Inconsequential-Evaluator — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$904

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

6,299

Trades

9,767

lifetime

Volume

$35.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$58

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 11-03 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 181 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 53% +$859

Other

5% 47% +$51

Sports

1% 52% -$24

Politics

0% 78% +$20

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

58 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+24	$21	68¢	$16	-$4	10-31 13:57
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	+22	$12	70¢	$16	+$4	10-31 00:51
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	+19	$9	49¢	$9	+$0	10-29 02:54
Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	+7	$8	76¢	$6	-$3	11-01 15:49
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?	No	+7	$5	68¢	$5	$0	10-22 05:01
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+5	$1	82¢	$4	+$3	10-31 00:51
Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	+5	$3	58¢	$3	$0	11-03 14:19

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 18:55 UTC	16	$144	89	89	+0	Down	+$24	06-21 18:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-27 19:40 UTC	7	$141	93	93	+0	Up	+$41	06-27 19:44
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?	8	$136	89	89	+0	No	+$4	07-26 07:11
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC	2	$113	74	74	+0	Down	+$33	07-05 14:34
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 21:40 UTC	4	$85	158	134	+24	Up	-$76	07-16 21:44
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:40 UTC	7	$76	150	0	+150	Up	+$69	07-16 23:42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	2	$71	48	48	+0	Up	+$21	06-03 09:51
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:05 UTC	2	$70	122	0	+122	Up	+$52	06-05 14:06
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 16:00 UTC	3	$70	121	0	+121	Up	+$51	06-18 16:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-16 23:35 UTC	9	$69	153	0	+153	Down	-$69	07-16 23:38
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 09:00 UTC	7	$65	55	55	+0	Down	-$13	07-12 09:04
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:15 UTC	2	$62	120	0	+120	Up	+$58	06-05 15:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 15:40 UTC	2	$60	125	0	+125	Up	+$65	06-05 15:41
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-21 12:25 UTC	3	$60	86	0	+86	Down	-$60	06-21 12:25
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 09:55 UTC	6	$58	145	37	+108	Down	+$16	07-10 10:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 16:40 UTC	4	$56	78	0	+78	Down	+$22	07-11 16:42
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	2	$55	82	0	+82	Up	+$27	06-02 07:05
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 01:40 UTC	16	$54	52	35	+17	Down	+$9	07-21 01:43
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:35 UTC	5	$54	112	0	+112	Down	-$54	07-17 00:35
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	11	$53	50	25	+24	open	—	10-31 13:57
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:45 UTC	6	$53	124	0	+124	Down	-$53	07-17 05:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 05:50 UTC	7	$52	47	37	+10	Down	+$0	06-23 05:54
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-24 11:15 UTC	2	$52	91	0	+91	Down	-$52	06-24 11:16
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 00:40 UTC	7	$51	85	0	+85	Up	+$29	07-17 00:40
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 08:30 UTC	2	$51	38	38	+0	Up	+$11	06-23 08:30
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:20 UTC	1	$50	100	0	+100	Up	-$50	06-23 11:19
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-04 15:55 UTC	1	$50	103	0	+103	Up	+$53	06-04 15:55
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	2	$50	87	0	+87	Up	+$37	06-14 14:45
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-23 11:25 UTC	1	$50	95	0	+95	Down	+$45	06-23 11:22
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-05 14:30 UTC	1	$50	95	0	+95	Up	+$45	06-05 14:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-03 14:47:15	Jazz vs. Pelicans	Jazz	BUY	9	33¢	$3	0x8140f1…
11-03 14:46:15	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x9587bc…
11-03 14:24:39	Timberwolves vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xd45a3b…
11-03 14:24:33	Raptors vs. Nuggets	Raptors	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0xae677f…
11-03 14:19:37	Trail Blazers vs. Suns	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x225244…
11-02 15:17:55	Celtics vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xf5f073…
11-02 15:17:48	Celtics vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0xb3c74d…
11-02 15:17:43	Celtics vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3179ed…
11-02 15:13:19	Suns vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x243644…
11-01 15:49:49	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xc6d166…
11-01 13:02:39	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x7ea594…
11-01 12:43:37	Tianjin Pioneers vs. Ningbo Rockets	Ningbo Rockets	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x63bdba…
11-01 12:43:24	Liaoning Flying Leopards vs. Shenzhen Leopards	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x940638…
11-01 12:43:00	Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Jiangsu Dragons	Zhejiang Golden Bulls	BUY	4	81¢	$3	0x77de44…
11-01 10:24:21	Celtics vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xbecc5b…
11-01 10:24:09	Clippers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	7	57¢	$4	0xff9359…
11-01 10:23:58	Nets vs. Pacers	Pacers	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8e07e1…
10-31 13:58:24	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x44435a…
10-31 13:58:18	Thunder vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x567b35…
10-31 13:58:09	76ers vs. Hornets	76ers	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x90105a…
10-31 13:57:36	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x68daec…
10-31 02:25:42	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	21	14¢	$3	0xbd9289…
10-31 02:03:21	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa69a6e…
10-31 01:47:10	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x9dd5a8…
10-31 01:20:34	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x90e190…
10-31 01:13:57	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x86c040…
10-31 01:06:01	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xce04d0…
10-31 01:04:37	Pacers vs. Heat	Pacers	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x522096…
