Mellow-Dandelion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$713

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.8%

Resolved

971

Trades

2,678

lifetime

Volume

$42.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-12

last 09-04 01:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 36% -$604

Other

1% 12% -$120

Politics

0% 33% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 5 9am et	11	$918	1,453	1,453	+0	Down	+$384	02-05 14:56
ethereum up or down february 5 7pm et	15	$713	2,057	626	+1,431	Up	+$15	02-06 00:55
ethereum up or down february 6 2am et	13	$708	1,350	782	+568	Down	+$160	02-06 07:57
ethereum up or down february 5 12pm et	13	$601	2,683	884	+1,799	Down	+$39	02-05 17:50
bitcoin up or down february 5 1pm et	10	$586	712	712	+0	Up	+$392	02-05 19:00
ethereum up or down february 5 5pm et	12	$538	1,124	395	+730	Up	+$78	02-05 22:56
ethereum up or down on march 12	12	$524	714	705	+9	Up	+$45	03-12 15:28
bitcoin up or down february 5 5pm et	11	$511	1,023	360	+663	Up	+$34	02-05 22:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 12:00 UTC	5	$453	454	450	+4	Down	+$174	02-05 12:09
ethereum up or down march 12 1pm et	8	$382	1,506	388	+1,118	Down	-$2	03-12 17:55
ethereum up or down march 12 5am et	14	$374	949	947	+2	Up	+$172	03-12 09:47
ethereum up or down march 12 8am et	10	$347	752	748	+4	Up	+$77	03-12 12:51
ethereum up or down march 12 2pm et	11	$312	877	305	+572	Down	-$27	03-12 18:49
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 13:00 UTC	6	$307	329	327	+2	Down	+$160	02-05 13:14
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 2pm et	6	$299	449	446	+3	Down	+$126	03-25 18:55
bitcoin above 66k on june 15 2026	3	$276	274	274	+0	Yes	+$84	06-15 11:22
ethereum up or down february 6 9am et	7	$260	335	335	+0	Up	+$8	02-06 14:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2AM ET	7	$239	290	205	+85	Up	+$75	05-26 06:57
ethereum up or down march 25 2026 2am et	8	$237	362	279	+82	Down	+$61	03-25 06:58
ethereum up or down march 12 6pm et	13	$237	539	537	+3	Up	+$75	03-12 22:56
ethereum up or down june 4 2026 7pm et	6	$236	219	197	+22	Up	+$135	06-04 23:56
will bitcoin reach 67k on june 15	5	$228	158	158	+0	Yes	+$62	06-15 15:47
ethereum up or down march 12 3pm et	5	$228	643	72	+571	Up	-$154	03-12 19:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-05 08:30 UTC	8	$222	217	214	+3	Down	+$23	02-05 08:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 9AM ET	10	$221	439	439	+0	Down	+$107	05-26 13:57
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 12:30 UTC	3	$218	404	340	+64	Up	+$39	03-12 12:43
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-14 22:00 UTC	4	$217	173	173	+0	Up	+$122	06-14 22:14
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC	6	$209	256	253	+3	Down	+$56	03-12 18:13
ethereum up or down march 1 12pm et	9	$209	330	330	+0	Down	+$23	03-01 17:53
ethereum up or down march 12 9am et	3	$207	407	403	+4	Down	+$7	03-12 13:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 01:15:42	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	38¢	$9	0x6e2bf8…
09-04 01:08:57	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9aea20…
09-04 01:07:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x7143d7…
09-04 01:07:31	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xaa83be…
09-04 01:03:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	35	28¢	$10	0x72047d…
09-04 00:54:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	36	34¢	$12	0xd38b11…
09-04 00:53:13	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	SELL	45	76¢	$34	0x45f528…
09-04 00:51:48	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3782ee…
09-04 00:51:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf83de4…
09-04 00:49:49	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xedf949…
09-04 00:48:00	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	47¢	$8	0xfc6274…
09-04 00:47:24	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x978cb3…
09-04 00:43:34	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	86	3¢	$3	0x728b91…
09-04 00:43:04	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	24	94¢	$22	0xecaeee…
09-04 00:41:33	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x2e0929…
09-04 00:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	18	2¢	$0	0x8528bd…
09-04 00:32:07	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x0c0f29…
09-04 00:28:54	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	22	51¢	$11	0x17f08f…
09-04 00:26:55	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	22¢	$5	0x86d75e…
09-04 00:26:25	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	SELL	52	72¢	$37	0xccf164…
09-04 00:24:51	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	20¢	$5	0x296600…
09-04 00:24:21	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	27	18¢	$5	0xaa80f3…
09-04 00:22:16	Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0x72614f…
08-04 23:51:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	41	22¢	$9	0x59574c…
08-04 23:48:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0xa9ea1b…
08-04 23:42:24	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x3ec165…
08-04 23:20:48	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x42fe01…
08-04 23:20:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x9c6476…
08-04 23:16:05	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbe4bc6…
08-04 23:10:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9088d6…
08-04 23:08:44	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-04 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0xc3f4f4…
08-01 16:52:14	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xaff360…
08-01 16:19:05	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x8f376f…
08-01 16:18:09	bitcoin up or down august 1 2026 12pm et	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x7db361…
07-27 23:24:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x00dd64…
07-27 23:05:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	46	21¢	$10	0x3079e5…
07-27 23:01:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xfd517b…
07-27 22:57:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:55 UTC	Down	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0x9d5340…
