Intrepid-Insulation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$711

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

52.3%

Resolved

1,388

Trades

1,897

lifetime

Volume

$14.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 13:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 166 days

Categories

Other

93% 50% -$769

Sports

7% 45% +$58

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	+20	$15	76¢	$15	$0	10-27 11:22
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	+20	$11	57¢	$12	+$0	10-29 13:09
Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	+10	$5	52¢	$5	$0	10-29 15:03
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	+20	$5	16¢	$3	-$2	09-10 10:41
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	+0	-$1	45¢	$0	+$1	10-15 06:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will France win on 2026-07-18?	2	$256	480	480	+0	No	-$243	07-18 21:46
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$234	400	0	+400	Yes	+$166	07-19 18:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	3	$203	300	300	+0	No	-$83	09-11 13:50
lol blg al 2026 09 13	5	$161	215	10	+205	Anyone's Legend	-$152	09-13 11:44
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	2	$138	250	0	+250	Spain	+$62	07-19 18:34
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12 total games 3pt5	2	$107	60	60	+0	Over	+$13	07-12 11:55
Will France win on 2026-07-14?	1	$101	240	0	+240	No	-$101	07-12 16:28
fifwc eng arg 2026 07 15 team to advance	2	$92	170	0	+170	Argentina	-$92	07-15 18:17
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 total 2pt5	3	$66	100	20	+80	Over	+$35	07-10 17:06
lol blg hle1 2026 07 12	3	$62	110	0	+110	Hanwha Life Esports	-$62	07-12 08:22
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs	2	$60	97	0	+97	Legacy	-$60	05-24 09:20
Lakers vs. Thunder	3	$60	50	50	+0	cancelled	+$1	05-11 02:23
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 total 2pt5	5	$52	75	30	+45	Under	-$25	07-06 12:26
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	4	$46	70	10	+60	England	+$31	07-06 02:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	1	$45	60	0	+60	Yes	+$15	07-28 09:46
ucl lin2 liv 2026 10 14 spread away 1pt5	5	$45	30	30	+0	Liverpool FC	+$13	10-14 18:08
lol hle1 g2 2026 07 05	1	$42	50	0	+50	Hanwha Life Esports	+$8	07-04 17:29
fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 total 3pt5	2	$42	30	30	+0	Over	+$12	06-21 17:00
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	2	$38	70	0	+70	Yes	+$32	07-04 16:41
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	3	$37	65	0	+65	Yes	+$28	06-17 19:09
cs2 fal2 g2 2026 09 04	2	$37	23	23	+0	Team Falcons	+$7	09-04 16:00
fifwc nzl egy 2026 06 21 spread away 1pt5	2	$37	30	30	+0	Egypt	+$16	06-22 02:49
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 spread away 1pt5	1	$37	60	0	+60	Paraguay	-$37	07-04 08:01
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	1	$36	60	0	+60	Under	-$36	07-04 08:01
fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 total 2pt5	2	$34	60	0	+60	Under	-$34	07-11 15:29
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?	3	$32	50	0	+50	Yes	+$18	06-24 02:12
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15?	2	$32	20	20	+0	Yes	+$8	10-15 19:32
Will England win on 2026-10-03?	2	$31	20	20	+0	Yes	+$9	10-03 17:08
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)	2	$31	20	20	+0	Real Madrid CF	+$8	10-18 20:40
lol dk kt 2026 08 30	2	$31	40	0	+40	KT Rolster	-$31	08-30 08:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:36:10	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	4	41¢	$2	0x8c4458…
10-29 15:35:34	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	16	41¢	$7	0xe81f21…
10-29 15:03:38	Cavaliers vs. Hawks	Hawks	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x991dbb…
10-29 15:03:19	Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xd278c1…
10-29 15:02:26	Spread: Pelicans (-6.5)	Pelicans	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x2c5f2b…
10-29 13:25:05	Will Everton FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0x678136…
10-29 13:09:46	Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xad1bc3…
10-29 12:57:02	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-29?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x1d7f88…
10-29 08:25:16	Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)	Real Betis Balompié	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x9cce6b…
10-29 00:05:01	Wizards vs. Cavaliers	Wizards	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x3ecdc9…
10-28 22:44:17	Thunder vs. Mavericks: O/U 228.5	Over	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x3878ac…
10-28 22:43:55	76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xbf3b7f…
10-28 22:40:10	Warriors vs. Timberwolves	Timberwolves	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x9697fd…
10-28 22:33:20	Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	Hornets	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xd6a7c4…
10-28 15:58:50	Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x463758…
10-28 15:31:08	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb8abf2…
10-28 15:22:13	Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x228b25…
10-28 13:19:19	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xe9980c…
10-28 12:19:02	Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x2c44c0…
10-28 12:06:14	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	35¢	$7	0x89363f…
10-28 11:54:47	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x680442…
10-28 11:46:11	Will Fulham FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x72814a…
10-28 11:14:53	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xe70d14…
10-28 10:36:55	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xdc191f…
10-28 03:09:26	Trail Blazers vs. Lakers	Trail Blazers	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc23148…
10-27 20:37:00	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	SELL	20	15¢	$3	0x17df5b…
10-27 14:14:35	Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)	AS Roma	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x2fe6e4…
10-27 13:45:42	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x576b1e…
10-27 11:22:18	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb7b73c…
10-27 11:21:54	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x303641…
10-27 11:21:32	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0x89f218…
