Dear-Stove — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.74K

Unrealized P&L

+$219

Hit rate

59.5%

Resolved

684

Trades

3,985

lifetime

Volume

$224.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$56

Open exposure

$375

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-01 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 237 days

Categories

Other

95% 57% -$5,295

Sports

3% 67% -$178

Crypto

2% 61% -$264

Politics

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	+400	$320	82¢	$329	+$10	10-29 05:49
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-389	-$93	6¢	$-23	+$70	04-28 14:18
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	-340	-$161	6¢	$-22	+$139	04-28 14:17

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
cricipl kol luc 2026 04 09	75	$8.5K	8,646	9,594	-948	Lucknow Super Giants	-$496	04-09 17:45
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants	59	$8.5K	7,011	7,305	-294	Rajasthan Royals	+$419	05-19 17:47
cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	67	$5.5K	7,490	7,490	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$1,482	04-10 17:37
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	37	$5.3K	5,583	5,583	+0	Sunrisers Hyderabad	-$1,104	04-29 17:39
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indians	79	$4.8K	7,366	7,466	-100	Kolkata Knight Riders	-$281	05-20 18:56
cbb howrd umbc 2026 03 17	9	$4.2K	4,020	4,500	-480	Howard Bison	-$251	03-17 19:27
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	72	$3.6K	3,324	3,726	-402	EDward Gaming	+$219	05-24 10:09
cricipl roy che 2026 04 05	17	$3.5K	1,950	1,949	+1	Royal Challengers Bangalore	+$406	04-05 17:00
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev	51	$3.1K	1,791	1,702	+89	Jannik Sinner	+$26	05-15 20:10
elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 0 39	17	$3.1K	1,569	1,569	+0	No	-$6	02-23 16:42
atp shelton sinner 2026 01 28	2	$3.0K	1,501	1,501	+0	Sinner	-$1	01-28 10:16
crint ind pak 2026 02 15	26	$2.9K	2,666	933	+1,734	India	+$191	02-15 16:13
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	40	$2.9K	2,364	3,100	-736	Gujarat Titans	+$396	04-08 17:49
crint gbr npl 2026 02 08	24	$2.8K	2,089	880	+1,208	England	+$85	02-08 15:04
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	51	$2.5K	2,653	2,553	+100	Sunrisers Hyderabad	+$188	05-18 17:03
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Gujarat Titans	24	$2.4K	2,000	2,000	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$3	05-09 17:22
crint gbr ind 2026 03 05	5	$2.4K	3,541	0	+3,541	India	+$1,168	03-04 21:11
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies	46	$2.3K	1,941	1,677	+263	cancelled	+$7	10-18 02:18
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kings	16	$2.1K	1,350	1,350	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$113	05-21 17:26
wta sabalen jovic 2026 01 27	1	$2.1K	2,177	0	+2,177	Sabalenka	+$65	01-27 01:52
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	13	$2.1K	2,624	2,624	+0	No	-$214	05-15 12:46
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals	17	$2.1K	1,821	1,821	+0	Rajasthan Royals	-$364	04-28 18:53
crint gbr3 wst4 2026 06 24	33	$2.0K	1,017	1,017	+0	England	+$38	06-24 20:08
crint bgd pak 2026 03 15	45	$1.9K	1,495	1,495	+0	Bangladesh	-$172	03-15 16:36
crint zaf wst 2026 01 29 completed match	3	$1.9K	937	937	+0	Yes	+$0	01-29 21:29
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina	29	$1.8K	907	980	-73	Aryna Sabalenka	+$13	05-30 13:52
Will New Zealand win?	28	$1.8K	1,174	1,174	+0	Yes	+$114	05-29 14:19
crint lka zwe 2026 02 19	2	$1.8K	1,845	0	+1,845	Zimbabwe	+$45	02-19 12:47
Geneva Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Casper Ruud	17	$1.8K	1,048	1,000	+48	Casper Ruud	+$17	05-21 14:03
cricipl raj mum 2026 04 07	21	$1.7K	1,595	1,400	+195	Rajasthan Royals	-$111	04-07 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 15:13:39	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0xd89f66…
11-01 15:01:43	Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin Damm	Martin Damm	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xf01572…
11-01 14:48:30	Curitiba: Alice Tubello vs Julia Grabher	Julia Grabher	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x49592b…
11-01 14:47:24	Brest: Moise Kouame vs Martin Damm	Martin Damm	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xf0e4c7…
11-01 13:45:49	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Benjamin Bonzi vs Yannick Hanfmann	Yannick Hanfmann	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x20ee51…
11-01 13:39:46	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Juan Manuel Cerundolo	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xbff06a…
11-01 13:37:24	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0xc53c5b…
11-01 13:37:01	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0xaa77a8…
11-01 13:35:58	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x0521a9…
11-01 13:35:57	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic	Miomir Kecmanovic	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x233c5f…
11-01 13:25:40	Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	7	72¢	$5	0xca820c…
11-01 13:24:37	Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x1c3cd7…
11-01 13:23:48	Set Handicap: Carlos Alcaraz (-1.5) vs Alex de Minaur (+1.5)	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	21	71¢	$15	0x7101fc…
11-01 13:22:18	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	23	87¢	$20	0xe2fe38…
11-01 13:22:15	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	25	87¢	$22	0x2464b0…
11-01 13:22:07	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	SELL	52	87¢	$45	0x7f58cf…
11-01 13:19:33	Erste Bank Open: Alex de Minaur vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0x928958…
11-01 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0xf72691…
11-01 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	86	94¢	$81	0x879cf7…
11-01 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x6dd58b…
11-01 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	100	94¢	$94	0x50123d…
11-01 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0x44dfbd…
11-01 13:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x052964…
11-01 13:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	94¢	$9	0x5c2b1b…
11-01 13:07:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x1535c0…
11-01 13:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0xf3ce03…
11-01 13:04:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	59	93¢	$55	0xb02551…
11-01 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xdafa13…
11-01 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	82	93¢	$76	0xd91367…
11-01 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0x8f8050…
