Immediate-Spiral — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$461

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.0%

Resolved

136

Trades

716

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-24

last 09-18 13:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Other

59% 19% +$670

Tech

26% 50% -$570

Crypto

15% 20% +$361

Sports

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	53	$3.0K	7,952	7,952	+0	No	+$612	09-17 14:18
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	32	$2.0K	3,690	640	+3,051	Yes	-$1,223	07-24 16:43
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	13	$1.2K	2,159	2,159	+0	No	+$279	09-06 07:49
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?	8	$831	918	696	+222	No	+$653	07-23 21:03
Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	7	$476	641	641	+0	No	+$3	09-17 16:59
Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	4	$437	743	743	+0	No	-$43	09-18 13:20
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	17	$373	3,865	3,865	+0	No	-$98	09-08 17:41
Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	3	$253	172	172	+0	No	+$39	06-16 17:24
Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?	7	$237	615	615	+0	No	-$75	06-27 07:50
Will Dan Motreanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	13	$169	7,810	7,810	+0	No	-$107	06-26 07:18
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:05 UTC	6	$160	240	0	+240	Down	+$80	07-16 17:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:40 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	07-21 18:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 19:15 UTC	1	$100	106	0	+106	Down	+$6	07-17 19:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 19:55 UTC	1	$100	102	0	+102	Up	+$2	07-21 19:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:15 UTC	2	$70	151	0	+151	Up	-$19	07-16 17:19
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$60	2,308	2,308	+0	No	$0	06-18 17:33
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:30 UTC	16	$59	200	125	+75	Down	+$19	07-21 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	7	$59	200	50	+150	Up	-$19	09-06 14:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	8	$45	100	50	+50	Down	+$55	09-09 18:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:45 UTC	14	$42	100	40	+60	Down	-$2	07-21 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	7	$40	100	50	+50	Down	+$50	09-06 06:13
Will Ilie Bolojan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	5	$36	578	578	+0	No	-$10	08-01 10:03
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:25 UTC	2	$30	100	0	+100	Up	+$70	07-21 18:27
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 18:35 UTC	7	$29	170	0	+170	Up	-$29	07-21 18:37
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 17:20 UTC	1	$27	90	0	+90	Up	-$27	07-16 17:21
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 18:55 UTC	1	$25	100	0	+100	Down	-$25	07-22 18:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 11:05 UTC	4	$24	270	0	+270	Up	-$24	07-18 11:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 15:40 UTC	5	$22	50	25	+25	Up	+$28	07-22 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	2	$20	100	0	+100	Down	-$20	09-09 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	10	$20	100	0	+100	Up	-$20	09-09 18:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-18 13:20:23	Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0xadb4bd…
09-18 12:36:47	Will Alexandru Rogobete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x73d124…
09-17 16:59:22	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	81	47¢	$38	0xf0b3a8…
09-17 16:55:52	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	419	47¢	$197	0xa90c3f…
09-17 14:59:33	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	446	45¢	$201	0xcf8ffa…
09-17 14:59:22	Will Siegfried Mureșan be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x1f9270…
09-17 14:18:34	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	2,388	8¢	$180	0x76a153…
09-10 14:53:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	45	15¢	$7	0xecdc6e…
09-09 19:06:45	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	236	21¢	$50	0x9fd1de…
09-09 18:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0xce2eb5…
09-09 18:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0xba80fb…
09-09 18:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	83	20¢	$17	0xefb259…
09-09 18:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	20¢	$1	0xceba2c…
09-09 18:52:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x7cb17f…
09-09 18:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xcb1adb…
09-09 18:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x86fa6b…
09-09 18:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x64ac82…
09-09 18:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6090a3…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	63	20¢	$13	0xf8d8f5…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x920a82…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x8f4126…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x7fd4ee…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x7d415b…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x79568b…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x70d7fa…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x453a90…
09-09 18:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x142cdd…
09-09 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0xb33f8d…
09-09 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	84	10¢	$8	0x59f45d…
09-09 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	111	10¢	$11	0x4abc85…
09-09 18:37:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x3f7254…
09-09 18:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0xd96bfd…
09-09 18:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x37c04c…
09-09 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x66cd13…
09-09 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3e986c…
09-09 18:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x16a4d9…
09-09 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xfcea80…
09-09 18:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	71	20¢	$14	0x5930ac…
09-09 18:29:33	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xbaec95…
09-09 18:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0xfcffc5…
09-09 18:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe07897…
09-09 18:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	20¢	$2	0x9345f9…
09-09 18:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x180eb1…
09-09 18:27:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x0c7150…
09-09 18:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0xaad512…
09-09 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	38	20¢	$8	0xc1a648…
09-09 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xb85a80…
09-09 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x7e44dc…
09-09 18:27:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	31	20¢	$6	0x39f9ee…
09-09 18:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	31	50¢	$15	0xa2e74e…
09-09 18:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	50¢	$4	0x71185a…
09-09 18:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x6cf216…
09-09 18:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x2c067d…
09-09 18:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x248d36…
09-09 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x689f7b…
09-09 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x2f8b74…
09-09 18:21:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	29	20¢	$6	0x1f2be0…
09-09 18:17:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x6e71fb…
09-09 15:04:27	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	485	21¢	$100	0x231fd0…
09-09 07:11:09	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x498880…
09-08 17:41:12	Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	578	1¢	$6	0x951df9…
09-07 07:56:45	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	230	19¢	$43	0x443321…
09-06 18:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0xf31208…
09-06 18:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	29	15¢	$4	0x7fe422…
09-06 18:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x6273b8…
09-06 18:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	15¢	$1	0x0f08d0…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xe9c667…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x975e5f…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	15¢	$3	0x5eddf4…
09-06 18:02:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	30	15¢	$4	0x2607da…
09-06 17:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x907d9a…
09-06 17:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x7043f0…
09-06 17:57:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x626535…
09-06 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xab154b…
09-06 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x8c8111…
09-06 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x759b35…
09-06 17:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x05d2df…
09-06 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x4724cc…
09-06 17:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	37	20¢	$7	0x391cb6…
09-06 14:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xd765f5…
09-06 14:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xa69b04…
09-06 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xff24aa…
09-06 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xfe14c9…
09-06 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3b3c3c…
09-06 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	0	20¢	$0	0x2aa8d9…
09-06 14:01:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x19eab2…
09-06 13:57:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0x1dbd1f…
09-06 13:24:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc401e7…
09-06 12:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xadab7c…
09-06 07:49:13	Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	SELL	107	10¢	$11	0x80f0e2…
09-06 06:23:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x9013fd…
09-06 06:18:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x19a5f3…
09-06 06:13:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$3	0x4cf6ec…
09-06 06:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	40¢	$4	0xcb5bdb…
09-06 06:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	15	40¢	$6	0x1fa19a…
09-06 06:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0x1c2eac…
09-06 06:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x77ddb8…
09-06 06:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	48	20¢	$10	0x46f510…
09-06 06:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	47	20¢	$9	0x35eceb…
09-05 09:33:43	Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xd07fb1…