Memorable-Warning — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$190

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

59.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$979

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 09-05 22:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 55% -$153

Other

4% 0% -$33

Tech

1% 0% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 48 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	6	$128	170	170	+0	Down	+$18	09-05 22:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:55 UTC	1	$76	206	0	+206	Down	-$76	03-18 16:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	4	$73	74	74	+0	Down	+$13	05-09 19:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC	3	$60	66	65	+1	Down	+$8	03-20 17:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:35 UTC	2	$54	4,603	0	+4,603	Down	-$54	03-20 16:39
Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$40	78	0	+78	Down	-$40	09-05 22:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	7	$39	34	34	+0	Down	-$1	05-09 20:19
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	1	$33	33,340	0	+33,340	Yes	-$33	03-20 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	6	$33	29	29	+0	Up	+$9	09-05 21:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	4	$33	25	25	+0	Down	+$5	09-05 22:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	2	$31	19	19	+0	Up	+$1	09-05 21:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:20 UTC	3	$30	30	11	+19	Down	-$10	03-20 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:15 UTC	3	$29	148	47	+100	Up	+$1	03-20 16:19
Solana Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$28	23	12	+11	Down	-$8	09-05 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Down	+$7	09-05 21:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	4	$22	16	16	+0	Down	+$2	09-05 21:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:25 UTC	2	$22	24	23	+0	Up	+$2	03-20 16:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$21	11	11	+0	Up	+$1	09-05 22:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	2	$20	19	19	+0	Up	+$10	05-09 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$19	15	15	+0	Down	+$1	09-05 22:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:10 UTC	2	$18	80	80	+0	Up	+$2	03-20 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	3	$15	536	36	+500	Down	-$5	05-09 20:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	1	$15	28	0	+28	Up	-$15	09-05 21:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	3	$15	19	9	+10	Up	-$5	09-05 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	09-05 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	2	$14	9	9	+0	Up	+$4	09-05 21:24
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	2	$14	4,500	4,500	+0	No	-$4	09-05 22:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	Up	+$2	09-05 21:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	1	$11	26	0	+26	Down	-$11	09-05 22:20
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	2	$10	62	62	+0	open	—	05-09 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-05 22:34:18	Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	78	51¢	$40	0x8919bc…
09-05 22:31:34	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	4,500	0¢	$4	0x9ba505…
09-05 22:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0x05cba6…
09-05 22:17:54	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xb71682…
09-05 22:17:46	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	82¢	$10	0x707d4c…
09-05 22:17:34	Solana Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x35b5f0…
09-05 22:16:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	15	64¢	$10	0x5b19f1…
09-05 22:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	15	59¢	$9	0x1933fb…
09-05 22:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x3e77c1…
09-05 22:12:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xf8f1a4…
09-05 22:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x4ecb40…
09-05 22:08:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x318112…
09-05 22:05:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x56c3aa…
09-05 22:05:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1375d0…
09-05 22:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	12	47¢	$6	0x6765cb…
09-05 22:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	SELL	71	22¢	$16	0x2be4fa…
09-05 22:03:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0x9da837…
09-05 22:02:33	Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	4,500	0¢	$9	0x4ebd7e…
09-05 22:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	SELL	87	60¢	$52	0xad81a6…
09-05 22:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	37	41¢	$15	0xa90c26…
09-05 22:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	50	50¢	$25	0x8cf8d2…
09-05 21:54:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	54¢	$15	0x8464da…
09-05 21:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	SELL	19	85¢	$16	0x82988b…
09-05 21:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	81¢	$15	0xa29029…
09-05 21:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x90f33b…
09-05 21:45:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x049bfa…
09-05 21:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x7cdfb9…
09-05 21:41:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xa68ab4…
09-05 21:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x590261…
09-05 21:39:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xd22b15…
09-05 21:39:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	SELL	12	67¢	$8	0xced3e8…
09-05 21:36:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x55dc47…
09-05 21:36:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0x6dd22c…
09-05 21:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xbfadc9…
09-05 21:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x0a3f87…
09-05 21:33:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x7cb566…
09-05 21:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x5adb12…
09-05 21:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x8b2c58…
09-05 21:29:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x12964c…
09-05 21:26:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x940b4a…
09-05 21:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x401bbd…
09-05 21:24:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xdf2f3c…
09-05 21:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x7a7944…
09-05 21:17:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	56¢	$5	0xb7e7f5…
09-05 21:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x61ebc4…
09-05 21:17:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe56cc0…
09-05 21:14:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0xed2638…
09-05 21:11:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xac2e3d…
05-09 20:19:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	SELL	6	73¢	$4	0x078a0d…
05-09 20:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x42706d…
05-09 20:18:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	10	51¢	$5	0x713219…
05-09 20:18:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc4d1c3…
05-09 20:17:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0xfe915e…
05-09 20:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc39134…
05-09 20:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xbe212f…
05-09 20:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xcfe416…
05-09 20:08:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	SELL	14	19¢	$3	0x2da39d…
05-09 20:07:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xd83382…
05-09 20:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xf14b60…
05-09 20:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	SELL	36	14¢	$5	0x551eea…
05-09 20:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9a28ed…
05-09 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	81¢	$15	0xb445f0…
05-09 19:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x050547…
05-09 19:24:55	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	8¢	$5	0x933ea5…
05-09 19:24:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	52	77¢	$40	0x85b8b5…
05-09 19:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	52	48¢	$25	0x3d0e0e…
05-09 19:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	22	15¢	$3	0xdd1282…
05-09 19:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf8af4d…
05-09 19:21:21	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8b9390…
03-20 17:43:17	elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 320 339	No	BUY	33,340	0¢	$33	0xef6812…
03-20 17:42:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	32	61¢	$19	0xaa29a9…
03-20 17:41:11	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC	Down	SELL	34	43¢	$14	0x525b11…
03-20 17:41:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 17:40 UTC	Down	BUY	66	40¢	$27	0x997dc1…
03-20 16:39:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	4,537	1¢	$44	0xdebb49…
03-20 16:37:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:35 UTC	Up	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xa60278…
03-20 16:34:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	67	0¢	$0	0x0109ec…
03-20 16:32:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x22a915…
03-20 16:27:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:25 UTC	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$12	0x9fa6f5…
03-20 16:26:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:25 UTC	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x2c8210…
03-20 16:24:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:20 UTC	Down	SELL	11	87¢	$10	0x2b789d…
03-20 16:22:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:20 UTC	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xa75909…
03-20 16:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:20 UTC	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3ee697…
03-20 16:19:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x61ba04…
03-20 16:16:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:15 UTC	Up	SELL	47	31¢	$15	0xdda887…
03-20 16:16:17	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:15 UTC	Up	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x67f368…
03-20 16:14:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:10 UTC	Down	SELL	80	12¢	$10	0xc81cf3…
03-20 16:14:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-20 16:10 UTC	Down	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x2e532e…
03-18 16:55:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-18 16:55 UTC	Up	BUY	206	37¢	$76	0x2deeac…