Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

45.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$118

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-27

last 09-16 13:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Other

39% 22% -$19

Politics

38% 60% +$2

Crypto

21% 13% -$17

Tech

1% 0% -$1

Sports

1% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$1	03-01 06:10
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	2	$5	119	119	+0	No	-$1	03-08 11:26
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	2	$5	4	4	+0	No	+$3	03-07 03:51
next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	4	$5	4	4	+0	Yes	+$1	03-07 06:15
will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	2	$4	4	4	+0	No	+$2	02-28 17:56
qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$1	03-07 03:50
meta above 660 on february 27 2026	1	$4	13	0	+13	No	-$4	02-27 10:26
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:10 UTC	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$0	02-27 10:15
ethereum above 2000 on february 27	1	$3	7	0	+7	No	-$3	02-27 10:21
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	03-04 13:54
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 06:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:55 UTC	3	$2	39	0	+39	Up	-$2	02-27 09:58
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	1	$2	7	0	+7	Yes	-$2	03-07 05:25
will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	2	$2	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 12:28
will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-03 12:27
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	No	+$0	03-11 22:54
iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	2	$2	1	1	+0	Yes	+$0	03-01 06:07
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$2	50	50	+0	No	+$0	03-11 22:54
ethereum above 1900 on february 27	1	$2	69	0	+69	Yes	-$2	02-27 16:30
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 ags bruno fernandes	1	$2	5	0	+5	Yes	+$3	03-01 06:40
epl mun cry 2026 03 01 draw	1	$2	7	0	+7	No	-$2	03-01 14:20
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	1	$2	4	0	+4	No	-$2	07-01 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:50 UTC	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	-$1	03-01 03:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	2	$2	5	0	+5	Down	-$1	03-01 06:12
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$2	2	0	+2	Yes	+$0	09-16 13:02
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$2	26	26	+0	No	$0	03-15 18:19
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$2	77	77	+0	No	$0	03-08 11:26
gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	2	$2	590	590	+0	Yes	-$1	03-04 13:50
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:00 UTC	1	$2	1,610	0	+1,610	Down	-$2	02-27 10:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:25 UTC	1	$1	8	0	+8	Up	-$1	03-03 12:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-16 13:02:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x2c4c3a…
07-01 16:27:23	Will England win on 2026-07-01?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3b1aae…
07-01 16:26:37	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 penalty shootout	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfcc9b1…
07-01 16:24:26	Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x02750b…
06-22 10:52:26	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 btts	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0xabe9c2…
03-15 18:19:59	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3313bb…
03-15 18:19:43	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	26	3¢	$1	0x662c45…
03-11 22:56:11	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0xc9a2e3…
03-11 22:55:45	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0x07d05a…
03-11 22:54:59	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa68eac…
03-11 22:54:57	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x9928ad…
03-08 13:22:33	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x108c6d…
03-08 12:12:19	will another country strike iran by march 31 833	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8bce69…
03-08 11:29:13	highest temperature in munich on march 8 2026 12c	Yes	BUY	92	1¢	$1	0x0394e6…
03-08 11:28:43	highest temperature in chicago on march 9 2026 68 69f	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd0168e…
03-08 11:26:49	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	77	1¢	$1	0x227af7…
03-08 11:26:43	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	119	2¢	$2	0x4f016f…
03-08 08:27:19	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3e8e8e…
03-07 08:45:17	highest temperature in london on march 7 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x847135…
03-07 08:43:27	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xe3293f…
03-07 06:18:11	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	119	2¢	$3	0xa68e1c…
03-07 06:15:19	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xa1027c…
03-07 05:29:27	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xca02e6…
03-07 05:25:35	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xb85ecb…
03-07 03:51:17	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf96ff3…
03-07 03:50:55	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x587126…
03-06 23:07:25	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x66303f…
03-05 15:14:27	aapl above 265 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xf9d232…
03-05 15:14:15	aapl above 260 on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x208e7f…
03-05 15:13:11	aapl above 245 on march 6 2026	No	BUY	45	2¢	$1	0x9820e1…
03-04 13:54:07	iran x israelus conflict ends by march 31	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe666a0…
03-04 13:50:59	qatarenergy resumes lng production by march 14	No	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xa6fcd8…
03-04 13:50:39	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	SELL	590	0¢	$1	0x3e3891…
03-04 13:50:11	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	590	0¢	$1	0xe919c3…
03-04 13:49:03	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x95e928…
03-03 13:12:41	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0xf71971…
03-03 13:12:31	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x95fd25…
03-03 13:12:13	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6371c5…
03-03 12:56:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:55 UTC	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x0a2396…
03-03 12:28:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-03 12:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	19¢	$1	0x9931bc…
03-03 12:28:03	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x2dabef…
03-03 12:27:29	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0x440256…
03-01 14:20:45	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 draw	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0x9d1ffe…
03-01 14:19:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 6 419 412 158 246 866 876 465	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x0194b4…
03-01 14:19:01	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x6fc686…
03-01 11:59:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 11:55 UTC	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1b046f…
03-01 06:40:25	epl mun cry 2026 03 01 ags bruno fernandes	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x4e678f…
03-01 06:12:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	Down	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x595cc0…
03-01 06:11:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:10 UTC	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa90100…
03-01 06:10:53	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x96825e…
03-01 06:10:11	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd892d1…
03-01 06:08:35	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	SELL	3	59¢	$2	0x06c3c3…
03-01 06:07:49	iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x646b6b…
03-01 06:07:09	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	29	5¢	$1	0xcb31c4…
03-01 06:06:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 06:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x900f35…
03-01 03:53:49	nhl van sea 2026 02 28	Canucks	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x585b17…
03-01 03:51:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:50 UTC	Down	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x490392…
03-01 03:51:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-01 03:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2ca8e9…
02-28 18:03:13	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$1	0x4da99a…
02-28 18:03:05	iran strike on qatar by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x2654b9…
02-28 18:01:15	Will the US strike Iran next?	Yes	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x0dbc6c…
02-28 17:56:17	will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	No	SELL	4	94¢	$3	0x7bead4…
02-28 16:50:31	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x51d90c…
02-27 20:03:41	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-02-27 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xc13bde…
02-27 20:02:59	bitcoin up or down february 27 3pm et	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x1abd76…
02-27 20:01:29	will james talarico be the democratic nominee for senate in texas	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x1058af…
02-27 20:01:05	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x26298b…
02-27 19:58:37	will marco rubio visit israel by march 2	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x92c44a…
02-27 19:58:11	will balendra balen shah be the next prime minister of nepal	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x63618f…
02-27 19:56:21	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x45f7e0…
02-27 16:56:21	solana above 70 on february 27	No	BUY	510	0¢	$1	0x420cd8…
02-27 16:30:59	ethereum above 1900 on february 27	No	BUY	69	3¢	$2	0x0cab60…
02-27 10:26:33	meta above 660 on february 27 2026	Yes	BUY	13	30¢	$4	0x53186b…
02-27 10:21:47	ethereum above 2200 on february 27	Yes	BUY	147	1¢	$1	0x2e77a6…
02-27 10:21:13	ethereum above 2000 on february 27	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x48b404…
02-27 10:15:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:10 UTC	Down	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x99ce5b…
02-27 10:12:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$1	0xf29efe…
02-27 10:06:45	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	1,610	0¢	$2	0x9abae9…
02-27 09:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0xde973a…
02-27 09:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0xcefc18…
02-27 09:58:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-27 09:55 UTC	Down	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x85098f…