Sociable-Plea — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$12.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$151

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 07-15 01:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

97% 50% -$6

Crypto

3% 98% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	22	$11.8K	5,930	5,930	+0	No	-$6	01-31 05:00
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-05 10:08
bitcoin above 64k on march 12	1	$12	12	0	+12	Yes	+$0	03-12 01:29
bitcoin above 68k on april 12	1	$10	11	0	+11	Yes	+$0	04-11 23:27
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	1	$10	10	0	+10	Yes	+$0	05-02 02:14
bitcoin above 72k on march 8	1	$9	9	0	+9	No	+$0	03-08 07:34
ethereum above 2000 on march 24	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	03-24 14:18
bitcoin above 72k on march 28	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	03-28 04:37
bitcoin above 72k on february 17	1	$8	8	0	+8	No	+$0	02-17 11:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	1	$8	8	0	+8	Yes	+$0	05-23 07:05
bitcoin above 90k on january 31	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-31 04:29
ethereum above 1400 on march 3	1	$7	7	0	+7	Yes	+$0	03-02 02:52
bitcoin above 70k on february 24	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-24 02:50
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	1	$6	2,000	0	+2,000	No	-$6	03-24 14:17
bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	07-15 01:43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	05-09 01:17
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-02 02:51
bitcoin above 88k on january 14	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-14 06:30
ethereum above 2200 on february 17	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-17 11:31
ethereum above 3600 on january 15	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-15 07:56
ethereum above 3000 on january 16	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-16 07:06
ethereum above 3000 on january 31	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-31 04:29
bitcoin above 84k on january 27	1	$6	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	01-27 12:53
ethereum above 3500 on january 19	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-19 06:56
bitcoin above 96k on january 20	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-20 06:27
ethereum above 3100 on january 29	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-29 10:47
ethereum above 1800 on march 12	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	03-12 01:30
bitcoin above 66k on february 10	1	$5	6	0	+6	Yes	+$0	02-10 00:58
ethereum above 1700 on february 10	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	+$0	02-10 00:57
bitcoin above 94k on january 24	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	01-24 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 01:43:52	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x25dfc2…
06-05 10:08:12	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x11cd88…
05-23 07:05:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf3cf50…
05-09 01:17:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 9?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x18a46b…
05-02 02:16:22	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x778ca9…
05-02 02:14:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xddf290…
04-11 23:27:37	bitcoin above 68k on april 12	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x84361e…
03-28 04:38:07	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x9195a1…
03-28 04:37:27	bitcoin above 72k on march 28	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x586284…
03-24 14:18:15	ethereum above 2000 on march 24	Yes	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x640763…
03-24 14:17:23	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$6	0xc1dcc9…
03-12 01:30:41	ethereum above 1800 on march 12	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$5	0x5e3494…
03-12 01:29:59	bitcoin above 64k on march 12	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xe2848a…
03-08 07:34:03	bitcoin above 72k on march 8	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x38ef47…
03-03 00:58:53	ethereum above 1500 on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe23a38…
03-03 00:58:43	bitcoin above 56k on march 3	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb8310f…
03-02 02:52:35	ethereum above 1400 on march 3	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1d9f8e…
03-02 02:51:49	bitcoin above 54k on march 3	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x8f1d5a…
02-24 02:50:16	bitcoin above 70k on february 24	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x61849c…
02-24 02:46:10	ethereum above 2100 on february 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfdde25…
02-17 11:31:19	ethereum above 2200 on february 17	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xf6d322…
02-17 11:30:29	bitcoin above 72k on february 17	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x546b98…
02-10 00:58:05	bitcoin above 66k on february 10	Yes	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0x3c149e…
02-10 00:57:17	ethereum above 1700 on february 10	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x72dc48…
01-31 05:00:42	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	600	99¢	$595	0x40a232…
01-31 05:00:34	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0xdecf9a…
01-31 05:00:28	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xae4b5d…
01-31 05:00:20	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x76493f…
01-31 05:00:12	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xb64c7f…
01-31 05:00:04	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x940a16…
01-31 04:59:30	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x817fed…
01-31 04:59:24	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0xeefa8c…
01-31 04:59:12	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	530	99¢	$526	0x163937…
01-31 04:59:04	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	530	99¢	$526	0xa7e671…
01-31 04:58:52	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xb7e5a9…
01-31 04:58:40	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x1271df…
01-31 04:35:50	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0x93d761…
01-31 04:35:24	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x6ffe1a…
01-31 04:33:44	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xf827dd…
01-31 04:32:18	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x9406f8…
01-31 04:31:52	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	500	99¢	$496	0xfef6f3…
01-31 04:31:44	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	500	99¢	$496	0x0df683…
01-31 04:31:24	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	600	99¢	$595	0xa3563a…
01-31 04:31:16	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	600	99¢	$596	0xc6d01e…
01-31 04:30:56	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	700	99¢	$694	0xe16fb4…
01-31 04:30:46	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	700	99¢	$695	0xa94b67…
01-31 04:29:38	ethereum above 3000 on january 31	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x0e88bb…
01-31 04:29:18	bitcoin above 90k on january 31	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x1d17df…
01-29 10:47:54	ethereum above 3100 on january 29	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x419a1d…
01-29 10:47:06	bitcoin above 92k on january 29	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x948bd6…
01-27 12:54:23	ethereum above 2700 on january 27	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x07d202…
01-27 12:53:51	bitcoin above 84k on january 27	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7254bd…
01-26 13:31:47	ethereum above 3200 on january 26	No	BUY	0	100¢	$0	0xfb3056…
01-26 13:31:27	bitcoin above 92k on january 26	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6be3d7…
01-25 04:10:34	ethereum above 3200 on january 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39aae6…
01-25 04:09:44	bitcoin above 94k on january 25	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x17c061…
01-24 02:32:10	ethereum above 3200 on january 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcba605…
01-24 02:32:02	bitcoin above 94k on january 24	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x32c9a1…
01-23 02:52:38	ethereum above 3200 on january 23	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xd086b0…
01-23 02:52:16	bitcoin above 96k on january 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x809e22…
01-22 09:10:16	ethereum above 3200 on january 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2615e6…
01-22 09:10:10	bitcoin above 94k on january 22	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x87f05f…
01-21 05:50:46	ethereum above 3300 on january 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3d8cc7…
01-21 05:37:58	bitcoin above 94k on january 21	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb2d463…
01-20 06:27:18	ethereum above 3400 on january 20	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc5513a…
01-20 06:27:10	bitcoin above 96k on january 20	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd45090…
01-19 06:56:38	ethereum above 3500 on january 19	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x999341…
01-19 06:56:32	bitcoin above 96k on january 19	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a6b3f…
01-16 07:06:12	ethereum above 3000 on january 16	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x21e235…
01-16 07:06:02	bitcoin above 90k on january 16	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe70e0…
01-15 07:56:54	ethereum above 3600 on january 15	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x10dd49…
01-15 07:56:48	bitcoin above 90k on january 15	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc1ef1f…
01-14 06:30:28	ethereum above 3000 on january 14	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9c6e2e…
01-14 06:30:18	bitcoin above 88k on january 14	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x2787a6…
01-13 05:21:31	ethereum above 2900 on january 13	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe188be…
01-13 05:21:19	bitcoin above 86k on january 13	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39958f…
01-12 13:36:58	ethereum above 2800 on january 12	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ba7ff…
01-12 13:36:48	bitcoin above 86k on january 12	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc182ba…
01-05 08:47:21	ethereum above 2800 on january 5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xff6daf…
01-05 08:47:17	bitcoin above 86k on january 5	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0694ba…