Advanced-Portfolio — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

51.5%

Resolved

Trades

254

lifetime

Volume

$4.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-02-18

last 06-21 18:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% 100% +$1

Other

34% 0% $-20

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-214	$-9	2¢	$-5	+$3	06-21 18:53

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	7	$341	385	385	+0	open	—	03-29 09:13
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$276	305	305	+0	open	—	02-28 20:20
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$263	158	158	+0	open	—	03-22 06:14
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$240	222	222	+0	open	—	04-08 00:04
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	2	$221	421	211	+211	open	—	02-28 07:25
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$205	157	157	+0	open	—	03-05 17:44
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	4	$160	128	128	+0	open	—	03-31 18:18
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	2	$123	101	101	+0	open	—	04-24 15:55
Will the US strike Iran next?	2	$110	3,130	0	+3,130	open	—	02-19 15:28
btc updown 5m 1773430800	2	$105	110	0	+110	open	—	03-13 19:44
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$100	476	0	+476	open	—	04-17 11:20
will hezbollah conduct military action against israel on march 21 2026 123	1	$100	111	0	+111	open	—	03-22 07:18
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	2	$93	254	254	+0	open	—	04-21 09:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	2	$86	239	231	+8	open	—	04-08 20:36
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	3	$86	355	355	+0	open	—	04-29 19:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$68	130	130	+0	open	—	05-07 21:26
us x iran meeting by march 31 2026 363	2	$68	102	102	+0	open	—	03-24 19:15
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	2	$63	133	128	+6	open	—	04-05 16:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	3	$61	173	98	+74	open	—	04-02 05:23
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	3	$55	327	0	+327	open	—	03-30 18:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2	$50	216	0	+216	open	—	04-17 19:50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	2	$46	125	120	+5	open	—	04-26 18:26
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	2	$46	125	120	+5	open	—	04-25 12:06
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	2	$44	247	0	+247	open	—	02-26 11:10
will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	2	$44	95	95	+0	open	—	06-10 21:41
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	2	$39	138	138	+0	open	—	04-01 13:10
bitcoin above 72k on march 25	4	$37	105	35	+70	open	—	03-25 13:47
btc updown 5m 1773372600	2	$35	41	0	+41	open	—	03-13 03:34
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$34	30	30	+0	open	—	03-15 05:34
lal mad get 2026 03 14 mad	2	$33	19	19	+0	open	—	03-14 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-21 18:53:16	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	214	4¢	$9	0x548d65…
06-21 18:52:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0x01c395…
06-10 21:41:33	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	SELL	95	25¢	$24	0xb745c4…
06-10 19:32:34	will iran close its airspace by june 11 20260609184136049	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb73a93…
06-10 19:32:03	will iran close its airspace by june 10 20260609184136048	Yes	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0xf48ba3…
05-07 21:26:57	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	29¢	$38	0x59d31a…
05-07 15:35:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	154	7¢	$11	0xc00544…
05-04 04:13:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	154	6¢	$10	0x8a8e5b…
05-01 20:27:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x87d156…
05-01 20:09:40	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xcda52b…
05-01 20:07:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0x33e280…
05-01 20:07:10	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	130	23¢	$30	0x7f01b7…
04-29 19:40:22	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	355	10¢	$36	0x84b437…
04-29 19:33:28	Will Powell say "Shut down" or "Shutdown" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xd26cb8…
04-29 18:57:24	Will Powell say "Iran" during April press conference?	Yes	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xcddb47…
04-28 16:15:20	Will Trump say "Crypto / Bitcoin" during King Charles visit?	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xd8d40f…
04-27 19:24:02	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	177	14¢	$25	0xeb21bf…
04-27 19:10:58	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	178	14¢	$25	0x0b397b…
04-26 18:26:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0x6f5629…
04-26 18:26:00	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	18¢	$20	0x4d9e48…
04-25 12:06:56	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	120	22¢	$26	0x24c91b…
04-24 15:55:26	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	101	72¢	$73	0x9d577a…
04-23 09:38:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x34d512…
04-22 18:20:46	Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0xbb0609…
04-21 20:59:36	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	Yes	BUY	41	61¢	$25	0xda974f…
04-21 14:16:34	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x96a120…
04-21 10:11:56	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x9de925…
04-21 09:25:52	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	254	17¢	$43	0x4d7458…
04-20 19:56:10	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	SELL	36	1¢	$0	0x66f998…
04-20 18:50:54	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	254	20¢	$50	0xe5f248…
04-19 20:24:30	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	SELL	103	17¢	$17	0xd73c36…
04-18 16:56:40	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 18 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa4fa1a…
04-18 16:54:18	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	122	3¢	$4	0xa1a6e6…
04-17 19:50:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	145	7¢	$10	0xbbca7c…
04-17 19:49:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	SELL	148	2¢	$2	0xaece67…
