Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$18.6K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.6%

Resolved

794

Trades

2,996

lifetime

Volume

$587.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$196

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-05 22:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 92 days

Categories

Crypto

69% 76% -$6,179

Other

27% 22% -$12,412

Politics

4% 60% -$14

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:15 UTC	4	$12.6K	6,396	6,394	+2	Up	+$112	01-23 18:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 13:45 UTC	2	$11.9K	6,032	6,031	+1	Down	+$56	01-23 14:01
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 460 479	10	$10.5K	5,554	5,554	+0	Yes	+$557	01-23 17:04
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$10.3K	5,419	5,419	+0	No	+$8	01-17 17:19
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 08:45 UTC	2	$9.4K	4,709	4,709	+0	Down	+$42	01-23 09:01
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 240 259	75	$8.9K	9,077	9,077	+0	Yes	-$74	02-17 15:16
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 00:00 UTC	2	$8.9K	4,450	4,450	+0	Up	+$40	01-22 00:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:15 UTC	3	$8.3K	4,172	4,172	+0	Down	+$37	01-21 20:30
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 360 379	7	$8.2K	5,287	5,287	+0	Yes	+$2,324	02-10 19:58
bitcoin up or down january 21 12pm et	2	$8.0K	4,023	4,023	+0	Up	+$42	01-21 18:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 23:15 UTC	2	$6.6K	6,915	0	+6,915	Down	-$6,557	01-23 23:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 19:00 UTC	1	$6.4K	6,453	0	+6,453	Down	+$95	01-23 19:12
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 17:15 UTC	5	$6.3K	6,392	0	+6,392	Up	+$128	01-23 17:26
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 18:45 UTC	4	$6.1K	3,534	3,504	+31	Down	+$863	01-20 19:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 18:30 UTC	1	$5.9K	5,950	0	+5,950	Down	+$59	01-23 18:44
elon musk of tweets february 14 february 16 65 89	20	$5.3K	6,952	2,715	+4,236	Yes	+$1,137	02-16 16:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-22 16:15 UTC	3	$5.0K	5,276	0	+5,276	Up	+$129	01-22 16:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 19:30 UTC	1	$4.7K	4,791	0	+4,791	Down	+$115	01-17 19:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-23 10:00 UTC	1	$4.7K	4,722	0	+4,722	Up	+$49	01-23 10:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 21:15 UTC	1	$4.5K	4,577	0	+4,577	Down	+$46	01-21 21:29
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	16	$4.5K	4,131	4,131	+0	Yes	+$14	01-23 12:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 20:30 UTC	10	$4.5K	4,626	0	+4,626	Up	+$151	01-21 20:44
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 260 279	17	$4.0K	4,924	7,142	-2,218	No	+$790	02-17 15:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-17 20:30 UTC	1	$4.0K	4,110	0	+4,110	Down	+$110	01-17 20:44
ethereum up or down january 18 4pm et	10	$4.0K	2,126	2,126	+0	Up	+$270	01-18 22:30
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 65 89	13	$3.9K	4,173	4,173	+0	No	-$428	02-17 19:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-20 01:15 UTC	5	$3.8K	2,002	1,999	+3	Up	+$128	01-20 01:30
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 19:45 UTC	2	$3.8K	4,292	0	+4,292	Up	+$530	01-21 19:56
XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-18 21:30 UTC	3	$3.6K	1,858	1,856	+1	Up	+$71	01-18 21:45
SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-21 13:00 UTC	3	$3.6K	3,767	0	+3,767	Up	+$134	01-21 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 22:53:31	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x416592…
10-05 22:53:08	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x28e61f…
10-05 22:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xdc4659…
10-01 23:58:59	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	25¢	$17	0xf8a426…
09-29 19:10:51	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x70ff44…
09-29 19:10:44	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	25¢	$15	0xf7eb17…
09-26 18:31:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0xd46f9d…
09-22 15:47:19	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd8d147…
09-19 22:11:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	20¢	$5	0x983199…
09-19 22:10:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf5767d…
09-19 22:10:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0x691d9b…
