Forthright-Return — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$96

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.6%

Resolved

147

Trades

613

lifetime

Volume

$4.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 06-04 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 80% +$96

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 55 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (10) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$16	20	0	+20	Up	+$4	05-06 18:40
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-29 16:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$16	43	0	+43	Down	$-16	05-07 22:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-04 19:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	05-16 08:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$15	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-14 05:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 13:51
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 04:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	3	$15	20	0	+20	Up	$-5	05-05 12:37
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 12:47
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	2	$15	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 12:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	2	$14	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 15:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	2	$14	21	0	+21	Up	$-3	05-08 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	2	$14	20	0	+20	Up	$-4	05-05 13:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$14	20	0	+20	Down	$-4	05-05 15:33
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	2	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 15:30
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	2	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	05-29 19:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 12:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	2	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-03 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	2	$12	21	0	+21	Down	$-12	05-07 17:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$12	20	0	+20	Up	+$8	05-06 10:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	05-02 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 12:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 14:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-03 02:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	open	—	05-01 12:57
XRP Up or Down - May 1, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$9	10	5	+5	open	—	05-01 15:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-29 02:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-03 14:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	1	$9	10	0	+10	Up	$-9	05-05 04:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 05:26:39	xrp updown 5m 1780550700	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe4624f…
06-04 05:15:52	eth updown 5m 1780550100	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x6bd24e…
06-04 04:25:58	eth updown 5m 1780547100	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x5c6982…
06-04 03:35:58	xrp updown 5m 1780544100	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd34fdf…
06-04 02:51:39	xrp updown 5m 1780541400	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x5e35c1…
06-04 02:51:13	eth updown 5m 1780541400	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xd7be1f…
06-04 02:36:58	sol updown 5m 1780540500	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xe4df36…
06-04 01:15:58	eth updown 5m 1780535700	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe8442d…
06-04 01:06:52	btc updown 5m 1780535100	Up	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xa8e24c…
06-03 23:21:10	eth updown 5m 1780528800	Up	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x14e9ad…
06-03 22:51:19	eth updown 5m 1780527000	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x785285…
06-03 22:30:54	eth updown 5m 1780525800	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x36ccdd…
06-03 22:21:07	xrp updown 5m 1780525200	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x435461…
06-03 21:20:54	eth updown 5m 1780521600	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x1412f9…
06-03 20:01:40	btc updown 5m 1780516800	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd54d64…
06-03 20:00:52	eth updown 5m 1780516800	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xacde16…
06-03 18:51:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xccd0b5…
06-03 18:46:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd19fb8…
06-03 18:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xaf54ea…
06-03 17:55:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3080ef…
06-03 17:46:00	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x46e4d7…
06-03 16:20:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xc02606…
06-03 16:06:25	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xf0b91c…
06-03 13:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x5b056e…
06-03 11:11:40	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x617760…
06-03 10:40:59	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc6b92d…
06-03 10:01:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x13a43d…
06-03 09:56:39	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x094540…
06-03 09:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x782661…
06-03 07:35:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc4e358…
06-03 07:35:48	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x174afa…
06-03 07:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xc6c8cd…
06-03 05:26:55	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xdd9a35…
06-03 05:25:59	XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc0f6b2…
06-03 04:41:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x48c925…
06-03 04:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xe6b845…
06-03 03:46:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x39e341…
06-03 03:36:00	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x4ce611…
06-03 02:46:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc6f3ba…
06-03 01:21:13	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7f7188…
06-03 01:06:20	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x697173…
06-02 23:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xa6d8b9…
06-02 23:16:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xf34749…
06-02 22:06:54	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x0707d0…
06-02 22:06:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xfc206e…
06-02 21:36:06	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x6c210c…
06-02 21:30:58	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x6f6b1d…
06-02 20:56:18	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x0130bb…
06-02 20:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xd032fc…
06-02 20:01:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x6ff252…
06-02 20:01:03	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0xd583d5…
06-02 19:41:04	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x31e751…
06-02 19:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x77e5c1…
06-02 18:40:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xec00e3…
06-02 18:35:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xf81374…
06-02 17:11:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x9cd81c…
06-02 16:31:05	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x7de6ee…
06-02 16:01:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x459963…
06-02 15:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x437280…
06-02 15:30:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xd5b546…
06-02 15:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x177b0e…
06-02 15:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8b6905…
06-02 15:06:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x28fcb4…
06-02 14:15:59	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x1d57b9…
06-02 14:15:54	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x33bb4d…
06-02 14:01:54	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x41f4ac…
06-02 13:25:59	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc279e1…
06-02 09:51:49	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xfa659a…
06-02 09:45:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xabc6da…
06-02 08:15:59	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x73954f…
06-02 07:46:00	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x827c76…
06-02 07:21:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7888e9…
06-02 07:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x5aa132…
06-02 06:55:58	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x85a88f…
06-02 06:06:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x361fa0…
06-02 05:16:03	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0e7c3f…
06-02 03:51:47	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x453143…
06-02 03:30:59	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x545f5a…
06-02 02:40:56	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xd8c2e2…
06-02 02:05:49	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0x496fae…
06-02 01:11:15	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xc5c41a…
06-01 20:11:57	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xd17d44…
06-01 19:21:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0x998b84…
06-01 19:21:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x32b4f5…
06-01 19:01:50	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x858335…
06-01 18:46:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x6d94c0…
06-01 18:01:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x9764b4…
06-01 17:36:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xec80ab…
06-01 16:46:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc2c74d…
06-01 16:46:19	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x969b33…
06-01 16:06:04	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0xbc5fb6…
06-01 16:05:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x9fb84d…
06-01 15:40:59	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xc4378c…
06-01 14:16:00	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xaa32d5…
06-01 14:10:50	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x3254ff…
06-01 14:05:51	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa72708…
06-01 13:51:14	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x9417f8…
06-01 13:36:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xc88650…
06-01 12:56:10	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x8c3ab2…
06-01 12:26:09	Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xffa512…