Considerate-Pickax — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.8%

Resolved

Trades

354

lifetime

Volume

$356

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-07 09:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

34% 0% $-0

Politics

31% 0% $-0

Crypto

26% 50% +$0

Tech

6% — —

Sports

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	9	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-05 09:28
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	6	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	02-10 09:24
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 4 million	6	$6	3	3	-0	open	—	01-14 03:37
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-08 07:10
will t lm be the next president of vietnam	6	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	01-28 08:47
bitcoin above 68k on april 9	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	04-09 03:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-06 09:14
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-21 08:27
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-12 08:39
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:49
us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-01 07:28
will bangladesh nationalist party win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-12 07:45
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-06 08:22
nothing ever happens microstrategy	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-26 06:50
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-18 08:35
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-16 06:23
will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	06-13 09:10
Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	4	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-09 06:54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 in May?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-16 07:24
will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:53
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:55
highest temperature in toronto on april 3 2026 9corhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-03 06:57
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 07:32
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-02 07:07
bitcoin above 70k on april 10	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-10 03:44
Gemini 3.5 released by March 31?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 06:03
will uk strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 03:40
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-02 07:02
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-11 06:33
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 25?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-25 06:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 08:31:26	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xa306d3…
07-08 08:11:32	will the chopsticks catch spacex starship flight test 13 superheavy booster	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9426e2…
07-07 09:01:11	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x285935…
07-07 08:51:01	gpt 5pt6 released by july 24 2026 296 664 193 839	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfcaea0…
07-06 09:14:50	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x7b7db9…
07-06 09:12:14	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xf714bb…
07-06 09:01:28	will bitcoin reach 72pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x374ba8…
07-06 08:57:52	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xab8481…
07-02 08:12:46	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xbdc551…
07-02 07:54:13	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x2713e0…
07-01 07:29:07	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x19f4fa…
07-01 07:28:07	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xf87176…
07-01 07:13:14	will bitcoin dip to 54k june 29 july 5 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5dca6e…
07-01 07:11:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x5c065e…
06-30 07:44:47	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xa61a53…
06-30 07:31:11	will abbas araghchi sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950073	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4a67bd…
06-29 08:37:58	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xcbc4cd…
06-29 08:25:31	will bitcoin reach 62500 in june 2026 from june 25	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xbe6cf8…
06-27 08:28:50	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x1a8cc5…
06-27 08:27:52	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x944162…
06-27 08:19:17	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x4382ef…
06-27 08:13:35	will starmer officially leave office by july 17 20260622151504653	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x548849…
06-26 09:21:04	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xf4f9b0…
06-26 09:20:20	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x828903…
06-26 09:10:40	GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe9def2…
06-26 09:05:40	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by december 31 248 662	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xa9b306…
06-25 08:05:25	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x4e405b…
06-25 07:54:49	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x829d29…
06-24 09:44:28	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xe0697d…
06-24 09:44:07	will trump say crypto bitcoin during pennsylvania events 20260619211746769	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xa6923d…
06-24 09:21:41	will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xde5e8b…
06-24 09:13:49	will trump say crypto bitcoin during pennsylvania events 20260619211746769	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x0f1a97…
06-23 07:39:49	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 25b	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23f818…
06-23 07:38:49	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x5b631c…
06-23 07:26:08	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xda9524…
06-23 07:19:23	will micron q3 dram revenue be above 25b	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xfc36b2…
06-22 08:26:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x134649…
06-22 08:25:08	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x13176a…
06-22 08:16:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by june 26	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x301291…
06-22 08:09:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf77962…
06-21 08:27:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x5432f7…
06-21 08:24:08	netanyahu out by july 31	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xc3d36b…
06-21 07:59:10	netanyahu out by july 31	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa82524…
06-21 07:53:25	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe2ab4c…
06-18 08:35:22	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0x23ff6a…
06-18 08:34:10	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xa93261…
06-18 08:22:13	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xf111e5…
06-18 08:17:40	will marco rubio sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950069	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x95cbd7…
06-17 08:13:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x480754…
06-17 08:01:07	trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x20f7a3…
06-16 08:31:07	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x8ab161…
06-16 08:30:51	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe4a36e…
06-16 08:11:43	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xa3db84…
06-16 08:04:46	will trump speak to reza pahlavi in june	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x1c066c…
06-15 07:32:36	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc72754…
06-15 07:31:07	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xec6d60…
06-15 07:15:57	will solana dip to 50 in june 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c899c…
06-13 09:10:31	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xe0dd37…
06-13 08:56:18	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xce34d9…
06-12 08:39:30	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x51c48b…
06-12 08:38:12	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xdb68e8…
06-12 08:32:37	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x5fa827…
06-12 08:28:37	ruben dias 20260609175357515	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x2c2e97…
06-11 08:52:22	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x01c484…
06-11 08:47:12	will wti reach 130 in june 2026 362	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c7bd4…
06-09 04:12:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x959815…
06-09 04:11:18	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x75ed67…
06-09 03:56:06	will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x6bf5f3…
06-09 03:50:36	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x59bbb7…
06-08 03:35:57	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x6c5c07…
06-08 03:33:49	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0xf1a9e0…
06-08 03:30:21	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x74adeb…
06-08 03:26:48	spacex ipo closing market cap above 3pt8t	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x64d3c2…
06-06 08:22:19	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x01f071…
06-06 08:20:49	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x942ff0…
06-06 08:08:57	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x09bc55…
06-06 08:04:09	will donald trump publicly insult someone on june 6 2026	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x6060cf…
06-05 07:10:34	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x3fc651…
06-05 07:09:09	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x40c37a…
06-05 06:55:46	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x958d7a…
06-05 06:48:52	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x947bd4…
06-04 07:54:49	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xfa867d…
06-04 07:53:34	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x57c8a9…
06-04 07:43:16	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 1 7 2026	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xf15fe3…
06-04 07:35:25	will jd vance attend nato summit	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf70ff…
06-03 07:59:01	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x51ff7c…
06-03 07:57:55	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x17b1c4…
06-03 07:50:21	Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xec23d5…
06-03 07:46:34	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x35647c…
06-02 07:07:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xe3bced…
06-02 07:05:55	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3a1f5f…
06-02 06:57:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5f5fdc…
06-02 06:49:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x5820c6…
05-30 07:46:05	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xdfad5c…
05-29 06:40:37	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x9945fa…
05-29 06:23:27	Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xa878e8…
05-28 07:44:22	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc3166d…
05-28 07:30:52	JD Vance out as VP by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x11a207…
05-27 09:07:30	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x78759e…
05-27 08:45:53	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xd41273…