Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$181

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

30.7%

Resolved

186

Trades

932

lifetime

Volume

$5.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

1 position

First seen

2026-07-15

last 09-10 19:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 54 days

Categories

Other

95% 33% -$187

Politics

2% 50% +$0

Tech

2% 60% +$7

Crypto

1% 40% -$2

Sports

1% 60% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
will a hurricane make landfall in hawaii before 2027 20260721182828397	No		+25	$19	96¢	$24	+$5	07-24 20:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Team Secret Whales Win LCP 2026 Split 3?	8	$612	857	857	+0	Yes	-$9	07-30 07:54
will star be in the headlines this week 20260731155626116	10	$156	150	150	+0	No	-$5	08-02 16:12
Will Anna Wintour attend Tommy Hilfiger?	2	$130	150	150	+0	Yes	+$44	09-03 20:44
will strike or struck be in the headlines this week 20260731155626112	6	$122	90	90	+0	Yes	-$5	08-01 23:13
Will Estral Esports Win Circuito Desafiante 2026 Split 2	8	$121	332	0	+332	resolved	-$121	08-26 09:09
will anyone say prophecy during house of the dragon e6 s3 20260721174502946	13	$119	182	146	+36	Yes	-$57	07-26 15:28
Will LEVIATÁN Win VCT AMER Stage 2 2026?	15	$104	112	112	+0	No	-$4	07-27 13:38
will woman be in the headlines this week 20260731155626120	11	$90	150	150	+0	No	-$1	08-02 14:56
will gas hit 3pt70 low by august 31 20260728213741798	6	$90	80	80	+0	No	-$11	07-30 19:25
will alien be said during the first joe rogan experience of the week of august 3 20260731210932768	8	$90	150	150	+0	No	-$4	08-02 11:45
will magic qualify to lan blast bounty 2026 season 2 20260716204827670	6	$80	60	60	+0	No	-$12	07-24 11:53
Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?	11	$77	81	81	+0	Yes	-$15	07-24 14:13
Will BBL Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	10	$77	46	46	+0	No	-$1	08-02 04:43
Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 10-August 16?	12	$76	83	83	+0	No	+$0	08-10 09:26
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be at least $2.25T at the end of October 2026?	5	$71	80	20	+60	No	+$10	08-28 16:38
will anyone say black during president curtis e2 s1 20260728162047843	13	$70	125	40	+85	No	-$22	08-02 15:09
Will Kameto Win the 2026 Esports Personality of the Year Award?	3	$70	40	40	+0	open	—	08-12 15:00
Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?	5	$70	90	90	+0	No	+$23	09-03 15:54
Will T1 be number 1 on the end of year Global Power Rankings?	3	$65	40	40	+0	open	—	08-01 06:20
will kylian mbappe finish in the top 3 of the 2026 ballon dor	7	$64	102	0	+102	Yes	-$64	08-09 06:22
Will Team Vitality Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	9	$63	45	45	+0	No	$0	08-02 04:42
Will the most viewed TV show for the week of August 24 - August 30 have between 9 million and 9.5 million viewers?	9	$63	40	40	+0	Yes	-$1	08-29 07:19
Will League of Legends Win the 2026 Esports Game of the Year Award?	8	$62	83	43	+40	open	—	08-10 13:13
will anyone say white house during president curtis e2 s1 20260728162047838	8	$61	60	60	+0	No	-$2	08-01 06:14
will peace be in the headlines this week 20260731155626122	9	$60	120	120	+0	No	-$11	08-03 05:14
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	2	$56	30	30	+0	No	+$4	08-30 08:12
Will FUT Esports Win VCT EMEA Stage 2 2026?	4	$53	60	20	+40	No	+$1	08-02 04:41
What percent of U.S. cattle inventory area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	6	$53	70	20	+50	No	+$18	08-28 19:03
What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	7	$52	60	20	+40	Yes	+$14	08-27 20:02
Will Gen.G Win VCT Pacific Stage 2 2026?	6	$51	38	38	+0	No	$0	08-05 16:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 19:19:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 11?	No	SELL	31	4¢	$1	0x5d4428…
09-10 19:17:33	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 11?	No	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0x28d408…
09-10 19:15:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x8290dc…
09-10 19:15:15	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x66a648…
09-10 19:14:01	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 11?	No	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0x0d8661…
09-10 19:13:00	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 11?	No	BUY	19	14¢	$3	0xe04c01…
09-10 19:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd28bbc…
09-10 19:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xa7b381…
09-10 19:07:42	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x80ce72…
09-10 19:05:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xcd5619…
09-10 19:05:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	3	18¢	$1	0x8d7795…
09-10 19:05:25	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	21¢	$4	0x70a157…
09-10 18:55:19	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on September 11?	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xdc1086…
09-08 18:07:22	Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 970m by September 30?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x414458…
09-08 10:51:27	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x34a015…
09-07 11:49:33	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x1f7701…
09-07 11:49:21	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	40	12¢	$5	0x851844…
09-06 15:32:22	Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0xfe1dde…
09-06 15:08:06	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0xf0029d…
09-06 15:06:34	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x150eef…
09-06 13:51:12	Will the first Atlantic hurricane form between September 26 and September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x80bd4b…
09-06 11:16:03	Will Alexandre Leduc win the next Hochelaga-Maisonneuve Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x790cd0…
09-06 11:11:37	Will no Atlantic hurricane form in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xdac337…
09-06 10:58:21	Will TacticalRab Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0xad133e…
09-05 14:23:33	Will GodLike Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	4	3¢	$0	0x4a7b7d…
09-05 14:22:40	Will GodLike Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x958716…
09-05 14:22:39	Will GodLike Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x009334…
09-05 14:21:37	Will GodLike Esports Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	BUY	9	3¢	$0	0x936449…
09-05 13:12:45	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	SELL	60	1¢	$1	0x8ad466…
09-05 11:21:21	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xa4085e…
09-05 09:30:12	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x89fb38…
09-05 01:47:31	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xa5c431…
