Boiling-Wharf — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

50.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.04K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$22

1 position

First seen

2026-01-11

last 06-17 14:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

74% 100% +$12

Other

25% 0% $-10

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes		-83	$-26	26¢	$-22	+$4	06-17 14:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$306	388	253	+134	open	—	03-08 19:14
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$236	325	0	+325	open	—	01-30 04:58
Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$100	3,988	0	+3,988	open	—	03-04 08:45
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$76	46	46	+0	open	—	04-13 20:54
lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	2	$57	47	47	+0	open	—	03-06 21:30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	2	$51	31	31	+0	open	—	04-13 20:55
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$30	1,127	0	+1,127	open	—	03-08 19:12
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$29	38	0	+38	open	—	02-09 04:31
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$29	22	22	+0	open	—	01-30 04:57
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	2	$26	0	83	-83	open	—	06-17 14:47
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$19	61	0	+61	open	—	01-13 20:27
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	01-25 21:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	2	$10	460	460	+0	open	—	03-11 22:36
body cam footage of maduro capture released buy jan 31	1	$10	203	0	+203	open	—	01-13 20:22
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$10	172	0	+172	Yes	$-10	03-07 15:09
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	769	0	+769	open	—	03-08 19:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$10	22	0	+22	Yes	+$12	01-11 22:34
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	01-25 21:45
will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	333	0	+333	open	—	03-11 22:37
will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$2	143	0	+143	open	—	03-11 22:36
btc updown 5m 1776114000	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-13 21:00
btc updown 5m 1774208700	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	03-22 19:49
btc updown 5m 1774209000	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-22 19:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-17 14:47:14	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	31¢	$23	0x47314d…
06-17 13:38:02	Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xcf24cf…
04-13 21:00:45	btc updown 5m 1776114000	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x50972c…
04-13 20:55:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x73bad8…
04-13 20:54:39	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0xa53baa…
03-30 08:29:52	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	No	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x1e0911…
03-30 08:29:42	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x63ab05…
03-22 19:50:53	btc updown 5m 1774209000	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xfecad6…
03-22 19:49:11	btc updown 5m 1774208700	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x64bce1…
03-11 22:37:51	will frankenstein win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0xf7b122…
03-11 22:36:57	will marty supreme win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$2	0xfe75d2…
03-11 22:36:29	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	SELL	460	0¢	$0	0x71e9e8…
03-10 08:48:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	No	BUY	460	2¢	$10	0xdd5a5c…
03-08 19:14:27	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x3e2400…
03-08 19:12:31	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	1,127	3¢	$30	0x91ef08…
03-08 19:03:51	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	769	1¢	$10	0xa745b2…
03-07 15:12:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0x5c7254…
03-07 15:09:21	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	172	6¢	$10	0x68f302…
03-06 21:30:41	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	SELL	47	80¢	$37	0x7e4fd6…
03-06 17:00:39	lal cel rea 2026 03 07 rea	Yes	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x390485…
03-06 14:25:39	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	108	70¢	$76	0x2b6db0…
03-05 11:27:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	108	37¢	$40	0xf27756…
03-04 21:19:35	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	SELL	145	69¢	$100	0xaf6bb5…
03-04 10:53:41	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	53	37¢	$20	0x6dfa02…
03-04 08:45:49	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	91	33¢	$30	0xad70c0…
03-04 08:45:05	Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3,988	3¢	$100	0xc2b030…
02-09 04:31:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	38	78¢	$29	0xedd2e5…
01-30 04:58:56	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0x82e478…
01-30 04:57:18	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	22	89¢	$19	0x0937ce…
01-28 17:54:58	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	91¢	$7	0x9da776…
01-25 21:45:42	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xc9766f…
01-25 21:44:04	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	7	92¢	$7	0x6c4392…
01-13 20:27:38	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	61	32¢	$19	0x5e1f67…
01-13 20:22:50	body cam footage of maduro capture released buy jan 31	Yes	BUY	203	5¢	$10	0x536503…
01-13 20:16:14	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	275	73¢	$200	0xfbf709…
01-11 22:34:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x1f5f07…
01-11 22:21:10	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xae420a…
01-11 22:20:38	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x4a6d3d…
01-11 22:16:44	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xa7ef53…