11-01 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x78a8ea…
11-01 13:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x29e1c8…
11-01 13:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x3cbd6c…
11-01 11:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	29¢	$2	0x36cbbd…
11-01 11:57:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	29¢	$0	0xfb881a…
11-01 11:55:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x170d4f…
11-01 11:06:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	88¢	$3	0x724aea…
11-01 10:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x48e5eb…
11-01 10:53:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x73c58d…
11-01 10:50:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x589b46…
11-01 10:50:00	Chennai Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Weronika Falkowska	Viktoria Morvayova	SELL	23	18¢	$4	0xc282a5…
11-01 10:48:30	Chennai Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Weronika Falkowska	Viktoria Morvayova	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x47b7c9…
11-01 10:36:52	Chennai Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Weronika Falkowska	Weronika Falkowska	SELL	14	47¢	$7	0x91cf47…
11-01 10:28:55	Ireland Tour of Namibia ODIs: Namibia vs Ireland	Namibia	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xf92f30…
11-01 10:20:51	Chennai Open, Qualification: Viktoria Morvayova vs Weronika Falkowska	Weronika Falkowska	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0x04a31c…
11-01 10:20:49	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x0f081b…
11-01 10:07:39	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	SELL	142	5¢	$7	0x0554bf…
11-01 06:52:48	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	India	BUY	142	54¢	$76	0xce4a8f…
10-31 17:09:49	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Alex de Minaur	Alexander Zverev	BUY	15	44¢	$7	0xe90e96…
10-31 14:42:24	Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x51bc8a…
10-31 14:24:48	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Noma Noha Akugue	Anna Blinkova	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x700cf3…
10-31 14:24:39	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Noma Noha Akugue	Anna Blinkova	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xbe1ce3…
10-31 14:24:15	Courmayeur: Anna Blinkova vs Noma Noha Akugue	Anna Blinkova	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x3f49fc…
10-31 14:22:40	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xb68f0e…
10-31 13:53:03	ICC Cricket World Cup Challenge League A: Kenya vs Papua New Guinea	Kenya	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x632efc…
10-31 12:56:06	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xbe2d4a…
10-31 12:47:07	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xed3aae…
10-31 12:47:06	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x29cd1d…
10-31 12:45:15	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xff09cf…
10-31 12:45:06	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3a2981…
10-31 07:57:28	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka	Pakistan	BUY	26	65¢	$17	0x45b9d5…
10-31 07:14:42	Big Bash League, Women: Adelaide Strikers vs Melbourne Stars	Adelaide Strikers	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0xc11734…
10-31 06:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0xcaade3…
10-31 06:10:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xc5e0cf…
10-31 04:49:03	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x141a83…
10-30 09:38:06	Will Bangladesh win?	Yes	SELL	9	35¢	$3	0x883a73…
10-30 09:36:09	Hong Kong Sixes: United Arab Emirates vs India	India	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x661a34…
10-30 08:56:07	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	400	70¢	$280	0x72b854…
10-30 08:50:18	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x28e211…
10-30 08:34:27	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0xade7da…
10-30 08:29:43	Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x5d26b4…
10-30 08:11:25	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	246	50¢	$123	0x1f6434…
10-30 08:02:00	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x844d22…
10-30 07:59:46	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	35	43¢	$15	0xe783ad…
10-30 07:59:19	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x90fa41…
10-30 07:56:46	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	49	44¢	$21	0x0f01a4…
10-30 07:45:54	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	SELL	105	54¢	$57	0x92babf…
10-30 07:08:07	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	69	35¢	$24	0xb15e1f…
10-30 07:08:01	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xb48d12…
10-30 07:07:46	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xff9276…
10-30 07:06:31	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x5dbe26…
10-30 07:02:58	India Tour of New Zealand T20s: New Zealand vs India	New Zealand	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x649cc9…
10-30 00:42:39	Predict.fun FDV above $2.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0x3fbfad…
10-29 17:13:13	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	78	98¢	$76	0x52cd3c…
10-29 17:12:50	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	53	98¢	$52	0x8cd883…
10-29 17:11:34	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	264	98¢	$260	0xe1c117…
10-29 17:11:22	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	59	98¢	$58	0x5a5ddb…
10-29 16:09:11	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	182	94¢	$172	0xc01544…
10-29 16:09:02	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0x270a66…
10-29 16:09:01	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0x230f78…
10-29 16:08:59	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Afghanistan	BUY	167	94¢	$157	0xfb115a…
10-29 15:59:41	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0xf8e8c3…
10-29 15:19:14	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x350da0…
10-29 06:07:32	England and Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan ODIs: Sri Lanka vs England	England	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0xc9eea2…
10-29 05:49:49	Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	400	80¢	$320	0x73f9ff…
10-27 18:42:05	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	SELL	77	47¢	$36	0x400d3a…
10-27 18:06:21	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0x426ff7…
10-27 17:57:42	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	26	53¢	$14	0x9f9459…
10-27 17:45:45	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	25	74¢	$19	0x7897a9…
10-27 16:12:05	Afghanistan and Zimbabwe in the UAE T20s: Afghanistan vs Zimbabwe	Zimbabwe	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x04167d…