Stimulating-Airplane — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$25

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

55.9%

Resolved

137

Trades

687

lifetime

Volume

$4.41K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-20

last 06-22 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 58% $-25

Other

12% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 195 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+1	$1	94¢	$1	+$0	06-06 01:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will don lemon be criminally charged	2	$258	369	369	+0	open	—	01-24 07:27
bitcoin up or down february 3 9pm et	2	$226	117	117	+0	open	—	02-04 03:04
bitcoin up or down february 2 2am et	17	$215	231	201	+30	open	—	02-02 07:00
bitcoin up or down february 1 9am et	2	$208	110	110	+0	open	—	02-01 15:00
bitcoin up or down february 3 8pm et	2	$198	104	104	+0	open	—	02-04 02:08
bitcoin up or down february 3 12pm et	2	$194	109	109	+0	open	—	02-03 18:19
bitcoin up or down february 1 7am et	2	$193	99	99	+0	open	—	02-01 13:02
will powell say inflation 40 times during january press conference	1	$162	184	0	+184	open	—	01-24 07:34
btc updown 15m 1770174900	1	$117	243	0	+243	open	—	02-04 03:12
btc updown 15m 1770171300	1	$104	110	0	+110	open	—	02-04 02:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	2	$101	195	0	+195	open	—	05-15 10:30
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$96	0	99	-99	open	—	01-20 11:36
btc updown 15m 1770166800	1	$89	94	0	+94	open	—	02-04 01:04
bitcoin up or down february 1 1pm et	7	$76	100	20	+80	open	—	02-01 18:53
bitcoin up or down february 3 9am et	4	$72	42	42	-0	open	—	02-03 15:48
bitcoin up or down february 2 1am et	4	$49	87	30	+57	open	—	02-02 06:32
bitcoin up or down february 2 9am et	5	$40	58	38	+20	open	—	02-02 14:38
bitcoin up or down february 3 3am et	11	$40	56	0	+56	open	—	02-03 08:49
bitcoin up or down february 1 11pm et	14	$33	80	0	+80	open	—	02-02 04:43
bitcoin up or down february 1 7pm et	5	$30	47	0	+47	open	—	02-02 00:25
bitcoin up or down february 1 8pm et	5	$30	64	0	+64	open	—	02-02 01:50
bitcoin up or down february 1 9pm et	4	$30	161	0	+161	open	—	02-02 02:50
bitcoin up or down february 2 7am et	3	$29	57	0	+57	open	—	02-02 12:02
bitcoin up or down february 2 6am et	4	$29	57	0	+57	open	—	02-02 11:11
bitcoin up or down february 1 12pm et	4	$27	40	20	+20	open	—	02-01 17:53
bitcoin up or down february 1 6pm et	4	$25	46	0	+46	open	—	02-01 23:46
bitcoin up or down february 1 10am et	2	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-01 15:50
bitcoin up or down february 3 4am et	6	$24	32	0	+32	open	—	02-03 09:14
bitcoin up or down february 1 11am et	3	$24	40	20	+20	open	—	02-01 16:44
bitcoin up or down february 1 5pm et	2	$23	40	0	+40	open	—	02-01 22:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 11:29:08	btc updown 5m 1782127500	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb7a49f…
06-22 10:39:08	btc updown 5m 1782124500	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x844634…
06-22 10:09:07	btc updown 5m 1782122700	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb00528…
06-22 08:29:08	btc updown 5m 1782116700	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x05b715…
06-22 08:19:07	btc updown 5m 1782116100	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x83258b…
06-22 07:44:08	btc updown 5m 1782114000	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x801f8f…
06-22 06:24:07	btc updown 5m 1782109200	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe197df…
06-22 05:54:08	btc updown 5m 1782107400	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x01a32e…
06-22 05:24:08	btc updown 5m 1782105600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x00cec8…
06-22 04:34:07	btc updown 5m 1782102600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc25b97…
06-22 04:29:07	btc updown 5m 1782102300	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x530e8b…
06-22 04:14:08	btc updown 5m 1782101400	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x047086…
06-22 03:54:10	btc updown 5m 1782100200	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xd9fa91…
06-22 03:29:08	btc updown 5m 1782098700	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7c334e…
06-22 03:14:07	btc updown 5m 1782097800	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xec0b3b…
06-22 02:49:07	btc updown 5m 1782096300	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9d0011…
06-22 02:24:08	btc updown 5m 1782094800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x84387b…
06-22 02:19:08	btc updown 5m 1782094500	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc7a896…
06-22 01:34:08	btc updown 5m 1782091800	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x818a41…
06-22 01:04:08	btc updown 5m 1782090000	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x127569…
06-22 00:59:08	btc updown 5m 1782089700	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x4f5dca…
06-06 01:20:07	will a claude mythos model be released by june 15 2026	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x139262…
06-06 01:19:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xc13039…
06-06 01:19:25	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x71c9ad…
06-03 04:46:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xb83c06…
06-03 04:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x98a0e9…
06-02 17:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x398da5…
06-02 17:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe88f7d…
06-02 12:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ce7d5…
06-02 04:14:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x345921…
06-02 04:13:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x6b2ee7…
06-02 03:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x1c241d…
06-02 03:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9a3be9…
06-02 03:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6a83f6…
06-02 03:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x4c8829…
06-02 03:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7c0c45…
06-02 02:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x5dd316…
06-01 04:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x04ecc2…
06-01 03:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x5bb377…
06-01 03:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x6d6ab2…
05-27 02:05:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x2f348b…
05-27 01:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x589cdf…
05-27 01:30:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xda0965…
05-26 02:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xa89fbf…
05-26 01:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb88e6f…
05-25 23:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9549a4…
05-25 22:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x974cc6…
05-25 19:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb34255…
05-25 19:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0662cf…
05-25 12:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x08b5e2…
05-25 12:38:55	Solana Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe6987c…
05-25 12:37:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x28584f…
05-25 12:36:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xba4a83…
05-25 07:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x4c433f…
05-25 07:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51fde1…
05-25 05:04:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa2496e…
05-24 22:00:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x95efc6…
05-24 21:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x877441…
05-24 20:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xf23f7d…
05-24 20:45:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xcb955d…
05-24 20:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb78f1…
05-24 20:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xfbb4bb…
05-24 20:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x009890…
05-24 20:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe8bb0b…
05-24 19:55:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6952ab…
05-24 19:10:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07b3fc…
05-24 18:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x1d464e…
05-24 18:25:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x793783…
05-24 18:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x91e6ae…
05-24 18:10:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x464904…
05-24 18:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xea63c4…
05-24 18:00:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x310295…
05-24 17:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x8b9ca4…
05-24 17:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xa59e6a…
05-24 17:30:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x8c72d1…
05-24 17:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7cc4f6…
05-24 17:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa86bc3…
05-24 17:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xe4cbbd…
05-24 17:10:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x055cb6…
05-24 16:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x128156…
05-24 16:45:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaae588…
05-24 16:35:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf70e3f…
05-24 16:20:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa56b47…
05-24 16:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5767b5…
05-24 15:50:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x00c9c8…
05-24 15:45:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x07dfd1…
05-24 15:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8deac6…
05-24 15:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xc3d4d1…
05-24 15:30:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xbfa4de…
05-24 15:25:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa881cd…
05-24 15:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x30e375…
05-24 15:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0f5d39…
05-24 15:10:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x1478a3…
05-24 14:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x836581…
05-24 13:14:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7240a7…
05-24 09:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb7a398…
05-23 14:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xba7381…
05-23 11:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x3ec061…
05-23 11:05:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x994253…
05-23 11:00:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xb9bc1c…