04-17 11:20:54	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	476	21¢	$100	0xa992ee…
04-16 06:11:24	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xa3655c…
04-16 04:17:56	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	74	5¢	$4	0xe6e54d…
04-15 20:54:58	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xb3c86d…
04-15 20:46:16	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	SELL	11	20¢	$2	0xfc96c2…
04-15 17:47:14	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 draw	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x6f9426…
04-15 17:40:46	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x33cbff…
04-14 05:59:21	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x4e0f9b…
04-14 05:51:01	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 260 279	Yes	BUY	107	14¢	$15	0x3a19de…
04-14 05:49:05	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 280 299	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x562dd9…
04-14 05:48:53	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 260 279	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0xb66829…
04-13 18:44:21	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 340 359	Yes	BUY	66	8¢	$5	0x74f5c7…
04-11 20:08:21	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	29	14¢	$4	0xf08e9d…
04-11 12:40:29	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x101a32…
04-11 12:35:31	lal sev mad 2026 04 11 mad	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1accab…
04-11 12:33:39	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x6e66f5…
04-10 21:08:29	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 12 551 973	No	BUY	98	9¢	$9	0x88e07d…
04-10 16:27:49	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	SELL	37	31¢	$12	0x683d3f…
04-10 13:53:59	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	800	0¢	$4	0x4c980e…
04-10 13:53:07	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x2fcb7a…
04-10 09:22:21	Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x9baae1…
04-10 09:16:21	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x9aad89…
04-10 09:15:27	Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0x65a0af…
04-10 09:09:23	JD Vance diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	231	9¢	$20	0x610a20…
04-10 07:10:21	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xf90eeb…
04-10 07:09:51	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x16b662…
04-09 10:09:23	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	Yes	SELL	696	0¢	$1	0x521a3a…
04-08 20:36:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	SELL	231	20¢	$46	0x31952d…
04-08 17:31:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	No	BUY	71	56¢	$40	0x7cc408…
04-08 17:22:51	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x0d835d…
04-08 12:57:05	bitcoin above 72k on april 8	No	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x669c86…
04-08 11:42:53	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x74811b…
04-08 11:33:07	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	No	BUY	239	17¢	$40	0xb2e065…
04-08 00:04:47	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	SELL	222	99¢	$220	0x6a3e9c…
04-07 17:58:09	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x95cf22…
04-07 17:57:35	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x262d91…
04-06 06:23:21	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	232	2¢	$5	0x8962e2…
04-05 16:19:31	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	SELL	128	33¢	$43	0x145f68…
04-05 14:28:01	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 460 479	Yes	BUY	1,123	1¢	$10	0x09652e…
04-05 14:27:11	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 160 179	Yes	BUY	732	1¢	$10	0x443fda…
04-05 12:13:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	Yes	BUY	42	36¢	$15	0x40e195…
04-05 12:02:27	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x19bce6…
04-02 05:45:09	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	7	25¢	$2	0x4762b7…
04-02 05:44:45	will israel take military action in gaza on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x1a1bb2…
04-02 05:37:09	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 260 279	Yes	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xf62921…
04-02 05:23:57	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	71	21¢	$15	0xff9f0d…
04-02 04:27:51	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	12	41¢	$5	0xde6195…
04-02 04:26:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	SELL	98	22¢	$21	0x058726…
04-01 20:29:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x6af490…
04-01 20:27:41	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	Yes	BUY	222	9¢	$20	0xd94c0f…
04-01 14:54:13	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	SELL	28	36¢	$10	0x75a792…
04-01 13:10:53	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	SELL	138	15¢	$21	0x793d85…
03-31 18:27:19	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 260 279	Yes	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1700e6…
03-31 18:26:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 280 299	Yes	BUY	138	13¢	$18	0xeb0271…
03-31 18:18:01	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	121	99¢	$121	0xa09996…
03-31 17:35:47	us iran nuclear deal by march 31	Yes	SELL	78	0¢	$0	0x78547a…
03-31 16:19:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	101	25¢	$25	0x3e22e4…
03-30 18:51:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	106	5¢	$5	0xf27b8f…
03-30 13:49:21	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	SELL	42	27¢	$11	0x480e44…
03-29 09:13:24	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	171	77¢	$133	0xc7d62f…
03-29 05:44:26	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	171	76¢	$130	0x587c57…
03-29 05:31:18	elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 240 259	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xcc5f50…
03-27 06:42:45	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	SELL	33	35¢	$11	0xb2e191…
03-26 21:40:25	elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 280 299	Yes	BUY	33	31¢	$10	0x496bb4…
03-25 18:56:41	will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 947	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$10	0x9b702c…