09-19 21:38:17	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	12¢	$30	0x0e0e4a…
09-16 16:53:47	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	12¢	$3	0xfe5bac…
09-16 11:24:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	503	12¢	$60	0x4326a3…
09-16 07:30:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	385	13¢	$50	0xe3ffa3…
09-15 19:04:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	162	11¢	$18	0xb45cab…
09-14 20:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0xdb5954…
09-14 20:32:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	237	19¢	$45	0x6dd886…
09-14 20:32:10	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	18¢	$45	0xcc3240…
04-18 10:37:16	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 6am et	Up	SELL	402	5¢	$20	0xf71444…
04-18 10:15:58	bitcoin up or down april 18 2026 6am et	Up	BUY	419	44¢	$184	0xfa9df2…
04-14 18:01:42	ethereum up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	Up	SELL	184	100¢	$184	0x0c238a…
04-14 17:50:40	ethereum up or down april 14 2026 1pm et	Up	BUY	189	66¢	$125	0xdf3880…
04-11 21:10:05	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	Yes	SELL	96	20¢	$19	0x32875c…
04-08 21:20:03	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 260 279	Yes	BUY	100	21¢	$21	0x295e32…
04-08 21:19:31	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	SELL	115	19¢	$22	0x0027b9…
04-05 17:09:19	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 260 279	Yes	BUY	120	17¢	$20	0xd1a1f8…
04-05 17:08:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	SELL	104	20¢	$21	0x594d64…
04-03 22:03:51	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	108	24¢	$26	0x3cfec8…
04-03 22:03:39	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	123	18¢	$22	0xbb1544…
04-03 18:25:01	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	SELL	210	2¢	$4	0x4b9465…
04-03 09:17:59	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 40 64	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0xaf587f…
04-02 14:44:35	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	111	14¢	$16	0xb73b55…
04-02 14:44:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	86	18¢	$16	0xa4513b…
04-02 08:57:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-02 08:45 UTC	Up	BUY	182	67¢	$122	0x0237d2…
04-01 21:58:11	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	38	39¢	$15	0xded22f…
04-01 21:57:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 21:45 UTC	Down	SELL	296	48¢	$142	0x76bfbe…
04-01 21:56:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	299	86¢	$258	0xf9082a…
04-01 21:02:17	ethereum up or down april 1 2026 4pm et	Up	SELL	258	100¢	$258	0x56d7b9…
04-01 20:53:31	ethereum up or down april 1 2026 4pm et	Up	BUY	259	93¢	$241	0xb0f83a…
04-01 14:45:05	bitcoin up or down april 1 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	243	93¢	$226	0x3f192b…
04-01 14:43:59	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 65 89	Yes	SELL	67	98¢	$66	0x0141ab…
04-01 11:55:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-01 11:45 UTC	Up	BUY	160	97¢	$155	0xb01566…
04-01 10:06:59	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	95	42¢	$40	0x16d132…
03-31 23:45:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:30 UTC	Up	SELL	195	100¢	$195	0x9e2f40…
03-31 23:37:19	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:30 UTC	Up	BUY	197	88¢	$173	0x5713cb…
03-31 23:10:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	173	93¢	$161	0x053256…
03-31 23:00:17	solana up or down march 31 2026 6pm et	Down	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xec44da…
03-31 23:00:07	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:45 UTC	Down	SELL	99	99¢	$98	0x58c0d6…
03-31 22:57:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 22:45 UTC	Down	BUY	99	93¢	$92	0xcc5a17…
03-31 22:55:29	solana up or down march 31 2026 6pm et	Up	SELL	73	17¢	$12	0xaa7fd3…
03-31 22:54:39	solana up or down march 31 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	76	46¢	$35	0x5bfa41…
03-31 22:49:13	solana up or down march 31 2026 6pm et	Down	BUY	63	87¢	$55	0x7dd948…
03-31 21:57:55	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 40 64	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x7c9662…
03-31 21:57:51	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 65 89	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0x880cd6…
03-31 17:41:05	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	221	97¢	$214	0x29c8b9…