07-27 22:56:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 22:55 UTC	Down	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0x0901d2…
07-27 22:55:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 22:45 UTC	Up	SELL	118	0¢	$0	0x2255e4…
07-27 22:53:36	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 22:45 UTC	Up	BUY	118	3¢	$3	0x08425d…
07-18 00:35:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-18 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	65	12¢	$8	0x062555…
07-17 23:04:30	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 23:00 UTC	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0xf7469e…
07-17 21:53:18	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	56	17¢	$10	0x798590…
07-17 21:46:31	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x1623cf…
07-17 21:45:43	ethereum up or down july 17 2026 5pm et	Up	BUY	24	37¢	$9	0xfeaa40…
07-17 21:33:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	46	9¢	$4	0x67e381…
07-17 21:32:24	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x7627ea…
07-17 21:30:40	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x880924…
07-17 21:24:49	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xc10c9c…
07-17 21:20:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x83e9e0…
07-17 21:18:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x87c7f5…
07-17 20:47:04	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:45 UTC	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x7df793…
07-17 20:45:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 20:30 UTC	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x9df846…
07-17 20:44:09	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-17 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x683486…
07-17 20:38:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 20:35 UTC	Up	BUY	23	17¢	$4	0xb05e2e…
07-17 01:31:12	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x29d1e0…
07-17 01:24:35	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:20 UTC	Up	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0xf3b304…
07-17 01:23:01	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 01:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x539d54…
07-14 13:11:53	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x7fc334…
07-13 00:48:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 00:45 UTC	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x9826d0…
07-13 00:37:56	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-13 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0xdc20a9…
07-13 00:35:11	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-13 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd8af45…
07-07 01:20:56	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	35	11¢	$4	0x44369c…
07-07 01:16:52	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	50	15¢	$7	0xc206a9…
07-07 01:07:08	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0x9f0892…
07-07 01:04:46	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	68	12¢	$8	0x0167ae…
07-07 01:02:56	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 9pm et	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xfbef3f…
07-07 00:49:59	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 8pm et	Up	SELL	46	87¢	$40	0x7d35a9…
07-07 00:43:14	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x1462d0…
07-07 00:39:56	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 8pm et	Up	BUY	39	59¢	$23	0xe34c32…
07-07 00:37:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-07 00:30 UTC	Up	BUY	90	11¢	$10	0xa77e97…
07-07 00:37:20	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 00:35 UTC	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x47181a…
07-06 23:55:53	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0xd5064d…
07-06 23:53:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x158dde…
07-06 23:47:37	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:45 UTC	Up	BUY	42	33¢	$14	0xb61649…
07-06 23:41:58	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:30 UTC	Down	SELL	39	87¢	$34	0xc44451…
07-06 23:32:59	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:30 UTC	Down	BUY	39	35¢	$14	0x6a9ed9…
07-06 23:29:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:25 UTC	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x24216a…
07-06 23:20:56	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	51	18¢	$9	0xdbb789…
07-06 23:18:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5aff34…
07-06 23:17:55	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:15 UTC	Up	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0xf6edde…
07-06 23:11:34	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	18	33¢	$6	0x162b21…
07-06 23:11:17	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xc2d7e3…
07-06 23:09:19	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:05 UTC	Down	SELL	68	97¢	$66	0x393980…
07-06 23:06:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	32	27¢	$9	0xdbf611…
07-06 23:06:22	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:05 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x4842f7…
07-06 23:02:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 23:00 UTC	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x47b268…
07-06 22:52:25	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	53	17¢	$9	0x857b53…
07-06 22:49:25	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0xa80bbb…
07-06 22:32:26	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0xa07f9c…
07-06 22:30:14	ethereum up or down july 6 2026 6pm et	Up	BUY	247	16¢	$40	0xbda31e…
07-06 22:25:10	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	97	9¢	$9	0x4fb2df…
07-06 22:24:04	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	28	32¢	$9	0x6e0cff…
07-06 22:22:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 22:15 UTC	Up	BUY	59	32¢	$19	0x2a3b03…
07-06 22:10:47	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xec326c…
07-06 22:06:38	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xbded9d…
07-06 21:56:35	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 21:45 UTC	Up	SELL	29	87¢	$25	0x63a548…
07-06 21:48:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x13f1f1…
07-06 21:47:32	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-06 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x6b13cb…