Cautious-Minorleague — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

-$311

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

2,728 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$3.91K

$159.3K lifetime

Avg / trade

$58

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-25 20:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 70 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 34% -$4,974

Sports

2% 25% -$117

Politics

1% 0% -$662

Other

1% 12% -$534

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC	38	$2.8K	2,033	2,003	+30	Down	+$1,110	03-12 18:14
bitcoin up or down march 12 12pm et	10	$2.3K	2,076	2,056	+20	Up	+$1,168	03-12 16:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 00:45 UTC	14	$2.2K	1,326	1,311	+15	Down	+$436	03-13 00:54
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC	21	$2.2K	1,544	1,539	+5	Down	+$862	03-13 00:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:40 UTC	38	$1.9K	1,309	1,289	+20	Down	+$551	03-09 03:45
bitcoin up or down march 12 1pm et	34	$1.9K	6,769	1,217	+5,552	Down	+$527	03-12 17:59
bitcoin up or down on march 12	11	$1.9K	2,586	2,558	+28	Up	+$366	03-12 16:00
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 19:30 UTC	32	$1.8K	1,306	1,286	+20	Up	+$661	03-19 19:45
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 13:30 UTC	4	$1.7K	1,331	1,318	+12	Up	+$972	03-19 13:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:50 UTC	33	$1.6K	1,172	1,155	+17	Down	+$603	03-09 03:54
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	8	$1.5K	15,990	15,990	+0	Yes	-$651	03-01 00:21
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 04:00 UTC	14	$1.5K	1,208	1,192	+16	Down	+$679	03-09 04:14
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 17:15 UTC	20	$1.5K	1,000	988	+12	Down	+$474	03-12 17:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 18:00 UTC	2	$1.5K	1,010	994	+16	Down	+$500	03-12 18:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:50 UTC	2	$1.4K	961	946	+15	Down	+$453	03-13 00:55
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 22:00 UTC	22	$1.4K	1,279	1,274	+6	Up	+$1,010	03-11 22:13
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-13 00:45 UTC	5	$1.3K	891	877	+14	Down	+$482	03-13 00:49
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-12 14:45 UTC	9	$1.2K	925	912	+13	Down	+$503	03-12 14:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-19 18:45 UTC	8	$1.1K	841	829	+12	Up	+$433	03-19 18:57
nba cha bos 2026 03 04	5	$1.1K	1,035	1,035	+0	Hornets	+$331	03-05 01:35
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:45 UTC	12	$1.1K	766	754	+12	Down	+$321	03-09 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 12 9pm et	2	$1.1K	1,179	1,162	+18	Up	+$87	03-13 01:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-12 15:00 UTC	21	$1.1K	800	788	+12	Up	+$412	03-12 15:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	877	635	+241	Up	+$142	03-09 03:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:20 UTC	3	$1.0K	910	907	+3	Down	+$759	03-19 13:25
ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-11 21:00 UTC	23	$1000	771	760	+11	Down	+$411	03-11 21:13
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:15 UTC	21	$968	600	592	+7	Down	+$176	03-05 14:17
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-05 14:30 UTC	5	$946	746	737	+9	Up	+$452	03-05 14:34
ethereum up or down march 12 11am et	7	$900	684	675	+9	Up	+$13	03-12 15:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-19 13:00 UTC	15	$865	776	773	+3	Up	+$668	03-19 13:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 20:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	3¢	$1	0x7e5036…
10-25 19:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x59c3b8…
10-25 19:48:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	50	38¢	$19	0x71b2d7…
10-25 19:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xb67265…
10-25 15:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x1d319c…
10-25 15:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	363	26¢	$94	0xabeced…
10-24 21:04:11	Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	261	34¢	$89	0x014a89…
10-09 14:21:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-09 14:20 UTC	Down	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xe6030b…
10-08 13:10:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9AM ET	Up	BUY	149	64¢	$96	0x2456dd…
10-08 13:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0xd0aa9f…
10-08 13:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	120	40¢	$48	0x9b8298…
10-08 03:46:43	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	139	35¢	$49	0x94d2d0…
10-08 03:37:52	Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres	San Diego Padres	BUY	157	35¢	$55	0xad9f79…
10-07 06:21:45	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	SELL	302	100¢	$302	0x62edbd…
10-07 05:09:02	Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Gea vs Jaime Faria	Arthur Gea	BUY	302	32¢	$97	0xcbe2b6…
10-01 15:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	204	20¢	$41	0x63a210…
10-01 15:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	245	21¢	$50	0x5235c6…
10-01 15:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	146	39¢	$57	0x6bd4dd…
10-01 15:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	185	48¢	$89	0xc244b1…
10-01 15:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET	Down	SELL	312	51¢	$159	0xcccd83…
10-01 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11AM ET	Down	BUY	312	59¢	$184	0x1253f9…
10-01 15:10:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	145	86¢	$124	0x8eb4d7…
10-01 15:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	44	88¢	$39	0x57680e…
10-01 15:10:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x48bb1b…
10-01 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	29	88¢	$26	0x7f0887…
10-01 15:09:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 1, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	219	46¢	$100	0xdba0f4…
10-01 15:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?	Up	SELL	634	33¢	$210	0x65d89e…
10-01 04:02:32	bitcoin up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x6b52a5…
10-01 04:00:53	Bitcoin Up or Down on October 1?	Up	BUY	628	35¢	$222	0xe3093b…
10-01 03:57:50	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:45 UTC	Down	SELL	189	4¢	$8	0xf7ea62…
