(anonymous) 0xcc78f2…84d202
whale bot cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.26K
Unrealized P&L
+$70
Hit rate
46.0%
Resolved
8,057
Trades
12,715
lifetime
Volume
$158.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$12
Open exposure
$625
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-07
last 10-25 18:42
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 22 days
Categories
Other
79% 44% -$5,179
Sports
19% 50% +$1,014
Politics
1% 53% -$15
Crypto
1% 61% -$76
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
18 active days in 12wk • peak 2765 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +49 $20 100¢ $49 +$29 10-16 15:36
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +31 $23 100¢ $31 +$8 10-24 23:03
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +88 $19 31¢ $27 +$8 10-14 00:22
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +29 $20 94¢ $27 +$7 10-15 12:31
Will the Republican Party win the TX-23 House seat? No +61 $20 41¢ $25 +$5 10-15 23:55
Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +170 $19 15¢ $25 +$5 10-13 22:19
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? No +32 $20 72¢ $23 +$3 10-14 12:40
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +25 $20 94¢ $23 +$3 10-15 05:24
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +23 $21 98¢ $23 +$1 10-15 12:11
Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? No +23 $20 98¢ $23 +$3 10-16 04:22
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31? Yes +23 $20 96¢ $22 +$2 10-15 23:55
Will Bilibili Gaming win Worlds 2026? No +24 $20 88¢ $21 +$2 10-15 02:18
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? Yes +26 $20 82¢ $21 +$2 10-14 16:57
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +63 $20 33¢ $21 +$1 10-17 06:37
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? Yes +115 $20 18¢ $20 +$1 10-15 05:25
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 10-15 15:49
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +22 $20 92¢ $20 +$0 10-15 15:47
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +24 $20 84¢ $20 +$0 10-15 15:38
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? Anthropic +21 $20 92¢ $20 $0 10-15 22:04
Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026? No +22 $20 86¢ $19 -$1 10-13 22:21
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? No +23 $20 82¢ $19 -$1 10-16 20:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +56 $20 34¢ $19 $0 10-14 02:47
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? No +23 $20 78¢ $18 -$2 10-16 04:22
Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026? No +22 $12 83¢ $18 +$6 10-14 01:30
Will Gen.G win Worlds 2026? No +28 $20 56¢ $15 -$4 10-15 02:18
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +16 $13 89¢ $14 +$1 10-16 04:52
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +15 $11 70¢ $11 +$0 10-16 04:53
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +104 $11 10¢ $11 $0 10-16 13:18
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 10-13 22:44
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +70 $19 13¢ $9 -$10 10-15 09:12