Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

71.8%

Resolved

Trades

939

lifetime

Volume

$24.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$83

1 position

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-11 17:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

65% 100% +$0

Politics

29% 0% —

Sports

2% — —

Crypto

2% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes		-200	$-88	42¢	$-83	+$5	07-10 14:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
another us strike on venezuela by january 17	5	$755	400	400	+0	open	—	01-11 13:41
Over $12M committed to the Space public sale?	4	$556	240	360	-120	open	—	01-09 20:23
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	27	$542	800	200	+600	open	—	01-22 10:38
will silver si hit low 75 by end of february 739 471 473 237 171 573 124 784	4	$504	300	300	+0	open	—	02-05 03:27
will witkoff meet with iranian officials by february 28	5	$499	300	300	+0	open	—	02-05 06:46
will miami florida win the 2026 college football national championship	2	$444	200	400	-200	open	—	01-11 13:22
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	5	$422	400	200	+200	open	—	01-11 13:14
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	8	$382	220	492	-272	open	—	03-08 13:27
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	20	$369	300	300	+0	open	—	04-27 08:11
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 160 179	18	$368	420	420	-0	open	—	03-05 03:18
will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	3	$361	200	200	+0	open	—	06-07 16:18
will silver si hit high 150 by end of february 397 652 494 395 172	14	$347	507	200	+307	open	—	02-02 10:43
Will the US strike Iran next?	4	$333	200	200	+0	open	—	01-26 13:13
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	4	$315	300	300	+0	open	—	07-10 14:26
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	4	$299	200	200	+0	open	—	03-05 03:13
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 180 199	7	$297	190	190	+0	open	—	03-05 03:17
will indiana win the 2026 college football national championship	2	$296	200	200	+0	open	—	01-11 13:22
will israel strike lebanon on january 22 2026	8	$295	200	200	+0	open	—	01-22 12:07
will uk strike iran by march 31	4	$290	150	150	+0	open	—	03-17 12:14
si hit 110 high jan 2026 293 432 128	9	$279	305	200	+105	open	—	01-26 13:13
will trump say hamas during board of peace events on february 19	4	$262	300	80	+220	open	—	02-19 17:00
will trump admin release any more epstein related files by february 6	3	$251	200	200	+0	open	—	02-06 06:14
Will the US strike Somalia next?	14	$250	183	185	-2	open	—	01-26 13:13
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$247	100	200	-100	open	—	01-26 11:57
will player 167 win beast games season 2 763	4	$239	200	198	+2	open	—	01-11 15:43
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	7	$237	150	150	+0	open	—	03-31 12:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	3	$235	100	150	-50	open	—	03-31 13:35
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$223	150	200	-50	open	—	04-20 11:57
will trump and machado handshake last 26 seconds	2	$223	200	200	+0	open	—	01-14 12:35
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 20.5m?	6	$222	150	150	+0	open	—	04-26 09:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 17:20:38	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	114	47¢	$53	0x42c5c5…
07-11 15:05:26	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x858ca0…
07-11 14:41:01	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xdb2210…
07-11 12:20:32	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x0eed2f…
07-10 16:23:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	SELL	50	86¢	$43	0x303a7b…
07-10 14:26:44	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	SELL	300	48¢	$144	0xc975ed…
07-10 10:05:22	Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?	Yes	BUY	100	56¢	$56	0x315f04…
07-10 09:29:14	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 17 2026 20260625223459704	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x836612…
07-06 09:39:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	50	34¢	$17	0x1d9dfc…
07-06 08:05:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	SELL	50	54¢	$27	0x26ea51…
07-06 06:53:20	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	50	34¢	$17	0xa6f19a…
07-06 03:45:34	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xe3dce7…
07-03 13:59:05	kmi quarterly earnings nongaap eps 07 15 2026 0pt31	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x9a5061…
06-21 16:20:07	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x98df84…
06-21 15:11:40	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x0f5362…
06-21 12:20:26	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	17	3¢	$0	0x71de9c…
06-21 11:55:37	starmer out by august 31 2026 593 871 753 427 452	No	BUY	83	3¢	$2	0x70dfb3…
06-19 11:34:49	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	SELL	88	74¢	$65	0x205a54…
06-19 11:20:11	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0x05b387…
06-19 11:20:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x457d81…
06-19 11:20:04	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x88e9b5…
06-19 08:52:08	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 22 20260613193829178 738 167 332 255	No	BUY	20	75¢	$15	0x1878dd…
06-08 13:28:45	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	50	38¢	$19	0xa8e79b…
06-08 13:28:27	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	28	38¢	$11	0x5a66a3…
06-08 13:28:24	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	33	38¢	$12	0x49f324…
06-08 13:28:21	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0xf4f4dc…
06-08 13:28:18	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	45	38¢	$17	0x6cca0d…
06-08 13:28:15	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xc150e6…
06-08 09:15:13	will xauusd dip to 4100 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	34	30¢	$10	0x377d9b…
06-07 18:10:24	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	50	68¢	$34	0xa1fee0…
06-07 16:35:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	80	33¢	$26	0xf93830…
06-07 16:30:19	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	33¢	$7	0x14078e…
