Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$202

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

157

Trades

542

lifetime

Volume

$18.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-06-18

last 09-28 07:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

54% 47% +$299

Tech

19% 40% -$431

Sports

17% 38% +$424

Crypto

10% 54% -$57

Politics

0% 0% -$33

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	7	$1.5K	1,994	1,315	+679	Spain	-$295	07-19 21:02
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	7	$1.3K	2,194	2,194	+0	No	+$187	07-19 16:49
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	25	$990	1,159	1,159	+0	No	+$58	07-18 22:01
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	8	$926	2,326	2,326	+0	No	+$207	07-15 20:41
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	7	$854	574	574	+0	Yes	+$37	07-23 19:16
will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	12	$761	735	735	+0	No	-$4	07-19 17:43
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	9	$732	1,102	1,102	+0	Yes	+$470	07-17 17:25
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	15	$534	647	647	+0	No	-$14	07-18 21:47
israeli parliament dissolved by july 16 20260713154904805	5	$473	698	507	+190	Yes	-$7	07-17 02:13
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$430	352	352	+0	Yes	+$1	07-18 21:30
val vit navi1 2026 07 17	7	$419	340	340	+0	Team Vitality	+$74	07-17 20:42
will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	5	$402	868	58	+810	Yes	-$365	07-24 15:58
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	4	$366	338	338	+0	No	-$34	07-18 21:47
israeli parliament dissolved by july 31	8	$347	529	529	+0	Yes	-$2	07-02 14:53
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?	4	$310	176	176	+0	No	+$40	06-30 13:14
Will Paper Rex win the EWC Valorant Tournament	2	$282	612	612	+0	No	-$22	07-02 19:34
another gta vi trailer released by june 26	5	$272	226	226	+0	No	+$139	06-25 17:55
Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$242	358	358	+0	No	+$91	07-18 22:35
val gm fut1 2026 07 18	3	$242	164	164	+0	FUT Esports	+$86	07-18 17:30
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026?	4	$239	363	363	+0	Yes	+$23	06-30 18:32
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?	13	$213	4,583	3,215	+1,369	No	-$61	07-09 22:00
will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	3	$209	129	129	+0	Yes	+$24	06-30 18:32
cs2 ts7 g2 2026 06 19	11	$203	193	193	+0	Spirit	+$30	06-19 18:41
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	6	$188	186	186	+0	No	+$32	06-22 06:04
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 30	4	$186	125	125	+0	No	+$61	06-30 18:32
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	7	$174	6,144	134	+6,010	Yes	+$12	07-09 01:28
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	6	$174	241	241	+0	Yes	+$117	07-24 15:51
will the next claude sonnet model be released by june 30 2026 20260624195228147 767	5	$170	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	-$170	06-30 14:33
will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	2	$163	426	426	+0	Yes	-$37	07-24 15:57
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$157	7,459	878	+6,582	No	-$145	07-10 19:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-28 07:27:08	Will FUT Esports win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x73d5ef…
09-28 07:26:26	Will FUT Esports win VALORANT Champions 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,059	9¢	$94	0x16be0a…
08-21 02:51:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:55 UTC	Up	BUY	21	51¢	$11	0x50d4a7…
08-21 02:50:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:50 UTC	Up	SELL	26	45¢	$11	0x897a5c…
08-21 02:47:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:50 UTC	Up	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xa1c23e…
08-21 02:45:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x93f609…
08-21 02:41:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd0308b…
08-21 02:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd6f713…
08-21 02:41:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:40 UTC	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x3029f5…
08-21 02:40:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x66a9e5…
08-21 02:35:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x4c816b…
08-21 02:35:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x26e094…
08-21 02:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xbc43d8…
08-21 02:30:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x960863…
08-21 02:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xe761ab…
08-21 02:30:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:30 UTC	Up	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0x633c1c…
08-21 02:25:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x911b8c…
08-21 02:23:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xacd071…
08-21 02:22:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0xfc5023…
08-21 02:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x6c3252…
08-21 02:17:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x8b6d26…
08-21 02:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xe5a0b5…
08-21 02:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xdd5190…
08-21 02:12:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xace344…
08-21 02:12:24	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	SELL	163	2¢	$3	0xe9e89f…
08-21 02:10:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:10 UTC	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x5c1251…
08-21 02:09:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-21 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xde4787…
08-18 03:04:46	val tl1 fut1 2026 08 20	FUT Esports	BUY	9	50¢	$4	0x94365c…
08-18 03:04:16	Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	163	33¢	$54	0x146c7d…
07-24 22:25:04	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	13,360	0¢	$13	0x533080…
07-24 22:24:37	val fur nrg 2026 07 24	FURIA Esports	SELL	330	4¢	$15	0xb1db7a…
07-24 19:34:16	will dow say carbon 5 times during earnings call 20260717163814086	Yes	BUY	8,069	0¢	$10	0x4fef06…
07-24 19:34:01	val fur nrg 2026 07 24	FURIA Esports	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0x6e2934…