03-31 17:12:33	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 17:00 UTC	Up	BUY	215	98¢	$210	0xba62af…
03-31 17:01:05	ethereum up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0xd863b1…
03-31 17:01:03	solana up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x49fe8a…
03-31 16:37:27	solana up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	116	87¢	$101	0x7d2f28…
03-31 16:36:25	xrp up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	37	48¢	$18	0x89b366…
03-31 16:35:47	xrp up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	SELL	186	47¢	$87	0xef19e6…
03-31 16:25:29	xrp up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	226	84¢	$191	0x367225…
03-31 16:23:37	ethereum up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	36	84¢	$30	0xb86948…
03-31 16:17:59	ethereum up or down march 31 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	61	82¢	$50	0x3bb216…
03-31 16:16:35	solana up or down march 31 2026 11am et	Up	SELL	271	100¢	$271	0xda8a31…
03-31 15:41:43	solana up or down march 31 2026 11am et	Up	BUY	273	90¢	$246	0x6bc7a4…
03-31 15:11:09	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-31 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	246	99¢	$243	0xfd1558…
03-31 13:37:25	solana up or down march 31 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	132	87¢	$115	0x5499a0…
03-31 13:36:41	ethereum up or down march 31 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x971939…
03-31 13:34:53	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	SELL	154	65¢	$99	0xd10cf3…
03-31 10:18:49	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	118	13¢	$15	0x0b3a3a…
03-31 09:53:03	elon musk of tweets march 30 april 1 40 64	Yes	SELL	85	11¢	$9	0x5c2a20…
03-31 07:14:11	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	136	6¢	$8	0xf2b11a…
03-30 22:14:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Down	SELL	151	56¢	$85	0x04daa3…
03-30 22:11:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Down	BUY	153	84¢	$129	0x5ffc1b…
03-30 22:09:29	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Up	SELL	54	33¢	$18	0x7176d4…
03-30 22:08:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x3ba588…
03-30 22:07:41	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xb00252…
03-30 22:04:47	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	124	12¢	$15	0xbff11f…
03-30 21:56:19	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	166	96¢	$160	0x28bb50…
03-30 19:59:11	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	Yes	BUY	105	8¢	$8	0xb8c07f…
03-30 19:58:59	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 220 239	Yes	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x6af85c…
03-30 13:00:18	ethereum up or down march 30 2026 8am et	Up	SELL	187	100¢	$187	0xd8933a…
03-30 12:52:44	ethereum up or down march 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	152	92¢	$139	0xdaf8c4…
03-30 12:52:02	ethereum up or down march 30 2026 8am et	Up	BUY	36	83¢	$30	0xbb96e6…
03-30 12:45:08	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	Up	SELL	170	100¢	$169	0xbea177…
03-30 12:39:50	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-30 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	171	84¢	$144	0xa80eec…
03-29 22:57:38	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	Yes	SELL	44	10¢	$4	0xe7494b…
03-29 22:57:20	xrp up or down march 29 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x7e03ce…
03-29 22:57:14	ethereum up or down march 29 2026 5pm et	Up	SELL	52	100¢	$52	0x536c8f…
03-29 21:34:28	ethereum up or down march 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	52	86¢	$45	0xd8c513…
03-29 21:32:34	xrp up or down march 29 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	89	87¢	$77	0x65bf3c…
03-29 21:20:52	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0xaa29e5…
03-29 20:41:20	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	142	95¢	$135	0xbbf976…
03-29 19:40:28	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-29 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	136	82¢	$112	0xdf47af…
03-29 19:05:12	elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	Yes	SELL	81	50¢	$41	0x5d0372…
03-29 19:03:54	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 2pm et	Up	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x11731a…
03-29 18:37:50	bitcoin up or down march 29 2026 2pm et	Up	BUY	72	77¢	$56	0x5e1c24…
03-29 18:36:14	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 180 199	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x865c6c…