Humongous-Mechanic — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$446

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

575

Trades

605

lifetime

Volume

$3.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$17

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 10-30 07:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

74% 56% -$235

Sports

23% 36% -$179

Crypto

2% 20% -$31

Politics

1% 50% -$3

Tech

0% 50% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+42	$8	22¢	$9	+$1	07-09 15:32
Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+111	$10	6¢	$7	-$3	07-09 15:54
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+33	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-20 13:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$76	0	229	-229	Yes	-$153	05-31 18:48
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	1	$30	176	0	+176	No	-$30	04-23 02:10
nba por sas 2026 04 21 spread home 11pt5	1	$30	62	0	+62	Trail Blazers	-$30	04-21 22:58
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	1	$30	47	0	+47	Stars	+$17	04-23 02:40
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 16pt5	1	$30	65	0	+65	Suns	-$30	04-23 02:40
nba phx okc 2026 04 22 spread home 17pt5	1	$30	110	0	+110	Suns	-$30	04-23 04:11
nba orl det 2026 04 22	1	$30	130	0	+130	Pistons	-$30	04-22 21:38
nba phi bos 2026 04 21	1	$30	231	0	+231	76ers	+$201	04-21 22:58
nba phx okc 2026 04 22	1	$30	429	0	+429	Thunder	-$30	04-23 03:10
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	1	$26	40	0	+40	No	-$26	05-31 18:49
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	6	$22	28	16	+12	No	-$7	04-23 13:14
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	3	$16	38	32	+6	$80k	+$1	04-24 23:11
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	1	$15	35	0	+35	Yes	+$20	06-22 19:34
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on June 25?	1	$15	18	0	+18	No	+$3	06-23 05:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 25?	1	$15	23	0	+23	Yes	-$15	06-23 05:40
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 18?	1	$14	28	0	+28	Yes	-$14	06-16 05:12
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 18?	1	$14	23	0	+23	No	+$9	06-16 05:42
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 18?	1	$14	23	0	+23	Yes	-$14	06-16 05:42
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 17?	1	$14	21	0	+21	No	+$7	06-15 04:39
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 17?	1	$14	24	0	+24	No	+$10	06-15 06:54
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on June 11?	1	$14	22	0	+22	Yes	-$14	06-10 00:00
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 15?	1	$14	25	0	+25	No	+$11	06-13 10:51
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on June 16?	1	$14	22	0	+22	No	+$8	06-14 05:35
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16?	1	$14	22	0	+22	Yes	-$14	06-14 06:05
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 22?	1	$14	17	0	+17	No	+$3	06-20 05:15
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C or below on June 22?	1	$14	22	0	+22	Yes	-$14	06-20 06:15
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on June 17?	1	$14	22	0	+22	Yes	-$14	06-16 00:40
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 18?	1	$13	21	0	+21	No	+$7	06-17 00:01
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 15?	1	$13	18	0	+18	No	+$5	06-13 09:21
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 10?	1	$13	16	0	+16	No	+$3	07-08 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 07:28:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x24bcfc…
08-30 13:12:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on September 1?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x2984cb…
08-30 10:12:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 31?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xf129ff…
08-26 00:13:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe10104…
08-24 10:09:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on August 26?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf7fc7a…
08-24 09:09:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2a48cc…
08-23 19:48:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x350e8d…
08-23 19:18:43	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x6ea5d0…
08-23 15:48:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 24?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x438dba…
08-23 12:03:04	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x92b7b4…
08-23 06:47:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on August 24?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x07c7bb…
08-22 22:40:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x01aefa…
08-22 22:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 23?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb2b7d6…
08-22 04:23:57	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xeac372…
08-21 17:44:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x526c1d…
08-20 10:38:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe65b03…
08-19 02:19:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 20?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd4302b…
08-18 18:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 20?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x2e17e8…
08-18 04:31:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xdbd8f5…
08-17 05:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 19?	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0xe1274d…
08-17 03:26:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x4100c2…
08-16 16:25:16	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?	No	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x1bd8a8…
08-16 10:10:13	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 17?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x386e39…
08-16 07:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xedb160…
08-15 22:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xe6549a…
08-15 21:37:12	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	58	9¢	$5	0x381fe5…
08-14 11:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xcb62b5…
08-14 10:47:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x433b4a…
08-14 08:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x299bd3…
08-13 18:28:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x730d28…
08-13 05:27:58	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc1f1b8…
08-12 11:11:33	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xe74cfd…
08-12 10:41:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0ef3bd…
08-12 05:10:57	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on August 14?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x3e0f05…
08-11 12:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x07cb62…
08-11 05:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xcaf188…
08-11 02:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xbebaa9…
08-11 01:48:46	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfb2f69…
08-10 12:20:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x86f907…
08-10 08:20:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 12?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x71bc8c…
08-10 02:50:10	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 11?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x09943f…
08-10 01:16:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xf4b51c…
08-09 19:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xbe4e4d…
08-09 04:15:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xd5be65…
08-08 09:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on August 10?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xaceca4…
08-08 04:41:40	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 10?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x1ef391…
08-08 04:41:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x3350f4…
08-07 16:40:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd6bdb3…
08-07 14:40:57	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xdc7869…
08-07 08:25:42	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 9?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf57acb…
08-07 08:25:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x6bbe01…
08-06 09:22:02	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C or higher on August 8?	No	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x193486…
08-06 07:51:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 8?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xc2e2cf…
08-06 04:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xfd5eb7…
08-06 04:36:51	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x5809d8…
08-06 00:03:12	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 7?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xa0e971…
08-05 23:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x244154…
08-05 12:39:53	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	74	7¢	$5	0x37cf14…
08-05 06:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x14cfdf…
08-05 04:54:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 7?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x8d7613…
08-05 03:54:30	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x915eb1…
08-04 10:20:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xeb921b…
08-04 05:35:35	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on August 6?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x91bf08…
08-03 22:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 5?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xfa84fc…
08-03 10:31:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x631c38…
08-03 09:01:44	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xc8941d…
08-03 05:01:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 35°C on August 5?	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xdd545a…
08-03 00:58:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x19de4f…
08-03 00:28:47	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x4de782…
08-03 00:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 34°C on August 4?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf034fc…
08-02 07:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe5d31b…
08-02 07:22:53	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on August 4?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x9e4838…
08-02 03:37:29	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 3?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x20369d…
08-01 18:04:59	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x13c23d…
08-01 09:04:15	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 45°C or higher on August 2?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0xf8d972…
07-31 03:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc1af24…
07-31 01:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xceb511…
07-30 20:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 31?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd92087…
07-30 17:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x4ca0d5…
07-29 16:37:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x674fdf…
07-29 15:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on July 30?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc3a9ed…
07-29 11:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x80ec9a…
07-29 03:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x3bac0b…
07-28 21:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x763bde…
07-28 20:33:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x26ea19…
07-28 06:03:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x0b93e9…
07-28 01:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on July 29?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x0f23d2…
07-27 22:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xd7197e…
07-27 06:58:33	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xa4b10c…
07-27 01:25:13	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 28?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0xcd3c42…
07-26 22:25:00	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x61963b…
07-26 20:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x5a99a4…
07-26 18:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x8f5ec9…
07-26 18:54:43	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 27?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xc8bd5a…
07-19 04:58:57	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 44°C or higher on July 21?	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xa2026d…
07-18 07:25:21	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 20?	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x2288d0…
07-18 04:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on July 19?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xed1e91…
07-18 04:40:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x25bde1…
07-17 06:38:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on July 19?	No	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xcacaaa…
07-17 06:08:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 41°C or higher on July 19?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x3f7101…