06-07 16:18:27	will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0x42c8ef…
06-07 15:34:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0xda7575…
06-07 15:19:09	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x16dd70…
06-07 15:05:54	will wti dip to 80 in june 2026 848 561 294 989 956	Yes	BUY	100	42¢	$42	0x77b5f5…
06-07 15:02:34	will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	No	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd76ee4…
06-07 14:50:16	nba playoffs will president trump attend the nba finals	No	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x7cf0dc…
06-07 14:01:30	will the blast slam vii grand final be a reverse sweep 20260602173846755	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x49a192…
06-05 13:42:00	will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	100	53¢	$53	0xf2aed6…
06-05 12:21:27	will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x21990f…
06-05 11:56:00	will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x724939…
06-05 11:56:00	will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	44	49¢	$22	0x257f7f…
06-05 11:55:33	will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0x6cd696…
06-05 11:55:33	will xagusd dip to 68 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	27	50¢	$13	0x53bc5c…
06-04 11:59:25	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x109a4d…
06-03 13:30:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	SELL	125	71¢	$89	0xbb92a7…
06-03 11:16:34	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	45¢	$15	0xdc9876…
06-03 11:14:14	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xa49fd8…
06-03 11:11:17	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	8	45¢	$4	0x3c1e33…
06-03 10:55:16	Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	SELL	55	66¢	$36	0x64f51b…
06-03 10:37:36	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	45¢	$2	0x9cc10e…
06-03 10:34:57	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	50	47¢	$24	0xa65001…
06-03 10:30:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xb3f101…
06-03 10:30:25	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0xad4716…
06-03 10:30:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	13	45¢	$6	0x494e65…
06-03 10:28:33	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	Yes	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xa64dd1…
06-03 10:28:09	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	Yes	SELL	23	31¢	$7	0xc2bf63…
06-03 10:12:59	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x16529e…
06-03 10:12:57	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	BUY	80	69¢	$55	0x7c214b…
06-03 10:11:49	Iran closes its airspace by June 15?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x7f4a7c…
06-03 10:09:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x72180a…
06-03 10:02:20	Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x549149…
06-03 10:02:11	Iran closes its airspace by July 31?	No	BUY	50	66¢	$33	0x8e8b40…
06-03 09:55:36	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	No	BUY	39	70¢	$27	0x948d7d…
06-03 09:55:34	US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?	Yes	BUY	50	29¢	$14	0xe3c144…
06-01 12:21:06	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	25¢	$62	0x8941aa…
06-01 09:56:33	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	50	53¢	$26	0x542ed9…
06-01 08:45:18	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0x383791…
06-01 08:40:59	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x11bc8a…
06-01 08:23:29	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0xeb28d4…
05-26 18:43:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x8e778a…
05-26 18:00:40	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	SELL	150	94¢	$141	0x177782…
05-26 16:00:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	SELL	50	69¢	$34	0x69a55b…
05-26 15:41:54	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	No	BUY	50	95¢	$48	0x0d297f…
05-26 15:27:59	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 28, 2026?	No	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xf8076c…
05-24 15:27:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x20c070…
05-24 09:10:56	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xe26b7b…
05-24 09:02:59	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x9fbcda…
05-24 09:01:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in May?	No	BUY	42	19¢	$8	0x42dde0…
05-24 08:58:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	No	BUY	100	92¢	$92	0xec9736…
05-24 08:11:26	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0xa14e16…
05-24 08:01:44	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x551b85…
05-24 07:56:27	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x75182a…
05-23 09:06:15	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x7180c6…
05-23 07:47:09	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x39a7b4…
05-23 07:44:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0xb90c01…
05-23 07:44:55	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4e7044…
05-23 04:57:16	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x1a9f72…
05-23 04:22:56	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xe485f4…
05-23 03:23:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x99ea43…
05-23 03:23:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x257f20…
05-23 03:07:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xbddf32…
05-20 06:24:22	Will Figure's F.03 Robots Run Without Failure Through May 21, 10 PM ET?	No	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x8ac932…
05-20 05:19:42	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0x4318b7…
05-20 05:12:51	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xf6692c…
04-27 19:01:52	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 20-April 26?	No	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xe6ba83…
04-27 08:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	28	74¢	$21	0xc350e9…
04-27 08:24:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	No	SELL	22	74¢	$16	0xa8ccde…
04-27 08:11:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	SELL	82	61¢	$50	0x6a004d…