Winged-Bondsman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

-$43

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

505

lifetime

Volume

$8.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$70

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 09:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% 0% $-9

Crypto

21% — —

Sports

6% — —

Politics

4% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+450	$112	16¢	$70	$-43	06-02 09:30

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	115	$1.7K	317,514	304,210	+13,304	open	—	01-03 18:31
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 520 539	26	$1.3K	1,386	2,076	-690	open	—	01-06 17:02
btc updown 15m 1767927600	2	$759	384	384	+0	open	—	01-09 03:15
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 540 559	10	$468	706	506	+200	open	—	01-06 16:31
nicols maduro seen in public by january 5	49	$459	18,544	18,463	+81	open	—	01-04 02:02
btc updown 15m 1767938400	2	$427	1,050	1,036	+14	open	—	01-09 06:14
btc updown 15m 1767926700	10	$387	1,728	1,728	+0	open	—	01-09 02:56
epl liv lee 2026 01 01 draw	2	$378	214	214	+0	open	—	01-01 19:24
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?	2	$272	0	320	-320	open	—	01-03 09:27
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	28	$240	1,824	1,217	+607	open	—	01-06 06:01
nfl la sea 2026 01 25	2	$234	119	119	+0	open	—	01-26 02:55
nfl la chi 2026 01 18	11	$222	175	175	+0	open	—	01-19 03:02
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 560 579	24	$200	1,300	1,293	+7	open	—	01-06 16:05
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	2	$163	88	88	+0	open	—	05-16 18:44
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	21	$124	425	425	+0	open	—	01-21 06:14
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$112	450	0	+450	open	—	06-02 09:30
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	6	$111	200	200	+0	open	—	01-15 10:56
crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	18	$95	285	253	+33	open	—	01-18 15:41
will morocco win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	2	$82	60	60	+0	open	—	01-18 23:58
will jim hopper die in stranger things season 5	2	$73	75	100	-25	open	—	01-01 01:44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	1	$67	69	0	+69	open	—	04-25 18:24
trump invokes war powers against venezuela by january 31 134 583	5	$64	70	70	+0	open	—	01-04 16:35
will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	9	$60	1,200	200	+1,000	open	—	02-16 22:02
will mrbeast hit 480 million subscribers by march 31 385 949 751 549 325 327 411 863 793	3	$51	32	32	+0	open	—	01-08 10:02
Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	6	$49	455	207	+248	open	—	05-20 04:40
sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	11	$45	444	0	+444	open	—	03-08 21:42
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?	6	$44	40	40	+0	open	—	01-12 16:17
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 480 499	11	$36	500	500	+0	open	—	01-06 04:51
will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	6	$33	40	28	+12	open	—	03-02 04:33
cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	1	$22	24	0	+24	open	—	06-12 09:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 09:32:57	cs2 vit 9z 2026 06 12	Vitality	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x798471…
06-02 09:30:47	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	450	25¢	$112	0x8fddf1…
05-20 04:40:53	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	No	BUY	55	10¢	$5	0xa0db20…
05-19 10:12:43	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	84	31¢	$26	0x448a30…
05-18 13:10:02	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0x8b09a1…
05-18 13:08:38	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	Yes	SELL	95	4¢	$4	0xb02ec7…
05-18 13:08:00	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$0	0x04049e…
05-18 13:07:49	Nvidia Data Center Revenue above 75B in Q1?	Yes	BUY	375	2¢	$8	0xe04cf5…
05-16 18:44:01	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	SELL	88	100¢	$88	0x9cd783…
05-16 17:29:26	Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans	Kolkata Knight Riders	BUY	88	85¢	$75	0x51a576…
05-12 17:19:05	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	SELL	75	1¢	$1	0x56ed82…
05-12 17:10:44	Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad	Sunrisers Hyderabad	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1c2e44…
05-12 12:04:22	Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	PARIVISION	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xe5b772…
05-12 11:00:31	Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	TheMongolz	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xf05b92…
04-26 19:37:56	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	16	9¢	$1	0xdba41b…
04-26 19:37:56	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0x50947e…
04-26 19:37:46	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xdfa9ba…
04-26 19:37:36	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Monte (BO5) - CCT Global Finals Playoffs	Heroic	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0x64dc05…
04-25 18:24:42	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	69	97¢	$67	0xc605cd…
04-22 21:21:18	lal bar cel 2026 04 22 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xeefab4…
04-10 18:30:51	cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	728	0¢	$1	0x445965…
04-10 18:30:49	cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	Royal Challengers Bangalore	BUY	273	0¢	$0	0xe30fea…
04-07 20:52:39	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x84b28f…
03-26 22:05:51	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	SELL	99	6¢	$6	0x94f501…
03-26 22:03:53	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	80	8¢	$6	0xdc6c08…
03-26 22:03:49	fif bra fra 2026 03 26 draw	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x1663f9…
03-08 21:42:05	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	25	3¢	$1	0x8a02e7…
03-08 21:42:05	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x62b715…
03-08 21:42:03	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x4ab0a6…
03-08 21:42:01	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	71	3¢	$2	0xd11cf1…
03-08 21:41:59	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0xc6622b…
03-08 21:31:55	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	179	16¢	$29	0x3d18c1…
03-08 21:31:55	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x3219a9…