07-24 19:21:12	Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be between 46 million and 50 million?	No	BUY	10,110	0¢	$10	0x73b225…
07-24 19:15:28	val fur nrg 2026 07 24	FURIA Esports	SELL	46	22¢	$10	0xff7125…
07-24 17:53:40	val fur nrg 2026 07 24	FURIA Esports	BUY	421	23¢	$97	0x8c25bf…
07-24 17:45:58	val fut1 bbl1 2026 07 24	FUT Esports	SELL	123	83¢	$102	0x0b5d9e…
07-24 15:58:12	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	164	49¢	$80	0x52e843…
07-24 15:57:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	SELL	333	7¢	$22	0xda1333…
07-24 15:57:54	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	SELL	426	15¢	$63	0x428859…
07-24 15:52:37	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	235	55¢	$129	0x8c941f…
07-24 15:51:06	Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	131	100¢	$131	0x6d5a06…
07-24 14:52:46	will the next claude opus model be released by july 24 2026 231 543	No	BUY	411	37¢	$150	0x35147c…
07-24 14:24:09	will the next claude opus model be released by july 31 2026 20260709185050343 272 345 875 539 124	No	BUY	333	11¢	$36	0x247bfb…
07-24 14:23:33	will the next claude opus model be released by july 29 2026	No	BUY	426	23¢	$100	0x3efd5c…
07-23 19:17:42	val fut1 bbl1 2026 07 24	FUT Esports	BUY	123	44¢	$54	0xfeeddd…
07-23 19:16:28	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	166	89¢	$148	0xf1b718…
07-23 19:16:22	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	59	80¢	$47	0x880ac7…
07-23 18:47:37	val gm navi1 2026 07 23	Natus Vincere	BUY	282	10¢	$28	0x08e6c3…
07-23 18:40:16	val gm navi1 2026 07 23	Natus Vincere	BUY	98	13¢	$13	0xb60575…
07-23 17:39:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:35 UTC	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x016697…
07-23 17:33:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:30 UTC	Down	SELL	3	12¢	$0	0xa4b4fb…
07-23 17:32:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x1a8be0…
07-23 17:32:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xde2396…
07-23 17:30:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xc12181…
07-23 17:29:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x5e2b82…
07-23 17:18:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 17:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x7e27ea…
07-23 17:14:09	Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	2,473	0¢	$2	0xd1c5af…
07-23 15:59:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x59ec0b…
07-23 15:59:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	0	49¢	$0	0x41c055…
07-23 15:59:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xe12b66…
07-23 15:59:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xb6692d…
07-22 21:15:51	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	77¢	$45	0x3e2cbd…
07-22 21:15:18	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	SELL	53	87¢	$46	0x280f9a…
07-22 20:11:36	Will DeepSeek have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	171	4¢	$6	0x3089ef…
07-22 20:10:00	Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,052	1¢	$5	0x20cf87…
07-19 21:02:24	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xdd01d0…
07-19 20:27:33	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	674	42¢	$283	0xba2eed…
07-19 20:26:16	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	SELL	512	58¢	$298	0x6afe9f…
07-19 19:29:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	512	59¢	$305	0x06aff0…
07-19 19:27:57	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	SELL	803	40¢	$321	0x42a437…
07-19 17:43:54	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	Yes	BUY	219	56¢	$122	0xcab4c2…
07-19 17:43:16	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	198	64¢	$126	0xb30aa7…
07-19 16:51:15	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	198	67¢	$132	0x9672c1…
07-19 16:49:54	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	1,067	13¢	$139	0x7ab350…
07-19 04:07:19	Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	Yes	BUY	1,067	13¢	$138	0xf1fe1c…
07-19 04:06:55	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	317	46¢	$146	0x0f7666…
07-18 22:38:19	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	BUY	317	50¢	$159	0xc4f971…
07-18 22:35:45	Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	358	47¢	$167	0x736b97…
07-18 22:02:13	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	46	40¢	$19	0x15f192…
07-18 22:01:18	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	31¢	$18	0x9a9cd3…
07-18 21:49:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	757	40¢	$306	0x18e2d7…
07-18 21:47:21	will the next claude opus model be released by july 22 2026	No	SELL	136	46¢	$63	0x89f939…
07-18 21:47:16	Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?	Yes	SELL	188	24¢	$45	0xd7cae5…
07-18 21:47:06	Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	3,534	1¢	$53	0xc309ce…
07-18 21:47:00	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	SELL	338	49¢	$166	0x4ee142…
07-18 21:37:54	Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	177	10¢	$18	0x304d32…
07-18 21:31:21	Will France finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	181	32¢	$58	0x5173cd…
07-18 21:30:03	Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	112	69¢	$77	0xb68472…
07-18 21:25:58	Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	33¢	$19	0xcee0ca…
07-18 21:25:06	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x02b8ef…
07-18 21:06:34	Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	112	50¢	$56	0xb6d013…
07-18 21:06:09	Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	117	50¢	$59	0x15028b…
07-18 17:44:57	Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	117	67¢	$79	0xc92e94…
07-18 17:39:22	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	38	50¢	$19	0x012e2a…
07-18 17:34:36	Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?	No	BUY	90	52¢	$47	0x7a40fc…
07-18 17:31:57	Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?	Yes	BUY	33	49¢	$16	0x13929f…
07-18 17:30:00	val gm fut1 2026 07 18	FUT Esports	SELL	164	100¢	$164	0xc11da8…
07-18 15:11:45	val gm fut1 2026 07 18	FUT Esports	BUY	104	46¢	$48	0xa281ac…
07-18 15:07:27	val gm fut1 2026 07 18	FUT Esports	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x09b1f7…