Flaky-Con — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.6%

Resolved

Trades

533

lifetime

Volume

$4.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-24 12:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 39% $-35

Other

5% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
over 40m committed to the ranger public sale 819 688	1	$214	744	0	+744	open	—	01-05 16:52
eth updown 5m 1772375400	2	$92	139	138	+1	open	—	03-01 14:34
eth updown 5m 1775944800	2	$88	102	97	+4	open	—	04-11 22:03
eth updown 15m 1767398400	1	$88	591	0	+591	open	—	01-03 00:06
eth updown 15m 1768867200	2	$87	337	336	+1	open	—	01-20 00:07
eth updown 15m 1768914900	2	$82	225	224	+1	open	—	01-20 13:26
eth updown 5m 1774462200	4	$82	252	250	+2	open	—	03-25 18:14
eth updown 5m 1774450800	6	$82	211	210	+1	open	—	03-25 15:04
eth updown 5m 1775945400	6	$70	55	52	+2	open	—	04-11 22:15
eth updown 15m 1768953600	2	$65	113	112	+1	open	—	01-21 00:06
eth updown 5m 1775763600	4	$65	42	41	+1	open	—	04-09 19:44
eth updown 5m 1772720700	6	$64	55	55	+1	open	—	03-05 14:30
eth updown 5m 1775933700	4	$63	47	46	+1	open	—	04-11 19:00
eth updown 15m 1771882200	5	$63	154	154	+0	open	—	02-23 21:44
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?	2	$62	61	60	+0	open	—	01-20 13:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	6	$60	84	84	+0	Up	+$7	05-05 13:57
eth updown 15m 1768853700	2	$60	84	83	+1	open	—	01-19 20:20
eth updown 5m 1772376600	1	$59	165	0	+165	open	—	03-01 14:51
eth updown 15m 1772096400	2	$58	128	127	+1	open	—	02-26 09:07
ethereum up or down february 23 4pm et	2	$55	100	100	+0	open	—	02-23 21:48
eth updown 5m 1775758500	3	$54	52	40	+12	open	—	04-09 18:18
eth updown 5m 1774467300	2	$53	65	65	+1	open	—	03-25 19:38
eth updown 5m 1773184200	2	$53	75	74	+1	open	—	03-10 23:13
ethereum up or down january 25 3pm et	2	$52	225	225	+0	open	—	01-25 20:53
eth updown 5m 1775754300	3	$52	50	48	+2	open	—	04-09 17:06
eth updown 15m 1768922100	2	$49	45	44	+1	open	—	01-20 15:18
eth updown 5m 1775759700	6	$48	68	65	+3	open	—	04-09 18:39
eth updown 5m 1772096400	2	$47	39	38	+1	open	—	02-26 09:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$46	73	73	+0	Up	+$6	05-05 14:03
eth updown 5m 1773503100	4	$46	72	71	+1	open	—	03-14 15:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 12:16:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x95ce74…
05-24 12:14:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xaf717a…
05-24 12:13:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2dda93…
05-24 01:21:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xed429e…
05-24 01:17:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x2c96da…
05-24 01:16:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	SELL	9	48¢	$4	0xa3e829…
05-24 01:12:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x7e8569…
05-24 01:11:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x8a4046…
05-24 01:05:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x856563…
05-23 16:46:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	26	24¢	$6	0x364fc5…
05-23 16:45:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x110844…
05-23 16:42:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xba8090…
05-23 16:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	19	46¢	$9	0x9658f4…
05-23 16:41:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xab645e…
05-23 15:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	14	42¢	$6	0xa01f42…
05-23 15:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x2c3bb2…
05-23 15:41:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	24	25¢	$6	0x768a62…
05-23 15:41:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xbdb3a5…
05-23 15:38:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0xe812b8…
05-23 15:38:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa39789…
05-23 15:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x33133a…
05-23 15:03:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xc6776d…
05-23 15:00:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	SELL	24	56¢	$14	0x8bcbd0…
05-23 15:00:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xa12678…
05-23 14:56:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	59	21¢	$12	0xfe01cb…
05-23 14:56:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x5cb117…
05-23 14:51:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xe32cf1…
05-22 19:58:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	SELL	28	20¢	$6	0xa7222f…
05-22 19:58:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x9ba6db…
05-22 19:51:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	SELL	31	22¢	$7	0xf78496…
05-22 19:51:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0xee7ea1…
05-22 19:48:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	25	43¢	$11	0xd8c8bc…
05-22 19:47:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc116bd…
05-22 19:46:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	SELL	9	65¢	$6	0xef65cb…
05-22 19:45:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xac736a…
