Ripe-Pupil — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.2%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

821 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$290

$11.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$14

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 10-19 18:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 117 days

Categories

Other

75% 78% -$10

Crypto

18% 87% +$1

Politics

6% 65% $0

Sports

1% 100% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will we continue the change democratic bulgaria ppdb win the most seats in the 2026 bulgarian parliamentary election	6	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	04-20 02:04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on May 28?	3	$71	35	35	+0	No	+$0	05-28 05:12
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on June 3?	5	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	06-03 02:53
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or below on July 25?	2	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-25 17:59
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 43°C or higher on July 25?	4	$70	35	35	+0	No	+$0	07-24 08:07
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on July 26?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-25 18:03
will russia capture all of drobysheve by july 31	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-29 21:26
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or below on July 20?	3	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-19 18:48
will ethereum dip to 1600 july 13 19 2026	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-20 00:39
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on July 30?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	07-29 20:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	2	$67	33	33	+0	No	+$0	10-12 04:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	2	$66	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-28 02:47
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 26	2	$64	32	32	+0	Yes	+$0	07-27 00:55
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on July 19?	5	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-19 15:52
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 24?	2	$63	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-24 07:41
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on July 27?	3	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$0	07-26 21:00
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on July 20?	2	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-20 20:44
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on July 21?	3	$56	28	28	+0	No	+$0	07-21 00:42
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or below on July 28?	2	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-28 02:49
will bitcoin reach 69k on july 23	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-23 14:24
iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by july 31 2026	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-30 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 24°C on July 23?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-22 19:16
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on June 27?	3	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	06-26 15:16
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	4	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	05-21 13:04
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on July 21?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 20:08
ethereum above 2200 on july 20 2026	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-19 09:31
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-31 00:55
Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by July 31?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-29 22:35
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 21?	2	$53	26	26	+0	No	+$0	07-21 06:36
ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	2	$51	25	25	+0	Yes	$0	07-26 20:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 18:16:20	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xf03b8a…
10-18 21:02:35	Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 October 12-18?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x503546…
10-16 08:33:46	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 16?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8f1632…
10-13 11:39:58	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on October 13?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x84e23e…
10-13 07:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on October 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x943930…
10-12 04:16:42	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x3d7d83…
10-12 03:57:41	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x892add…
10-12 03:57:38	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x41c110…
10-12 03:57:35	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x242afc…
10-12 03:57:30	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa1dd3e…
10-12 03:57:29	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x219791…
10-12 03:57:27	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5bfe63…
10-12 03:57:26	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcec83f…
10-12 03:57:21	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbcc8f1…
10-11 22:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa33b04…
10-11 22:16:27	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xd61c08…
10-11 22:13:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x8376bc…
10-11 18:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 19°C or below on October 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x3733fd…
10-11 17:10:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x93a8ee…
10-11 16:42:04	Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x4d3625…
10-10 06:24:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x098b69…
10-10 01:29:44	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C on October 10?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x1c44dc…
10-05 11:44:16	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on October 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xcd2f22…
10-02 01:01:08	bitcoin above 90k on october 2 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa6eba5…
10-01 22:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 2?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x7afd70…
10-01 05:23:39	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on October 1?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x779e7d…
09-28 04:57:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on September 29?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x4d21f2…
09-27 21:17:11	bitcoin above 92k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xd309c9…
09-23 21:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on September 24?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x69aee2…
09-23 19:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 24?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x8c0f00…
09-23 13:33:14	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on September 24?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xdc694a…
09-22 20:43:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on September 23?	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x705de4…
09-22 19:01:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xd60971…
09-21 20:19:54	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 22?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0xeae56b…
09-19 10:03:46	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 19?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x774c20…
09-17 23:58:22	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x6e6daf…
09-17 16:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x659989…
09-13 04:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x1d2cd3…
09-11 01:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x27fbad…
09-07 15:13:51	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xf802f1…
09-06 13:08:12	Will "The Odyssey" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 10.5m and 11m?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x85ef4f…
09-06 06:22:10	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 39°C on September 6?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4f5470…
09-06 00:13:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 31-September 6?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x07cdfc…
09-05 08:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C or below on September 5?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x04fd59…
09-05 02:15:37	Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc0578b…
09-04 16:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xe40afb…
09-04 06:49:06	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on September 4?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x40dff1…
09-03 22:55:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 4?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x1fe7a5…
09-03 15:31:00	Will the lowest temperature in Singapore be 32°C or higher on September 4?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xcc6e75…
09-03 06:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x49ec77…
09-02 22:36:15	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 28 and 30 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x86ea55…
09-02 15:46:57	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 3?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xe95d35…
09-02 11:47:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbf16ee…
09-02 07:43:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xae33c5…
09-01 07:12:25	Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ec06f…
09-01 03:52:24	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on September 1?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xba1507…
08-31 04:50:57	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x75ba5a…
08-30 23:47:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 1?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x7aa47b…
08-30 19:19:46	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x5f13a2…
08-30 16:13:42	Will the 2026 Guinea-Bissau constitutional referendum not occur by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8fedc9…
08-30 02:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 36°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31c4ca…
08-29 21:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C or higher on August 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4b35b9…
08-29 16:03:43	Will Georgia Tree win the 2026 Secret Harbour state by-election?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd6b181…
08-29 14:26:33	bitcoin above 84k on august 30 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0xfb0f4c…
08-28 03:50:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x22e46a…
08-27 17:00:21	Will Khamenei post 15-19 posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x28be3d…
08-27 14:14:24	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xed2fca…
08-27 04:57:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 28?	Yes	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2a1cec…
08-27 00:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x1a2068…
08-26 18:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 38°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xff661c…
08-26 12:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on August 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x157f20…
08-25 13:58:13	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb7a60a…
08-25 11:59:19	Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x89436e…
08-25 03:25:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on August 25?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$16	0xd3ea0e…
08-25 00:16:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfdb1f5…
08-24 17:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x36a8fe…
08-24 09:54:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x633ce5…
08-24 05:32:34	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x8fc56e…
08-23 20:17:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 24?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$29	0x865dbf…
08-14 15:41:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xafb632…
08-14 07:49:04	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x1c331f…
08-13 18:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on August 14?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x5da3c4…
08-13 14:38:54	bitcoin above 60k on august 14 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x491e19…
08-13 11:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on August 13?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$24	0x1bfbb4…
08-12 23:18:33	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on August 13?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$18	0xc7f20b…
08-12 23:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 13?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb05ebe…
08-12 05:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 42°C or higher on August 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x32be72…
08-12 04:38:33	solana above 70 on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xccfafb…
08-12 01:27:58	Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on day 4?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xf95196…
08-11 21:15:39	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x49f756…
08-11 13:53:13	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9993e9…
08-10 23:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e1939…
08-10 19:37:04	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 108°F or higher on August 11?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4a47dc…
08-10 18:54:43	xrp above 1pt2 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xc80bc5…
08-10 12:21:09	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 108-109°F on August 11?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x7feee4…
08-09 12:31:40	ethereum above 2000 on august 9 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf6ec6b…
08-09 10:41:34	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 10?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc30102…
08-09 03:30:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xce7461…
08-09 01:18:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 10?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb861b2…
08-08 18:17:28	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or below on August 9?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xcdc382…