09-05 00:25:55	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x292698…
09-05 00:25:46	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xb694d4…
09-05 00:09:51	Will 210-229 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0xa61630…
09-04 21:09:33	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x0319f4…
09-04 21:09:25	Will DeepSeek have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa45708…
09-04 20:02:28	Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be in the headlines this week?	No	SELL	38	24¢	$9	0x69716d…
09-04 19:42:01	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xa84027…
09-04 18:59:40	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	SELL	58	23¢	$13	0x7bc312…
09-04 18:09:57	Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x508f55…
09-04 17:58:36	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xc3f4e6…
09-04 17:32:18	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0xeda380…
09-04 16:27:40	Will Tencent have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0xf121d2…
09-04 16:25:31	Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	16¢	$3	0x5d75c0…
09-04 16:00:16	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x11620c…
09-04 15:35:57	Will Team Vitality Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa1276a…
09-04 15:35:31	Will 100 Thieves Win the 2026 Esports Content Group of the Year Award?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xd100e7…
09-04 15:16:07	Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xdcf474…
09-04 13:25:16	Will Ethos launch a token by October 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	78¢	$16	0x13be65…
09-04 05:13:01	Will Anna Wintour attend Diane von Furstenberg?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x328ebd…
09-03 22:52:10	Will Anna Wintour attend Diane von Furstenberg?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0x0b21d6…
09-03 21:01:16	will king frederik x attend king harald vs funeral	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xf46a32…
09-03 20:59:46	will king frederik x attend king harald vs funeral	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xe4b7bc…
09-03 20:58:54	will jonas gahr store attend king harald vs funeral	Yes	SELL	20	85¢	$17	0xb356e1…
09-03 20:52:30	state d4 drought 2026 09 08 ut	Yes	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0x6bf5ef…
09-03 20:44:03	Will Anna Wintour attend Tommy Hilfiger?	Yes	SELL	150	58¢	$87	0x70a324…
09-03 20:42:19	will king frederik x attend king harald vs funeral	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x7e1868…
09-03 19:56:43	will jonas gahr store attend king harald vs funeral	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x10ad67…
09-03 19:49:37	state d4 drought 2026 09 08 ut	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x30a5ae…
09-03 16:55:07	state d4 drought 2026 09 08 tx	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x2064d3…
09-03 16:48:37	state d4 drought 2026 09 08 tx	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x655cd8…
09-03 16:40:42	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x310b63…
09-03 16:39:07	Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x479184…
09-03 16:38:06	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xccfcba…
09-03 16:37:49	Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xd4741a…
09-03 16:27:25	will the next claude sonnet model be released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa3ece5…
09-03 16:23:46	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x43969c…
09-03 16:15:40	Brazil bans Discord by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x0392ef…
09-03 16:11:42	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x4fce80…
09-03 16:10:46	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0x105f88…
09-03 16:09:39	Will claude-fable-5.1-max be the best AI model on September 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x4cfdc0…
09-03 16:08:49	Will Anna Wintour attend Coach?	Yes	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x7a37f1…
09-03 16:04:27	Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	41¢	$8	0x667e86…
09-03 15:59:27	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xcc8246…
09-03 15:54:57	Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?	Yes	SELL	37	51¢	$19	0x6a7e88…
09-03 15:52:13	Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xf77f8d…
09-03 15:49:58	Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xea12d5…
09-03 15:40:34	Will Claude Reid win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0x2ea94d…
09-03 15:38:51	Will Alexandre Daneau win the next Beauharnois Quebec National Assembly election?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf55b97…
09-03 15:35:43	Will Anna Wintour attend Proenza Schouler?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x9cabfb…
09-03 15:33:40	Will Anna Wintour attend Coach?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xc59fee…
09-03 15:33:37	Will Anna Wintour attend Coach?	Yes	SELL	20	34¢	$7	0x63b98f…
09-03 15:31:01	Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?	Yes	SELL	53	52¢	$28	0x8c73cd…
09-03 15:26:18	Will Anna Wintour attend Coach?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x9b91c1…
09-03 15:24:45	Will Anna Wintour attend Coach?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x79c34e…
09-03 15:14:55	Will Anna Wintour attend Diane von Furstenberg?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0xabfb0a…
09-03 15:10:54	Will Anna Wintour attend Proenza Schouler?	Yes	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xb0b616…
09-03 14:53:57	Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x43281f…
09-03 14:53:40	Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xf5a271…
09-03 14:53:01	Will Anna Wintour attend Carolina Herrera?	Yes	BUY	50	25¢	$12	0xb239d7…
09-03 14:48:34	Will Anna Wintour attend Tommy Hilfiger?	Yes	BUY	150	29¢	$44	0x5d5754…
09-01 09:47:16	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x18fc67…
09-01 08:17:58	What percent of U.S. corn production area will be in drought? (week of September 1)	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0x8babce…
09-01 08:07:24	Will "Onslaught" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xb6fd6b…
09-01 08:06:25	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on September 30?	No	SELL	20	67¢	$13	0xfcc86d…
09-01 08:05:04	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on September 30?	Yes	SELL	15	4¢	$1	0xee31e9…
09-01 07:14:24	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on September 30?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xfede83…
09-01 07:14:24	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on September 30?	Yes	BUY	15	4¢	$1	0x415282…
08-31 19:19:46	will onslaught score at least 70 on the rotten tomatoes tomatometer 20260907	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x2e0f4f…