10-31 01:04:16	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	SELL	9	27¢	$2	0x144120…
10-31 00:53:42	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xc24aa3…
10-31 00:53:16	Pacers vs. Heat	Pacers	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x332600…
10-31 00:51:48	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	BUY	22	67¢	$15	0xad5c21…
10-31 00:51:34	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x1b4b47…
10-31 00:47:04	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x3a3b5c…
10-31 00:46:57	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xd2a867…
10-31 00:46:49	Pistons vs. Nets	Pistons	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xdbcf41…
10-31 00:46:22	Pacers vs. Heat	Pacers	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbc9bc6…
10-31 00:46:12	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	7	59¢	$4	0xc7123b…
10-31 00:45:58	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0x7b5eb6…
10-29 17:53:26	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	SELL	13	85¢	$11	0xff07a8…
10-29 17:53:25	Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?	Yes	SELL	21	69¢	$15	0x690d2b…
10-29 17:53:23	Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	SELL	25	64¢	$16	0x6fd4dd…
10-29 17:53:22	Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	Yes	SELL	28	65¢	$18	0x31f8cd…
10-29 15:01:44	Rockets vs. Mavericks	Rockets	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7c1ae0…
10-29 15:01:37	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers	Grizzlies	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x5f0efc…
10-29 11:38:58	Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xae5e66…
10-29 02:58:32	Fujian Sturgeons vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x42d5e5…
10-29 02:56:28	Thunder vs. Mavericks	Thunder	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xc4407c…
10-29 02:54:41	Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?	Yes	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x338829…
10-28 15:24:40	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xc047fb…
10-28 15:24:29	76ers vs. Pacers	76ers	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xd36443…
10-28 02:10:23	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x93d283…
10-28 00:10:11	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc4d138…
10-28 00:09:47	Shenzhen Leopards vs. Shanxi Loongs	Shenzhen Leopards	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x5f8d85…
10-28 00:09:12	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x3409a3…
10-27 23:45:29	Nets vs. Celtics	Celtics	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0xc0ea70…
10-27 16:07:24	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x55033c…
10-27 16:07:17	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xaa632d…
10-27 16:07:09	Rockets vs. Bucks	Rockets	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x937b07…
10-27 16:07:08	Magic vs. Raptors	Raptors	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x64e6e7…
10-27 12:13:12	Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Zhejiang Golden Bulls	Xinjiang Flying Tigers	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x8fa7e0…
10-27 03:39:20	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Nuggets	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x691bac…
10-27 03:15:54	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x0b312c…
10-27 03:13:59	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xb55ad3…
10-27 03:13:53	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0xab439b…
10-27 03:01:21	Grizzlies vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0x0631d7…
10-27 01:45:18	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x9989b9…
10-27 01:42:48	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x42d05c…
10-27 01:25:27	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x8be1c0…
10-26 16:41:44	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x19f441…
10-26 14:04:21	Hawks vs. Rockets	Rockets	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x694011…
10-26 14:04:17	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x7fa5ca…
10-26 11:53:11	Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0xd6ee3e…
10-26 03:35:33	Ningbo Rockets vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers	Jilin Northeast Tigers	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x193da0…
10-25 22:22:42	Lakers vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x10579b…
10-25 22:22:36	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	SELL	3	73¢	$2	0x9dd97c…
10-25 22:22:30	Pacers vs. Nets	Pacers	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x67f2b0…
10-25 22:16:39	Lakers vs. Jazz	Lakers	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe40ec2…
10-25 18:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x12ce33…
10-25 18:06:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfb862f…
10-25 17:27:41	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Levante UD end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x97b512…
10-25 17:26:47	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0e446c…
10-25 17:25:23	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x00d2a3…
10-25 03:37:41	Pelicans vs. Nuggets	Pelicans	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x21ad8a…
10-25 02:21:05	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xe1e56e…
10-24 18:17:12	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa13835…
10-24 04:52:32	Japan Women's Open: Ann Li vs Ashlyn Krueger	Ann Li	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x4a67a2…
10-24 04:47:06	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x957198…
10-24 04:44:15	Rockets vs. Hawks	Rockets	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x057693…
10-24 04:39:03	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6e7668…
10-24 04:38:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x38faf8…
10-24 04:28:36	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x667f43…
10-24 03:26:24	Pelicans vs. Jazz	Jazz	BUY	3	45¢	$2	0x760ef3…
10-24 03:26:11	Grizzlies vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xebcdb3…
10-24 03:25:48	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xafdcca…
10-24 02:09:23	2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x679182…
10-24 02:08:41	Rockets vs. Spurs	Rockets	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x164239…
10-24 01:43:26	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	SELL	30	2¢	$1	0x77e66a…
10-24 01:39:27	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x7e7a57…
10-24 01:39:21	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x8cb910…