03-08 21:31:31	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x4fd584…
03-08 21:31:29	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x8a65f1…
03-08 21:31:05	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0x2a5adf…
03-08 21:31:01	sea mil int 2026 03 08 draw	Yes	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0xbc754b…
03-02 04:33:47	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xd7eeea…
03-01 04:39:57	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	SELL	16	55¢	$9	0x5765da…
02-25 00:26:52	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x2f7060…
02-22 22:03:58	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x94471b…
02-16 22:02:45	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x947802…
02-15 15:42:23	will pakistan win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	Yes	BUY	150	8¢	$11	0x574c50…
02-15 15:32:51	crint ind pak 2026 02 15	Pakistan	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x512c7f…
02-15 00:03:09	will pakistan win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	Yes	BUY	38	8¢	$3	0x135ffa…
02-14 23:45:45	will pakistan win the 2026 icc mens t20 world cup	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xff9407…
02-14 21:31:07	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0xeaa9e6…
02-14 19:49:19	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x2cf340…
02-14 18:56:13	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x21d0d9…
02-14 18:11:07	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0xbaf043…
02-14 17:05:37	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	7¢	$1	0xb869f6…
02-14 17:02:25	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	7¢	$1	0x1d1837…
02-14 16:52:03	Will Rabby launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	7¢	$1	0xcb0558…
02-12 07:49:29	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	SELL	105	19¢	$20	0x8cf071…
02-12 07:44:07	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	SELL	26	19¢	$5	0x659411…
02-12 07:11:15	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xa6f1e2…
02-12 06:48:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa7649f…
02-12 06:06:23	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x2a869d…
02-11 17:36:59	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x665836…
02-10 20:22:05	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x821f68…
02-10 19:06:11	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase february 10 16	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x8d885d…
01-26 02:55:22	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Seahawks	SELL	119	100¢	$119	0xaf0820…
01-26 02:51:10	nfl la sea 2026 01 25	Seahawks	BUY	119	97¢	$115	0x6503a2…
01-21 14:22:12	crint ind nzl 2026 01 21	New Zealand	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x70fafc…
01-21 06:14:42	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0x66106d…
01-21 03:26:50	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	74	6¢	$4	0x03cc77…
01-20 17:04:12	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xd9bf58…
01-20 10:16:12	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	Yes	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0xee0a3b…
01-20 03:01:16	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	Yes	SELL	850	0¢	$1	0x72a2ff…
01-19 18:42:04	will melania say career during ai talk on friday	Yes	BUY	850	0¢	$3	0x45cb20…
01-19 14:54:08	will mrbeast hit 475 million subscribers by march 31 387 656 755 785	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1a595e…
01-19 03:02:08	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	18	87¢	$15	0x14ed7f…
01-19 02:58:58	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xde0828…
01-19 02:58:56	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xbfbdd7…
01-19 02:57:16	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	7	85¢	$6	0x50dfc4…
01-19 02:55:34	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xbd2678…
01-19 02:54:02	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	21	70¢	$14	0xd3eb05…
01-19 02:53:10	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	14	60¢	$8	0xadda3f…
01-19 02:53:02	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	SELL	70	50¢	$35	0x4bd69a…
01-19 02:45:16	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	BUY	120	54¢	$65	0x57df6d…
01-19 02:34:38	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0xebe24d…
01-19 02:21:02	nfl la chi 2026 01 18	Rams	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x076922…
01-18 23:58:58	will morocco win the caf africa cup of nations morocco 2025	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x4d5e11…
01-18 15:41:34	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	India	SELL	5	51¢	$2	0xc7e52e…
01-18 15:29:46	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	India	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xf820a3…
01-18 15:29:42	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	India	SELL	1	20¢	$0	0xca322c…
01-18 15:00:06	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	India	SELL	50	3¢	$2	0x2a902d…
01-18 14:51:26	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	India	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x7da69f…
01-18 14:46:50	will the bears win the nfc championship 1	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x5911f9…
01-18 13:14:22	cs2 ice ts7 2026 01 18	Inner Circle Esports	SELL	100	5¢	$5	0x172b5d…
01-18 13:09:00	cs2 ice ts7 2026 01 18	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	73	5¢	$4	0xcc7c4a…
01-18 13:08:58	cs2 ice ts7 2026 01 18	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	0	5¢	$0	0x922d07…
01-18 13:08:54	cs2 ice ts7 2026 01 18	Inner Circle Esports	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x7d9781…
01-18 13:08:42	will the bears win the nfc championship 1	Yes	SELL	4	9¢	$0	0x3a2c92…
01-18 13:07:28	will the bears win the nfc championship 1	Yes	SELL	1	9¢	$0	0x0127b2…
01-18 12:55:18	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	New Zealand	SELL	44	45¢	$20	0x03dd71…
01-18 12:55:16	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	New Zealand	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x3a5c3a…
01-18 12:53:26	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	New Zealand	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xc32d9a…
01-18 12:53:24	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	New Zealand	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x607fda…
01-18 09:24:36	crint ind nzl 2026 01 18	New Zealand	BUY	11	15¢	$2	0x8c5c5a…