Variable-Dimension — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$72

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,629

lifetime

Volume

$8.26K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-25 22:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

45% — —

Crypto

38% 22% $-5

Other

17% 0% $-6

Sports

0% 100% +$83

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 73 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	38	$667	3,750	1,875	+1,875	open	—	05-23 23:07
will israel take military action in lebanon on march 20 2026	21	$289	4,880	2,270	+2,610	open	—	03-26 18:12
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 23 2026 964	15	$289	3,414	1,079	+2,335	open	—	03-28 21:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	5	$264	743	431	+313	open	—	05-24 00:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	6	$256	2,090	997	+1,093	open	—	05-24 00:34
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 21 2026	12	$232	600	700	-100	open	—	04-21 17:09
will iran strike israel on march 6	13	$215	330	330	+0	open	—	03-07 18:23
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	25	$190	3,444	3,444	+0	open	—	03-27 02:08
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	62	$181	12,555	13,402	-847	open	—	03-08 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	3	$143	429	429	+0	open	—	05-23 23:58
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	35	$143	2,768	3,068	-300	open	—	04-12 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	4	$132	198	198	+0	open	—	05-23 23:52
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	16	$121	62,840	9,880	+52,960	open	—	03-03 09:16
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	11	$111	200	200	+0	open	—	03-27 08:36
will the us invade iran by march 31	13	$108	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 19:46
will kevin warsh say trump 5 times during nomination hearing	4	$108	62	62	+0	open	—	04-21 16:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	15	$107	397	0	+397	open	—	05-24 00:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$100	667	0	+667	open	—	05-24 00:27
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	14	$95	10,140	10,140	+0	open	—	03-08 23:33
btc updown 5m 1775630700	2	$92	49	49	+0	open	—	04-08 06:50
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	4	$90	200	200	+0	open	—	03-09 09:35
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	10	$89	1,110	1,110	+0	open	—	04-14 23:50
btc updown 5m 1776241500	2	$83	43	43	+0	open	—	04-15 08:29
btc updown 5m 1776248400	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-15 10:25
btc updown 5m 1776241800	2	$80	41	41	+0	open	—	04-15 08:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	7	$79	119	119	+0	open	—	05-23 23:36
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$76	80	80	+0	open	—	04-08 06:48
will israel take military action in gaza on march 18 2026	20	$74	702	802	-100	open	—	03-19 22:12
will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 25 2026 431	9	$73	338	338	+0	open	—	03-26 18:18
will iran strike turkey in march	3	$66	403	403	+0	open	—	03-08 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 22:21:10	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	Yes	BUY	15,000	0¢	$15	0x02ab63…
05-26 05:03:45	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	335	0¢	$2	0x2dfec5…
05-26 00:59:36	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x477600…
05-26 00:59:33	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x807b54…
05-26 00:59:29	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x25a7e0…
05-26 00:59:29	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x0f3a9d…
05-26 00:59:27	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x8b5287…
05-25 23:58:16	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	160	0¢	$1	0xb06b0c…
05-25 09:02:00	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x1c9234…
05-25 09:01:58	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc00d20…
05-25 09:01:58	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xbb367d…
05-25 09:01:57	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd2c38a…
05-25 09:01:57	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x5867c2…
05-25 07:48:55	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x951e5d…
05-25 07:48:53	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9d75d0…
05-25 07:48:49	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7bacff…
05-25 07:48:48	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa31a9d…
05-25 07:48:46	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xc6fbba…
05-25 07:48:42	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe183c3…
05-25 07:48:41	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7f2dfb…
05-25 07:48:41	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x031c16…
05-25 07:48:39	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x7dcd6e…
05-25 07:48:35	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x92df14…
05-25 03:23:12	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	521	1¢	$4	0x8b33d7…
05-24 01:53:44	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	900	1¢	$11	0xaefc86…
05-24 01:41:20	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0xa57f55…
05-24 01:40:43	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$6	0x318ca2…
05-24 01:39:53	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	116	1¢	$1	0x8d942b…
05-24 01:13:06	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	18	1¢	$0	0x93b176…
05-24 01:07:07	Will the House pass a reconciliation bill by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0x06bdc4…
05-24 00:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	83	36¢	$30	0x373685…
05-24 00:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x6cdbc1…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xbe1e21…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbdd7f4…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xbbfc49…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0xb7f7e3…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x8d7ed8…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x89a2f0…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x55932f…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x32ce0a…
05-24 00:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x23115d…
05-24 00:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	127	15¢	$19	0xa6c60a…
05-24 00:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x7760d8…
05-24 00:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x3ad068…
05-24 00:51:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x26127b…
05-24 00:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	147	17¢	$25	0x1598db…
05-24 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0xf3629a…
05-24 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	33¢	$0	0x818a82…
05-24 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	37	33¢	$12	0x7957dc…
05-24 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x792ee1…
05-24 00:46:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	24	33¢	$8	0x541732…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0xff3377…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x961bee…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x9040c4…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x82c010…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x4e489a…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x42d0dd…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x26b73c…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	56	33¢	$18	0x1a995a…
05-24 00:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	64	33¢	$21	0x0c72dd…
05-24 00:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	312	8¢	$25	0xef2038…
05-24 00:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	SELL	74	44¢	$32	0x8b35dd…
05-24 00:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0xa5ad21…
05-24 00:41:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	357	30¢	$107	0xbb9c41…
05-24 00:40:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	357	21¢	$75	0xc13066…
05-24 00:37:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	208	12¢	$25	0x6f5cb3…
05-24 00:34:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	445	6¢	$25	0x881ff0…
05-24 00:34:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	649	4¢	$25	0x837427…
05-24 00:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	106	10¢	$11	0xb8fc7c…
05-24 00:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	SELL	890	11¢	$95	0x2ae0b3…
05-24 00:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xaafd15…
05-24 00:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	372	20¢	$75	0x86aaab…
05-24 00:27:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	335	7¢	$25	0x77757a…
05-24 00:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	332	23¢	$75	0xb924c3…
05-24 00:22:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	250	11¢	$28	0x94f9b1…
05-24 00:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Up	BUY	103	24¢	$25	0x47e26e…
05-24 00:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	580	4¢	$25	0x8d46e2…
05-24 00:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	139	21¢	$29	0x5cad66…
05-24 00:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x3dee0a…
05-23 23:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	429	22¢	$93	0xf1929d…
05-23 23:57:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	290	9¢	$25	0x4537a5…
05-23 23:56:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x59dfba…
05-23 23:52:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	SELL	109	36¢	$39	0x7c8bdd…
05-23 23:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	109	23¢	$25	0x7df9fb…
05-23 23:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	89	48¢	$42	0xa07fd8…
05-23 23:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	89	28¢	$25	0x648a90…
05-23 23:49:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	42	10¢	$4	0xb4bbab…
05-23 23:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x5aebb5…
05-23 23:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	SELL	19	29¢	$6	0xc4e3e1…
05-23 23:47:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xbe5d43…
05-23 23:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	56	45¢	$25	0xaacabb…
05-23 23:36:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	15	45¢	$7	0x0b463f…
05-23 23:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	45¢	$8	0xf9a722…
05-23 23:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0xf1b1ae…
05-23 23:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0xa3f3bb…
05-23 23:36:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x17d66c…
05-23 23:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	119	21¢	$25	0x0fddf4…
05-23 23:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	625	4¢	$25	0xe5808d…
05-23 23:07:50	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	BUY	900	2¢	$18	0xf15a44…
05-23 22:52:49	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Rico	SELL	294	26¢	$77	0x600cd5…