win Worlds 2026? No +7 $7 100¢ $7 $0 10-14 12:31
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +199 $4 0¢ $0 -$3 10-11 09:07