Realized P&L
-$840
Unrealized P&L
+$993
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
2,639
Trades
27,081
lifetime
Volume
$131.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$113
7 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 02:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Crypto
54%
35%
-$3,471
Other
28%
23%
+$127
Politics
15%
58%
+$1,214
Sports
2%
75%
+$1,287
Tech
1%
50%
+$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | -300 | -$90 | 13¢ | $-40 | +$50 | 05-30 16:29 | |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? | Yes | -800 | -$589 | 3¢ | $-26 | +$563 | 06-07 07:25 | |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | Yes | -1,800 | -$26 | 1¢ | $-19 | +$7 | 05-30 16:29 | |
| Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | Yes | -100 | -$27 | 12¢ | $-12 | +$15 | 07-07 19:49 | |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | -1,122 | -$345 | 1¢ | $-10 | +$335 | 04-30 19:11 | |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? | No | -64 | -$17 | 8¢ | $-5 | +$12 | 05-30 16:29 | |
| Will Ubisoft be acquired before 2027? | Yes | -45 | -$12 | 2¢ | $-1 | +$11 | 06-06 16:45 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | 12 | $2.5K | 1,500 | 1,000 | +500 | No | +$34 | 03-04 16:27 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | 34 | $2.4K | 1,659 | 1,659 | +0 | No | +$213 | 01-31 19:25 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 18 | $1.9K | 1,738 | 562 | +1,176 | Yes | -$110 | 02-12 21:30 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 3 | $1.8K | 200 | 1,600 | -1,400 | Yes | -$23 | 01-22 10:07 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31 | 14 | $1.7K | 1,936 | 1,936 | +0 | Yes | +$1,125 | 03-01 07:32 |
| cs2 vit g2 2026 04 14 | 68 | $1.6K | 3,187 | 345 | +2,841 | Vitality | +$498 | 04-14 16:24 |
| cs2 ast10 fut 2026 04 11 | 45 | $1.3K | 6,206 | 1,012 | +5,194 | FUT Esports | -$390 | 04-11 17:49 |
| cs2 navi fut 2026 03 14 | 45 | $1.2K | 2,600 | 0 | +2,600 | Natus Vincere | +$207 | 03-14 17:19 |
| bitcoin above 90k on january 20 | 59 | $1.2K | 4,388 | 3,274 | +1,114 | Yes | +$876 | 01-20 15:09 |
| fed rate cut by march 2026 meeting | 5 | $1.2K | 500 | 700 | -200 | No | +$0 | 03-09 22:22 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | 9 | $1.1K | 1,250 | 0 | +1,250 | Yes | +$120 | 04-07 21:43 |
| will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026 | 7 | $1.1K | 589 | 589 | +0 | No | +$78 | 01-16 10:45 |
| cs2 furia vit 2026 04 18 | 17 | $1.1K | 1,000 | 578 | +422 | Vitality | +$314 | 04-18 19:47 |
| nfl buf den 2026 01 17 | 29 | $1.0K | 1,020 | 1,020 | +0 | Broncos | +$277 | 01-18 01:20 |
| bitcoin above 80k on february 1 | 22 | $1.0K | 2,000 | 2,687 | -687 | No | +$170 | 02-01 07:04 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:45 UTC | 208 | $991 | 2,426 | 0 | +2,426 | Up | -$299 | 07-14 15:49 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 8 | $943 | 600 | 600 | +0 | No | +$247 | 04-18 17:31 |
| cs2 navi b8 2026 03 08 | 42 | $929 | 3,373 | 974 | +2,398 | Natus Vincere | -$103 | 03-08 16:07 |
| us x iran ceasefire by march 31 | 4 | $908 | 763 | 572 | +191 | No | +$145 | 03-12 20:03 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June? | 14 | $849 | 1,050 | 0 | +1,050 | Yes | +$201 | 03-24 12:05 |
| will vitality win iem rio 2026 | 15 | $791 | 1,512 | 0 | +1,512 | Yes | +$721 | 04-17 00:30 |
| us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895 | 13 | $769 | 819 | 297 | +523 | No | +$46 | 04-14 14:58 |
| will team spirit win iem rio 2026 | 23 | $686 | 2,000 | 0 | +2,000 | No | +$14 | 04-19 19:27 |
| epstein blackmail evidence released by march 31 | 5 | $683 | 236 | 549 | -313 | Yes | +$80 | 01-31 13:38 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | 2 | $674 | 700 | 0 | +700 | Yes | +$26 | 03-07 11:36 |
| BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 15:40 UTC | 120 | $670 | 1,437 | 0 | +1,437 | Down | -$1 | 07-14 15:44 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | 9 | $626 | 400 | 400 | +0 | open | — | 07-07 18:55 |
| bitcoin above 68k on march 6 | 43 | $625 | 2,434 | 1,641 | +793 | Yes | +$200 | 03-06 14:59 |
| cs2 vit fal2 2026 04 15 | 56 | $621 | 1,720 | 0 | +1,720 | Team Falcons | -$221 | 04-15 21:08 |
| will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971 | 9 | $603 | 400 | 400 | +0 | Yes | +$172 | 03-30 19:00 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||