Modest-Collision — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

Trades

966

lifetime

Volume

$2.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 06-20 03:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 44% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1781865600	6	$52	67	67	+0	open	—	06-19 10:44
btc updown 5m 1781924100	2	$32	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 02:59
btc updown 5m 1781805300	3	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	06-18 17:59
btc updown 15m 1781924400	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 03:14
btc updown 5m 1781751300	2	$24	25	25	+0	open	—	06-18 02:59
btc updown 5m 1781923200	2	$21	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 02:43
btc updown 5m 1775650800	15	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-08 12:24
btc updown 5m 1781628900	3	$14	54	25	+29	open	—	06-16 16:58
btc updown 5m 1781665800	4	$13	12	12	+0	open	—	06-17 03:10
btc updown 15m 1781811900	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	06-18 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	06-01 13:58
btc updown 5m 1781897100	2	$7	6	6	+0	open	—	06-19 19:26
btc updown 5m 1781925000	2	$7	20	20	+0	open	—	06-20 03:14
btc updown 5m 1781895300	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-19 18:58
btc updown 5m 1775829900	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$7	11	5	+6	Down	+$4	05-11 09:26
btc updown 15m 1781652600	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-16 23:44
btc updown 5m 1781896200	2	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	06-19 19:14
btc updown 5m 1781893500	4	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	06-19 18:29
btc updown 5m 1776348000	2	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-16 14:04
btc updown 5m 1776043500	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-13 01:30
btc updown 5m 1775779500	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-10 00:10
btc updown 5m 1781743200	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	06-18 00:44
btc updown 5m 1775785200	2	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-10 01:44
btc updown 5m 1776122400	2	$5	4	4	+0	open	—	04-13 23:25
btc updown 5m 1775768700	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-09 21:09
btc updown 5m 1775785800	2	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	04-10 01:55
btc updown 5m 1775782500	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-10 01:00
btc updown 5m 1776186000	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	04-14 17:04
btc updown 5m 1775772300	2	$5	6	6	+0	open	—	04-09 22:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 03:14:25	btc updown 5m 1781925000	Down	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x86a01a…
06-20 03:14:25	btc updown 15m 1781924400	Up	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0x28ddec…
06-20 03:14:14	btc updown 5m 1781925000	Down	BUY	20	13¢	$3	0x259042…
06-20 03:14:13	btc updown 15m 1781924400	Up	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0xae215f…
06-20 02:59:14	btc updown 5m 1781924100	Down	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x5f35a1…
06-20 02:59:13	btc updown 15m 1781923500	Up	SELL	22	1¢	$0	0xc07ea9…
06-20 02:56:59	btc updown 5m 1781924100	Down	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xd8a792…
06-20 02:56:59	btc updown 15m 1781923500	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x0ed59b…
06-20 02:43:52	btc updown 5m 1781923200	Down	SELL	20	44¢	$9	0x39b219…
06-20 02:43:50	btc updown 5m 1781923200	Down	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x927422…
06-19 19:26:53	btc updown 5m 1781897100	Down	SELL	6	79¢	$5	0xc71711…
06-19 19:26:53	btc updown 15m 1781896500	Up	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x2dc3f5…
06-19 19:25:22	btc updown 15m 1781896500	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xf40d52…
06-19 19:25:22	btc updown 5m 1781897100	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x072ec3…
06-19 19:14:31	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Down	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0x0bb8a4…
06-19 19:13:23	btc updown 5m 1781896200	Down	BUY	17	31¢	$5	0x9085f3…
06-19 18:59:02	btc updown 15m 1781894700	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x3fb04c…
06-19 18:58:50	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x299196…
06-19 18:58:04	btc updown 5m 1781895300	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x15ea19…
06-19 18:56:50	btc updown 15m 1781894700	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x02d89b…
06-19 18:29:40	btc updown 5m 1781893500	Down	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x744276…
06-19 18:25:38	btc updown 5m 1781893500	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xf056b9…
06-19 18:25:38	btc updown 5m 1781893500	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xb0cec5…
06-19 18:25:38	btc updown 15m 1781892900	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x92a90d…
06-19 18:25:38	btc updown 5m 1781893500	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x260c90…
06-19 18:14:28	btc updown 5m 1781892600	Down	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x0e290e…
06-19 18:11:53	btc updown 5m 1781892600	Down	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0x82892b…
06-19 18:11:53	btc updown 15m 1781892000	Up	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0x30dd01…
06-19 10:44:41	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Down	SELL	33	34¢	$11	0x03d921…
06-19 10:44:10	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Down	BUY	7	50¢	$4	0x940640…
06-19 10:44:08	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Down	BUY	26	50¢	$13	0x4d6761…
06-19 10:44:07	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Down	SELL	33	45¢	$15	0x12d51a…
06-19 10:43:31	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Down	BUY	21	27¢	$6	0xfb8cbd…
06-19 10:43:31	btc updown 5m 1781865600	Down	BUY	12	27¢	$3	0xf625d4…
06-19 10:43:31	btc updown 15m 1781865000	Up	BUY	33	4¢	$1	0x139b6f…
