Surprised-Reliability — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

46.5%

Resolved

259

Trades

24,961

lifetime

Volume

$49.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-31 06:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 51% $-11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 3900 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	58	$150	219	-219	open	—	05-15 01:19
btc updown 5m 1776351300	62	$123	236	-236	open	—	04-16 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	48	$121	202	-202	open	—	05-15 03:39
btc updown 5m 1776413400	49	$120	180	-180	open	—	04-17 08:14
btc updown 5m 1776430500	63	$111	218	-218	open	—	04-17 12:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	53	$106	218	-218	open	—	05-14 19:19
btc updown 5m 1776455100	47	$105	200	-200	open	—	04-17 19:48
btc updown 5m 1776360300	46	$105	157	-157	open	—	04-16 17:28
btc updown 5m 1776366600	43	$105	180	-180	open	—	04-16 19:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	38	$104	167	-167	open	—	05-15 04:40
btc updown 5m 1776447300	49	$104	199	-199	open	—	04-17 17:38
btc updown 5m 1776453600	52	$102	200	-200	open	—	04-17 19:23
btc updown 5m 1776446100	47	$102	195	-195	open	—	04-17 17:18
btc updown 5m 1776455400	50	$101	195	-195	open	—	04-17 19:54
btc updown 5m 1776444600	44	$101	197	-197	open	—	04-17 16:53
btc updown 5m 1776432900	49	$101	199	-199	open	—	04-17 13:37
btc updown 5m 1776358200	42	$101	155	-155	open	—	04-16 16:52
btc updown 5m 1776444000	52	$101	198	-198	open	—	04-17 16:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	38	$100	155	-155	open	—	05-15 00:18
btc updown 5m 1776450600	57	$100	192	-192	open	—	04-17 18:32
btc updown 5m 1776358800	40	$100	160	-160	open	—	04-16 17:03
btc updown 5m 1776362700	44	$100	179	-179	open	—	04-16 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	45	$100	168	-168	open	—	05-15 02:25
btc updown 5m 1776375600	38	$99	168	-168	open	—	04-16 21:44
btc updown 5m 1776366300	50	$99	180	-180	open	—	04-16 19:07
btc updown 5m 1776449400	45	$99	200	-200	open	—	04-17 18:13
btc updown 5m 1776366000	48	$99	175	-175	open	—	04-16 19:03
btc updown 5m 1776941100	42	$99	160	-160	open	—	04-23 10:50
btc updown 5m 1776370200	50	$98	178	-178	open	—	04-16 20:12
btc updown 5m 1776452100	48	$98	192	-192	open	—	04-17 18:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-31 06:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x232c2c…
05-31 06:02:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x1c9101…
05-31 06:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0xd06054…
05-31 05:59:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0xd24387…
05-31 05:59:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x692113…
05-31 05:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	91¢	$5	0xfdaab8…
05-31 05:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x7008ac…
05-31 05:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xe63365…
05-31 05:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8fcbc8…
05-31 05:53:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	90¢	$4	0xf3400a…
05-31 05:53:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x250484…
05-31 05:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xedcf24…
05-31 05:52:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xa197ab…
05-31 05:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xe7e0cb…
05-31 05:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xfbcd1e…
05-31 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	66¢	$3	0xf00ba5…
05-31 05:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xd316d1…
05-31 05:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xa2653f…
05-31 05:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$1	0x10e439…
05-31 05:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	0	74¢	$0	0xb1d0e2…
05-31 05:46:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x3435ed…
05-31 05:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x1ab47a…
05-31 05:46:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	0	29¢	$0	0xc515a6…
05-31 05:45:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x40596f…
05-31 05:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	56¢	$3	0xf3eb7c…
05-31 05:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x85dee8…
05-31 05:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0xec42b0…
05-31 05:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0x5fa7c9…
05-31 05:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x76a4b3…
05-31 05:43:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x324243…
05-31 05:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xfb174b…
05-31 05:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	81¢	$4	0x091652…
05-31 05:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x14dfbe…
05-31 05:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x81d969…
05-31 05:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x764864…
05-31 05:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x145444…
05-31 05:41:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x7dda54…
05-31 05:39:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x4cb896…
05-31 05:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x3bafcb…
05-31 05:35:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xd68a42…
05-31 05:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	28¢	$1	0x6eb441…
05-31 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xdb5ad7…
05-31 05:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	4	33¢	$1	0x635da3…
05-31 05:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd7910c…
05-31 05:33:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xb9f275…
05-31 05:33:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x2c0507…
05-31 05:32:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xe2d390…
05-31 05:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	64¢	$3	0xc10d3c…
05-31 05:26:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xd293ba…
05-31 05:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xaa6fc5…
05-31 05:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0x7ae866…
05-31 05:26:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	1	65¢	$1	0x0334e5…
05-31 05:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	63¢	$3	0xca90fa…
05-31 05:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x08d95d…
05-31 05:26:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3e01d3…
05-31 05:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x072636…
05-31 05:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xee2b02…
05-31 05:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x138d47…
05-31 05:25:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x01a1df…
05-31 05:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0xf3ed97…
05-31 05:18:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0x4a76b1…
05-31 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	41¢	$2	0xad3426…
05-31 05:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	41¢	$0	0x326e29…
05-31 05:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	24¢	$1	0x5f70d8…
05-31 05:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	2	24¢	$1	0x0668b6…
05-31 05:11:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x7614d7…
05-31 05:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x420c51…
05-31 05:11:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x23f2d1…
05-31 05:11:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0xf10ac2…
05-31 05:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x02a60b…
05-31 05:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xbcb9bc…
05-31 05:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x7839cb…
05-31 05:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x7ed0b1…
05-31 05:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x885037…
05-31 05:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	3	30¢	$1	0x6b4527…
05-31 05:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x4e8ba8…
05-31 05:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x811e60…
05-31 05:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x01e07e…
05-31 05:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x3b9643…
05-31 05:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd1e3c8…
05-31 05:00:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x5f2533…
05-31 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0x915e13…
05-31 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x768b40…
05-31 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	5¢	$0	0x580f41…
05-31 04:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xdbf038…
05-31 04:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0x3c6fbb…
05-31 04:56:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xc0ad0b…
05-31 04:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x7f347b…
05-31 04:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0xf6d7b1…
05-31 04:53:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0xfcec7c…
05-31 04:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0xebd0c3…
05-31 04:53:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	68¢	$1	0x85622c…
05-31 04:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	67¢	$3	0x93ccf8…
05-31 04:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0x2f97fb…
05-31 04:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x1698c5…
05-31 04:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x898868…
05-31 04:52:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0x2146cc…
05-31 04:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	43¢	$2	0x41827c…
05-31 04:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	11¢	$1	0x289b42…
05-31 04:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0x9009dc…