10-01 03:55:59	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago Cubs	SELL	455	7¢	$32	0x52df15…
10-01 03:51:41	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	189	39¢	$74	0x17d646…
10-01 03:51:03	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x508d6c…
10-01 03:50:47	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC	Down	SELL	217	8¢	$17	0x2ee35b…
10-01 03:49:18	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-10-01 00:00 UTC	Down	BUY	239	37¢	$88	0xcf51b2…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xf630d1…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	69¢	$4	0xebc800…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	10	69¢	$7	0xb97f30…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	69¢	$13	0x9c743e…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0x48cea0…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	69¢	$20	0x2db489…
10-01 03:47:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	25	69¢	$17	0x281253…
10-01 03:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xacbde0…
10-01 03:40:18	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	Chicago Cubs	BUY	455	11¢	$50	0xc998e4…
10-01 03:38:20	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Up	SELL	241	86¢	$207	0xfd2579…
10-01 03:34:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:30 UTC	Up	BUY	241	47¢	$113	0x90189d…
10-01 03:33:09	mlb chc sd 2026 09 30	Chicago Cubs	SELL	500	13¢	$65	0xa890d1…
10-01 03:23:17	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-10-01 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	137	76¢	$104	0x98d5b6…
10-01 03:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	137	35¢	$48	0xaacda3…
10-01 03:16:59	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago Cubs	BUY	141	34¢	$48	0x7cb255…
10-01 03:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 30, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	142	33¢	$47	0xfa712d…
10-01 03:01:11	Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres	Chicago Cubs	BUY	359	22¢	$79	0xbd3e6b…
10-01 02:59:50	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	SELL	84	95¢	$80	0x8d4342…
10-01 02:59:23	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Down	BUY	84	51¢	$43	0xb3e924…
10-01 02:58:48	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	SELL	351	63¢	$221	0x56f021…
10-01 02:28:17	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	81	32¢	$26	0xcc6b97…
10-01 02:27:44	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 10pm et	Up	BUY	270	33¢	$89	0xc2f595…
09-30 21:33:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x4db65a…
09-30 21:32:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	74	88¢	$65	0x1f7fae…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xe09b50…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0xdd3516…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xd1f70e…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0xbdf880…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	18	88¢	$16	0xb78eac…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	17	88¢	$15	0x91bc93…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x841875…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	15	88¢	$14	0x2ce9dc…
09-30 21:32:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x188429…
09-30 21:30:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 21:30 UTC	Up	BUY	168	28¢	$47	0xdb735d…
09-30 21:26:54	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	Up	BUY	129	39¢	$50	0x75149f…
09-30 21:25:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	Down	SELL	185	73¢	$135	0x82c6e2…
09-30 21:21:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 21:15 UTC	Down	BUY	185	31¢	$58	0x491ed8…
09-30 21:19:21	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	132	97¢	$128	0x8f6e6b…
09-30 20:40:21	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 20:30 UTC	Up	BUY	122	31¢	$38	0xb29a6d…
09-30 20:39:47	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4pm et	Down	SELL	259	16¢	$41	0xd94d8f…
09-30 20:33:59	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 4pm et	Down	BUY	259	35¢	$91	0x5a59f7…
09-30 20:32:48	mlb phi atl 2026 09 30	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x627e2d…
09-30 20:25:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 20:25 UTC	Down	BUY	182	44¢	$80	0x884612…
09-30 19:50:41	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x29012d…
09-30 19:50:41	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x2779f1…
09-30 19:50:26	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x23b2d3…
09-30 19:50:17	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x4c1870…
09-30 19:50:12	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x61f684…
09-30 19:50:12	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x38750f…
09-30 19:50:09	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xdd57aa…
09-30 19:50:08	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xf564cb…
09-30 19:50:08	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xcf19b3…
09-30 19:39:03	bitcoin up or down september 30 2026 3pm et	Down	BUY	154	52¢	$80	0xcdf120…
09-30 19:37:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Down	SELL	227	6¢	$14	0x4fecd5…
09-30 19:34:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:30 UTC	Down	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x2ce07f…
09-30 19:29:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	13	67¢	$8	0x8fa997…
09-30 19:29:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x65da81…
09-30 19:29:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	30	67¢	$20	0x073adb…
09-30 19:29:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	6	67¢	$4	0x584d2a…
09-30 19:29:38	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	SELL	85	67¢	$57	0x343d31…
09-30 19:28:57	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Down	BUY	164	49¢	$80	0xcd4447…
09-30 19:28:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	218	67¢	$146	0x0816d1…
09-30 19:28:09	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	38	67¢	$26	0x551f25…
09-30 19:26:12	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xc4e288…
09-30 19:26:11	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-09-30 19:15 UTC	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0xdfc915…