Scary-Ale — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$648

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 10-05 02:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$1

Crypto

17% 100% +$0

Other

17% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	2	$75	38	38	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:14
Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$75	38	38	+0	open	—	05-22 03:48
Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	06-06 02:53
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	06-26 01:16
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	10-04 14:43
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	08-24 23:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	2	$74	38	38	+0	open	—	07-21 08:51
trump out as president by march 31	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$1	03-18 11:23
2026 Balance of Power: Other	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	10-05 02:32
Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	1	$37	37	0	+37	No	+$0	03-18 11:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-05 02:32:59	2026 Balance of Power: Other	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7a80f3…
10-04 14:43:14	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x72ef2f…
08-27 09:51:30	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x2aa72e…
08-24 23:52:15	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x964734…
07-21 08:52:45	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0x7d88c3…
07-21 08:51:40	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	38	98¢	$37	0x279258…
06-26 01:16:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0xf418fd…
06-26 01:16:05	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0x39847f…
06-06 02:54:16	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0xd050e8…
06-06 02:53:33	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xba07ef…
05-22 03:48:58	Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x1e3815…
05-22 03:48:09	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	38	99¢	$37	0x846be6…
04-28 14:14:38	Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0xa6f0d3…
04-28 14:14:16	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xd22ba3…
04-10 07:56:27	Will Solana dip to $20 in April?	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x903e46…
03-18 11:24:35	Based FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xb85550…
03-18 11:23:37	trump out as president by march 31	No	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0xc2d7b1…
02-08 02:38:05	trump out as president by march 31	No	BUY	27	97¢	$26	0xa73bcd…