10-27 06:47:33	Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0xd13029…
10-26 23:59:18	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x255f91…
10-26 22:55:14	Wizards vs. Hornets	Wizards	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x21db19…
10-26 18:58:27	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x6a3b9e…
10-26 18:21:38	Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x442b98…
10-26 18:19:12	Bulls vs. Celtics: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x1fc83e…
10-26 18:05:47	Wizards vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x83b367…
10-26 17:42:51	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0xe1e440…
10-26 17:42:51	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	SELL	14	80¢	$11	0x47403d…
10-26 16:53:09	Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers: O/U 233.5	Under	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x670df5…
10-26 16:08:57	Spread: Rockets (-5.5)	Rockets	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x297f82…
10-26 16:08:45	Spread: Thunder (-10.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xc308b0…
10-26 16:08:14	Spread: Heat (-9.5)	Heat	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0x0d6e6e…
10-26 13:32:44	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x7462c8…
10-26 06:37:00	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-27?	Yes	BUY	20	73¢	$15	0xe2d089…
10-26 06:29:14	Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-10-26?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x33a3aa…
10-26 06:18:14	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x68eca1…
10-26 05:15:00	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x41c511…
10-25 22:47:03	Spread: Knicks (-4.5)	Knicks	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xb1adab…
10-25 18:02:12	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0xdd7792…
10-25 16:27:41	Spread: Thunder (-12.5)	Thunder	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xc412e4…
10-25 16:27:20	Raptors vs. Timberwolves	Raptors	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd8b7a3…
10-25 16:04:50	Spread: Pistons (-1.5)	76ers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x22fa96…
10-25 15:45:06	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x2bf873…
10-25 14:34:11	Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs LYON (+1.5)	Gen.G	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xb1a453…
10-25 13:51:41	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2cc223…
10-25 13:35:06	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xc2b3a2…
10-25 13:18:14	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x7e8aa1…
10-25 12:20:00	Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xc4a9c4…
10-25 12:03:39	Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xf19c26…
10-25 11:11:50	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	SELL	10	42¢	$4	0x8b210e…
10-25 11:11:29	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x9652bd…
10-25 10:49:38	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x865744…
10-25 09:10:23	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x01db3b…
10-25 08:50:36	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0xf9f501…
10-25 08:25:54	Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x49df9d…
10-25 08:03:53	Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xfa2893…
10-25 07:58:29	Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xdd55ab…
10-24 23:40:30	Spread: Suns (-8.5)	Suns	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xfdbd3f…
10-24 23:37:03	Wizards vs. Bulls	Wizards	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x334900…
10-24 22:05:23	Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	43¢	$9	0xaecb17…
10-24 21:12:09	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0xb1cced…
10-24 18:46:11	Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)	FC Bayern München	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xf53183…
10-24 17:53:36	Spread: Cavaliers (-10.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x7a7900…
10-24 17:50:02	LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xdbeeab…
10-24 17:12:02	Heat vs. Hornets	Heat	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc8657f…
10-24 16:41:54	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Invictus Gaming	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x6f587d…
10-24 16:41:35	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Anyone's Legend	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x11dfc3…
10-24 16:08:30	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xd26a36…
10-24 15:22:57	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0xf88376…
10-24 14:45:53	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xadde71…
10-24 13:49:08	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe28a1c…
10-24 13:30:23	Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x4191d1…
10-24 12:19:47	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x7d889c…
10-24 12:09:20	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xcae16d…
10-24 12:06:47	Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)	FK Bodø/Glimt	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x8b04f0…
10-24 11:54:57	Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x8b504f…
10-24 10:21:15	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x863eb9…
10-24 08:55:56	Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)	RB Leipzig	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0x08de65…
10-24 07:41:05	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5682de…
10-24 06:07:54	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0x8fe8aa…
10-24 04:26:57	Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x478c74…
10-23 20:10:50	Pistons vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x9b29de…
10-23 19:56:57	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0xbda2e2…
10-23 19:56:47	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	SELL	8	2¢	$0	0x140ff7…
10-23 19:45:08	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xfaa105…
10-23 19:17:53	Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-23?	Yes	SELL	7	58¢	$4	0x127a64…
10-23 19:17:23	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	VfB Stuttgart	SELL	7	30¢	$2	0xba0603…
10-23 17:57:08	LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Hanwha Life Esports	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x7e0fc0…