06-18 19:59:46	btc updown 15m 1781811900	Down	SELL	8	73¢	$6	0x0f86d7…
06-18 19:58:02	btc updown 5m 1781812500	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x310ec9…
06-18 19:57:55	btc updown 15m 1781811900	Down	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0x62efab…
06-18 19:56:20	btc updown 5m 1781812500	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x724321…
06-18 19:56:02	btc updown 5m 1781812500	Up	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xc367c5…
06-18 19:56:02	btc updown 5m 1781812500	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xc0a491…
06-18 17:59:56	btc updown 5m 1781805300	Down	SELL	16	88¢	$14	0x42f970…
06-18 17:59:55	btc updown 5m 1781805300	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$3	0xb0bbe2…
06-18 17:59:10	btc updown 15m 1781804700	Up	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xaa842c…
06-18 17:59:10	btc updown 5m 1781805300	Down	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0x629bfc…
06-18 16:56:40	btc updown 5m 1781801700	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf985c2…
06-18 02:59:29	btc updown 5m 1781751300	Down	SELL	25	49¢	$12	0x32e2e7…
06-18 02:56:52	btc updown 15m 1781750700	Up	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x2f13a8…
06-18 02:56:46	btc updown 5m 1781751300	Down	BUY	25	48¢	$12	0xae2d7e…
06-18 01:59:14	btc updown 15m 1781747100	Up	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x839f98…
06-18 01:59:14	btc updown 5m 1781747700	Down	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x59033e…
06-18 01:56:08	btc updown 5m 1781747700	Down	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0xc1bd18…
06-18 01:56:08	btc updown 15m 1781747100	Up	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0xac6b4b…
06-18 01:56:08	btc updown 5m 1781747700	Down	BUY	9	20¢	$2	0x1ff5c1…
06-18 01:27:49	btc updown 5m 1781745900	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x5af6bb…
06-18 01:27:49	btc updown 5m 1781745900	Down	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x516f8a…
06-18 00:44:43	btc updown 5m 1781743200	Down	SELL	10	2¢	$0	0x376c71…
06-18 00:44:41	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Up	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x793d19…
06-18 00:41:38	btc updown 5m 1781743200	Down	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x316ad8…
06-18 00:41:38	btc updown 15m 1781742600	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x2e5ad7…
06-17 23:59:29	btc updown 15m 1781739900	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xced025…
06-17 23:59:29	btc updown 5m 1781740500	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa15045…
06-17 23:56:02	btc updown 15m 1781739900	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x474ae7…
06-17 23:56:01	btc updown 5m 1781740500	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x2c74bb…
06-17 03:10:55	btc updown 15m 1781665200	Up	SELL	12	4¢	$0	0xcbe776…
06-17 03:10:51	btc updown 5m 1781665800	Down	SELL	7	65¢	$5	0xae25dc…
06-17 03:10:49	btc updown 5m 1781665800	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x7a1031…
06-17 03:10:49	btc updown 5m 1781665800	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x6e1740…
06-17 03:10:25	btc updown 15m 1781665200	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x0653ac…
06-17 03:10:24	btc updown 5m 1781665800	Down	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x50f417…
06-16 23:44:16	btc updown 5m 1781653200	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb0b5a6…
06-16 23:44:16	btc updown 15m 1781652600	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xa2e7c8…
06-16 23:41:02	btc updown 15m 1781652600	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xd3a241…
06-16 23:41:01	btc updown 5m 1781653200	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xcaa52f…
06-16 16:59:26	btc updown 15m 1781628300	Up	SELL	25	1¢	$0	0x16e64d…
06-16 16:58:26	btc updown 5m 1781628900	Down	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0xebaa44…
06-16 16:58:26	btc updown 5m 1781628900	Down	SELL	25	5¢	$1	0x904c82…
06-16 16:56:56	btc updown 15m 1781628300	Up	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0xf86940…
06-16 16:56:56	btc updown 5m 1781628900	Down	BUY	25	46¢	$12	0xbff6d1…
06-16 16:44:29	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xf233bd…
06-16 16:44:29	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9cc5e0…
06-16 16:41:28	btc updown 5m 1781628000	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x97c217…
06-16 16:41:17	btc updown 15m 1781627400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb4b07f…
06-16 12:12:09	btc updown 15m 1781611200	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x34d6e4…
06-16 12:12:06	btc updown 15m 1781611200	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xa4b56d…
06-04 12:14:10	btc updown 15m 1780574400	Up	BUY	4	16¢	$1	0xf26280…
06-04 12:14:10	btc updown 15m 1780574400	Up	BUY	2	16¢	$0	0x82fb7a…
06-04 12:13:36	btc updown 5m 1780575000	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9c9799…
06-04 12:13:36	btc updown 5m 1780575000	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0x33d534…
06-04 09:44:51	btc updown 15m 1780565400	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x480f8c…
06-04 06:29:55	btc updown 5m 1780554300	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x73f482…
06-04 06:29:25	btc updown 15m 1780553700	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x9043b5…
06-04 03:29:39	btc updown 5m 1780543500	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5888e3…
06-04 03:29:37	btc updown 15m 1780542900	Up	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x4dce6c…
06-02 13:13:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x90e245…
06-02 13:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x311b05…
06-01 13:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcecfc4…
06-01 13:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	82¢	$8	0xb0e5d5…
05-14 04:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xce28fa…
05-14 04:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x77957b…