Considerate-Pickax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.8%

Resolved

Trades

306

lifetime

Volume

$308

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-16 08:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

35% 0% $-0

Politics

32% 0% $-0

Crypto

26% 50% +$0

Tech

4% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

60 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:24
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	01-14 03:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 07:10
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-28 08:47
bitcoin above 68k on april 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 03:00
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 08:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:49
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:45
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 08:22
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:50
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 06:23
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 09:10
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 06:54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 07:24
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:53
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:55
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 9corhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 07:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 07:07
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 03:44
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 06:03
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 03:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 07:02
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 06:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	01-12 03:25
bitcoin above 66k on march 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-10 04:14
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-21 08:22
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 08:31:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8ab161…
06-16 08:30:51	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe4a36e…
06-16 08:11:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa3db84…
06-16 08:04:46	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c066c…
06-15 07:32:36	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc72754…
06-15 07:31:07	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec6d60…
06-15 07:15:57	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c899c…
06-13 09:10:31	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe0dd37…
06-13 08:56:18	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xce34d9…
06-12 08:39:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x51c48b…
06-12 08:38:12	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdb68e8…
06-12 08:32:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5fa827…
06-12 08:28:37	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c2e97…
06-11 08:52:22	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x01c484…
06-11 08:47:12	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c7bd4…
06-09 04:12:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x959815…
06-09 04:11:18	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x75ed67…
06-09 03:56:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6bf5f3…
06-09 03:50:36	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59bbb7…
06-08 03:35:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6c5c07…
06-08 03:33:49	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf1a9e0…
06-08 03:30:21	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x74adeb…
06-08 03:26:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64d3c2…
06-06 08:22:19	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x01f071…
06-06 08:20:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x942ff0…
06-06 08:08:57	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09bc55…
06-06 08:04:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6060cf…
06-05 07:10:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3fc651…
06-05 07:09:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x40c37a…
06-05 06:55:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x958d7a…
06-05 06:48:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x947bd4…
06-04 07:54:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xfa867d…
06-04 07:53:34	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x57c8a9…
06-04 07:43:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf15fe3…
06-04 07:35:25	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf70ff…
06-03 07:59:01	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x51ff7c…
06-03 07:57:55	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x17b1c4…
06-03 07:50:21	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec23d5…
06-03 07:46:34	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35647c…
06-02 07:07:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3bced…
06-02 07:05:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3a1f5f…
06-02 06:57:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f5fdc…
06-02 06:49:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5820c6…
05-30 07:46:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfad5c…
05-29 06:40:37	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9945fa…
05-29 06:23:27	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa878e8…
05-28 07:44:22	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc3166d…
05-28 07:30:52	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11a207…
05-27 09:07:30	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x78759e…
05-27 08:45:53	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd41273…
05-25 06:46:42	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x33fe39…
05-25 06:45:55	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xc6b2d4…
05-25 06:36:07	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xda6129…
05-25 06:32:37	Will Maddy Perez die in Euphoria: Season 3?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x51dde7…
05-23 07:14:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1b3c52…
05-23 07:05:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x6d55c3…
05-21 08:22:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xd01931…
05-21 08:21:18	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x156bb2…
05-21 08:13:56	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb65258…
05-21 08:10:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x22a1cb…
05-18 08:49:26	Will Trump say "China" this week?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd077a0…
05-18 08:47:43	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x344763…
05-18 08:41:53	Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x372fa2…
05-18 08:38:30	Will Trump say "China" this week?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x17877b…
05-16 07:24:54	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c76bc…
05-16 07:05:06	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x40e9ec…
05-15 06:53:51	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xb4cc7f…
05-15 06:40:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xc44607…
05-14 07:10:28	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xfd2a3f…
05-14 06:59:09	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x28a531…
05-13 08:20:55	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xbc01f3…
05-13 08:06:16	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xaf3034…
05-12 07:40:21	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x008907…
05-12 07:37:24	Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xfe7e0d…
05-11 06:58:27	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x8efcb0…
05-11 06:57:35	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xecf8a0…
05-11 06:45:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x2b156f…
05-11 06:34:30	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xdf8c9b…
05-09 06:51:16	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x09d52c…
05-09 06:39:21	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x179630…
05-08 08:24:47	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 8?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x27c07d…
05-08 08:23:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x173553…
05-08 08:15:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $87 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x18ed24…
05-08 08:09:58	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc7afd2…
05-06 06:57:42	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3bf10…
05-06 06:46:30	Will the Labour Party win at least 300 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xbac165…
05-04 06:20:20	Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in May?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7021f3…
04-30 07:32:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5c6803…
04-30 07:19:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0bdd33…
04-29 07:35:16	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x77c2c3…
04-29 07:15:22	Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1785d…
04-28 04:37:58	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe719df…
04-28 04:36:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd2ef75…
04-28 04:18:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1ddf2f…
04-28 04:13:20	Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x99cf0d…
04-27 06:07:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xca04ad…
04-27 06:05:58	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x44513d…
04-27 04:37:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8569d3…
04-27 04:34:04	Will Seoul have less than 40mm of precipitation in April?	Yes	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x7074c1…
04-25 06:34:36	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa65590…