Phony-Difference — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.7%

Resolved

133

Trades

744

lifetime

Volume

$1.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-10

last 06-05 15:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 36% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 76 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	2	$36	5	75	-70	open	—	05-22 07:11
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	3	$29	38	38	+0	Down	+$14	05-11 15:42
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$21	36	36	+0	open	—	05-16 05:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	6	$19	18	17	+0	open	—	05-26 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$15	16	16	+0	open	—	05-14 23:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	2	$14	27	27	+0	Down	+$8	05-08 03:13
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$13	17	17	+0	open	—	05-16 14:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	4	$12	11	11	+0	open	—	05-26 04:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	4	$11	11	11	+0	open	—	05-24 08:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	4	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 06:08
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 18:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	4	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	05-26 04:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	2	$10	10	10	+0	Up	+$5	05-11 14:41
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	7	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	05-21 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	4	$9	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	Up	+$4	05-11 14:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	2	$9	16	16	+0	Down	+$5	05-12 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$9	105	88	+17	open	—	05-18 13:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	3	$9	11	6	+5	open	—	05-26 09:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	2	$9	12	12	+0	open	—	05-14 15:44
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-15 00:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	4	$8	11	11	+0	open	—	05-18 16:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 05:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-26 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 12:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 19:27
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-21 17:59
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-21 00:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-25 12:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 15:24:16	sol updown 15m 1780672500	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x69d0e8…
06-05 15:23:28	sol updown 15m 1780672500	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x10877a…
06-05 14:52:07	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Down	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xf47892…
06-05 14:51:09	btc updown 15m 1780670700	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x732bdc…
06-05 14:08:12	btc updown 15m 1780668000	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf7d1c9…
06-05 14:08:07	sol updown 15m 1780668000	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0xaeef96…
06-05 14:07:31	btc updown 15m 1780668000	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xede763…
06-05 14:07:19	sol updown 15m 1780668000	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb40767…
06-05 12:22:54	sol updown 15m 1780661700	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x2591fc…
06-05 12:21:42	sol updown 15m 1780661700	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x85f11e…
06-05 11:50:54	btc updown 15m 1780659900	Down	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x46142b…
06-05 11:50:07	btc updown 15m 1780659900	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf5bd82…
06-05 10:09:49	sol updown 15m 1780653600	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x0c544c…
06-05 10:09:24	sol updown 15m 1780653600	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x401d99…
06-05 09:22:03	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x8c8f7b…
06-05 09:21:15	btc updown 15m 1780650900	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0x28f5da…
06-05 07:54:36	sol updown 15m 1780645500	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x60d39f…
06-05 06:06:16	btc updown 15m 1780639200	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x2e3573…
06-05 06:05:52	btc updown 15m 1780639200	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x514a63…
06-05 05:07:22	sol updown 15m 1780635600	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$2	0x45d9ae…
06-05 05:06:33	sol updown 15m 1780635600	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x98991a…
06-05 02:51:40	sol updown 15m 1780627500	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x67d0cb…
06-05 02:50:45	sol updown 15m 1780627500	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x576386…
06-05 02:35:10	sol updown 15m 1780626600	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf57ab1…
06-05 01:54:19	sol updown 15m 1780623900	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0x00b2b8…
06-05 01:53:36	sol updown 15m 1780623900	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x4b0590…
06-04 22:05:45	btc updown 15m 1780610400	Down	SELL	2	35¢	$1	0x53cef0…
06-04 22:05:13	btc updown 15m 1780610400	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xab8cfd…
06-04 16:20:37	sol updown 15m 1780589700	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x2abf9c…
06-04 16:20:24	btc updown 15m 1780589700	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xd12f55…
05-31 22:21:54	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x4753c2…
05-31 22:21:19	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x755ff2…
05-31 22:20:51	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	32¢	$2	0xf730f6…
05-31 22:20:28	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x3a3f10…
05-31 14:51:23	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x960383…
05-31 14:50:36	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xfe7e95…
05-31 10:51:26	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xeba943…
05-31 10:50:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x381ee1…
05-31 07:51:16	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x843bc2…
05-31 07:50:22	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x00a771…
05-30 21:53:37	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	33¢	$2	0x275363…
05-30 21:51:59	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x96e3a3…
05-30 21:21:30	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7cb427…
05-30 21:20:31	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc52b63…
05-30 20:07:15	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x68b2bb…
05-30 20:06:22	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x46fd19…
05-30 19:51:17	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0xb46a5f…
05-30 19:50:07	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xcd2059…
05-30 19:21:55	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0x8fb3d6…
05-30 19:21:03	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xf23d52…
05-30 18:22:02	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0x9e6dd9…
05-30 18:21:38	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb0d8fc…
05-30 16:22:19	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	12¢	$1	0xcdca75…
05-30 16:21:30	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0x974e1c…
05-30 15:22:03	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0x5b189b…
05-30 15:21:49	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x6bd93d…
05-30 15:20:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x17f525…
05-30 15:20:18	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0x6e29b6…
05-30 12:35:50	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xf2cf2a…
05-30 12:35:06	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x57e98e…
05-30 08:26:52	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xe96d3f…
05-30 08:24:13	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc9e394…
05-30 08:22:19	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb81b25…
05-30 08:22:08	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	27¢	$2	0x97fab0…
05-30 06:21:58	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xd0eea6…
05-30 05:37:38	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe3780a…
05-30 05:36:06	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	29¢	$2	0xd62d52…
05-30 03:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xb55de3…
05-30 03:52:10	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x09a1f3…
05-30 03:51:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x8db355…
05-30 03:51:18	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x49fa3e…
05-30 02:08:40	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xb1fd4e…
05-30 02:07:40	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	25¢	$1	0x7a9c72…
05-30 00:52:13	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	36¢	$2	0xf9c76c…
05-30 00:51:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x303491…
05-29 23:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x43fb2a…
05-29 23:05:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xf89544…
05-29 21:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x21d974…
05-29 21:36:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa5a562…
05-29 20:40:04	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xa99493…
05-29 20:38:30	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdc6303…
05-29 20:06:05	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x85f97c…
05-29 20:05:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x950cc0…
05-29 20:05:27	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x9c1dda…
05-29 20:05:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x143697…
05-29 18:38:34	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xfe0695…
05-29 18:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x4a7c71…
05-29 18:36:56	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x06f4ce…
05-29 18:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x98e8cc…
05-29 17:22:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0x445469…
05-29 17:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x8f1a70…
05-29 17:08:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xe47b16…
05-29 16:55:15	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2c1c60…
05-29 16:55:03	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	58¢	$3	0x5a08e2…
05-29 16:53:35	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x9a2b60…
05-29 16:53:20	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x67c4cf…
05-29 15:21:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	21¢	$1	0xc1a9e7…
05-29 15:20:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x025898…
05-29 14:09:18	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	40¢	$2	0x859ca9…
05-29 14:08:09	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x73faad…