Idealistic-Arrangement — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-05 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 100% +$0

Politics

21% — —

Other

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$134	1,600	1,600	+0	open	—	02-13 12:49
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	7	$48	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	02-13 14:54
bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	06-25 09:03
ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	06-12 10:10
bitcoin above 74k on april 12	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-12 13:03
bitcoin above 76k on april 11	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-11 11:59
bitcoin above 76k on april 10	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-10 13:32
bitcoin above 72k on april 7	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-07 12:42
ethereum above 2300 on april 6	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-05 23:26
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-03 12:52
ethereum above 2400 on april 1	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-01 10:00
bitcoin above 74k on april 9	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	04-09 08:43
ethereum above 2200 on march 31	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-31 13:46
ethereum above 2300 on march 30	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-30 08:54
ethereum above 2200 on march 29	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-29 09:34
ethereum above 2200 on march 28	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-28 07:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	05-28 01:15
ethereum above 1900 on march 26	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-26 01:39
bitcoin above 76k on march 25	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-25 08:02
ethereum above 1800 on march 23	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-23 12:41
ethereum above 2300 on march 22	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-22 12:11
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-21 14:54
will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-20 14:24
will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	1	$19	19	0	+19	open	—	03-19 14:33
bitcoin above 80k on march 17	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-17 10:19
bitcoin above 68k on march 16	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-16 10:18
will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-15 17:55
bitcoin above 64k on march 13	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-13 10:01
us strikes iraq by march 7	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	03-11 09:54
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$18	18	0	+18	open	—	02-22 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 13:12:35	bitcoin above 66k on july 6 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9d289a…
07-05 14:26:52	ethereum above 1900 on july 5 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x276ded…
07-02 03:06:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x9406c4…
06-28 12:56:44	ethereum above 1700 on june 28 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5ac241…
06-25 09:03:53	bitcoin above 66k on june 25 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x541040…
06-21 09:17:53	bitcoin above 68k on june 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x7d5d27…
06-14 09:56:27	bitcoin above 68k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x0d50c0…
06-12 10:10:45	ethereum above 1800 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xbda555…
06-11 05:52:18	bitcoin above 66k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x208d44…
06-07 08:33:51	ethereum above 1800 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xf79ac9…
06-02 10:22:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x07bd37…
05-30 07:42:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x88bc7e…
05-28 01:15:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x811e98…
05-22 13:24:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xde0b26…
05-21 10:40:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x82c46c…
05-20 14:24:13	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x84e83b…
05-18 13:28:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 18?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x6603a1…
05-15 13:01:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 15?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xc0dfaf…
05-14 10:37:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x7ce615…
05-13 12:28:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcdadd3…
05-11 13:32:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 11?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xa9487b…
05-10 15:49:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x63a148…
05-07 12:57:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x2aa702…
05-05 14:50:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9673b4…
05-04 13:00:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7adb9f…
05-03 13:09:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 3?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x933ca0…
04-27 14:02:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xeb9c8a…
04-23 11:40:28	bitcoin above 82k on april 23	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc6b12…
04-22 13:00:24	bitcoin above 82k on april 22	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xeaf547…
04-20 13:46:00	elon musk of tweets april 18 april 20 90 114	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xaa63ba…
04-19 12:54:42	bitcoin above 78k on april 19	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcfb033…
04-17 15:12:02	bitcoin above 80k on april 17	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xd4a7ec…
04-16 13:12:44	bitcoin above 78k on april 16	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x340e61…
04-15 08:24:54	bitcoin above 78k on april 15	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea8c2…
04-14 13:32:21	ethereum above 2100 on april 14	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xcee92e…
04-13 12:55:29	bitcoin above 74k on april 13	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x044cc1…
04-12 13:03:33	bitcoin above 74k on april 12	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe85ec8…
04-11 11:59:19	bitcoin above 76k on april 11	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x77752e…
04-10 13:32:27	bitcoin above 76k on april 10	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x21cff6…
04-09 08:43:19	bitcoin above 74k on april 9	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x9fe88a…
04-07 12:42:57	bitcoin above 72k on april 7	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x296684…
04-05 23:26:07	ethereum above 2300 on april 6	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x16ce4d…
04-03 12:52:37	ethereum above 1900 on april 3	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe948de…
04-01 10:00:59	ethereum above 2400 on april 1	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xe269d4…
03-31 13:46:51	ethereum above 2200 on march 31	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x0e8a2c…
03-30 08:54:06	ethereum above 2300 on march 30	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xff7116…
03-29 09:34:40	ethereum above 2200 on march 29	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x25723e…
03-28 07:42:41	ethereum above 2200 on march 28	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde8333…
03-26 01:39:19	ethereum above 1900 on march 26	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xde62ff…
03-25 08:02:53	bitcoin above 76k on march 25	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x271a6e…
03-23 12:41:33	ethereum above 1800 on march 23	Yes	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x4c3bbf…
03-22 12:11:43	ethereum above 2300 on march 22	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x330773…
03-21 14:54:03	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 21	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x300ed3…
03-20 14:24:27	will bitcoin reach 78k on march 20	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x06fb97…
03-19 14:33:53	will bitcoin reach 76k on march 19	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x02de9d…
03-18 03:01:25	bitcoin above 80k on march 18	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58d8b6…
03-17 10:19:07	bitcoin above 80k on march 17	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6df1eb…
03-16 10:18:57	bitcoin above 68k on march 16	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6a4173…
03-15 17:55:03	will bitcoin reach 79k on march 15	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa02b1e…
03-13 10:01:53	bitcoin above 64k on march 13	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xfd3daa…
03-11 09:54:15	us strikes iraq by march 7	Yes	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9e3930…
03-01 16:00:11	will us or israel strike iran on march 2 2026	Yes	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x072d20…
02-28 18:56:59	will bitcoin reach 75000 in february 858 936	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xd7c4a2…
02-22 03:33:58	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc2d81a…
02-21 07:28:30	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x629c3a…
02-16 23:54:09	us strikes iran by february 16 2026 732 528	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb32b6b…
02-13 15:57:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	1,018	0¢	$3	0x89dc92…
02-13 15:40:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	675	0¢	$2	0x21ab91…
02-13 15:22:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	SELL	317	0¢	$1	0xf6d164…
02-13 14:54:01	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	1,746	0¢	$9	0x7db8d9…
02-13 14:51:51	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	54	0¢	$0	0x614cb6…
02-13 14:49:21	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x3f3b47…
02-13 14:48:39	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0xf72e27…
02-13 14:48:37	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x054b21…
02-13 14:48:29	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	SELL	1,600	0¢	$8	0xf72915…
02-13 12:49:05	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	1,600	4¢	$67	0xb16a01…
02-13 12:28:11	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,600	4¢	$67	0xf2f5f5…
02-13 12:15:21	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	Yes	BUY	4,000	1¢	$28	0x337579…
02-12 13:58:09	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	2,010	0¢	$6	0x97b620…