05-22 19:44:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	23	6¢	$1	0xa5e432…
05-22 19:44:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xd2ab39…
05-22 19:42:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x1d13b2…
05-21 20:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x15706e…
05-19 19:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	58¢	$3	0x49402e…
05-19 19:41:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x4034c4…
05-19 16:16:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x34a0fd…
05-19 16:15:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xb34752…
05-19 16:12:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0x6e4dbf…
05-19 16:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xabb981…
05-18 17:50:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x38490f…
05-18 17:40:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x43f4eb…
05-18 13:00:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	15	48¢	$7	0xb7a9d1…
05-18 12:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	27	48¢	$13	0x039eaa…
05-18 12:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x52b376…
05-18 12:52:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	22¢	$3	0x34adc0…
05-14 22:31:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xc01915…
05-14 22:26:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x829638…
05-14 15:59:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x4af016…
05-14 15:27:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	62¢	$5	0x00bae9…
05-14 15:25:55	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x696a0d…
05-12 22:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x19ef0b…
05-09 19:15:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xf48698…
05-09 19:11:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x6baf5b…
05-09 19:10:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x139bfd…
05-09 19:10:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x9693a7…
05-09 17:35:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x9289fa…
05-09 17:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	29	70¢	$20	0x72d022…
05-09 17:27:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	24	29¢	$7	0x45bef6…
05-09 17:24:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	26	11¢	$3	0x84e9b8…
05-09 17:24:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x52e0bc…
05-09 17:17:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x73e61b…
05-09 17:17:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	38¢	$8	0x44158a…
05-09 17:16:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x2100a6…
05-08 19:39:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	16	13¢	$2	0x93a7cb…
05-08 19:37:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$2	0x79850c…
05-08 19:36:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xf3bb27…
05-05 16:23:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	23	31¢	$7	0x3ba645…
05-05 16:18:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	25	29¢	$7	0x000ab2…
05-05 16:18:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x1f7d26…
05-05 16:10:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0x2550be…
05-05 16:10:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x80b298…
05-05 16:02:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	SELL	14	39¢	$5	0x385f9b…
05-05 16:01:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x0ee4f2…
05-05 15:57:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x59b39e…
05-05 15:57:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xe8dab6…
05-05 15:56:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	9	57¢	$5	0xe6bbce…
05-05 15:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x7fef87…
05-05 15:40:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x4c0f24…
05-05 14:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	20	53¢	$11	0xd82bfe…
05-05 14:03:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x080698…
05-05 14:01:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	53	29¢	$16	0x3e5113…
05-05 14:00:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xa99238…
05-05 13:57:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0x034925…
05-05 13:57:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xacd33c…
05-05 13:57:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	45	27¢	$12	0xd90620…
05-05 13:56:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	21¢	$9	0xc3ed77…
05-05 13:56:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	13	74¢	$10	0xa3978f…
05-05 13:55:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	13	53¢	$7	0xbe77a9…
05-05 13:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x6665f1…
05-05 13:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	50¢	$16	0x5aa88d…
05-05 13:52:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xaf5889…
05-03 22:45:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0xa51eb2…
05-03 16:21:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xc92567…
05-03 16:20:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xac916b…