Stable-Tilt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$263

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

124

Trades

194

lifetime

Volume

$25.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$133

Open exposure

$198

1 position

First seen

2026-03-02

last 10-28 16:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 69 days

Categories

Crypto

52% 53% -$19

Other

44% 74% +$280

Politics

4% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No		-201	-$193	99¢	$-198	-$5	09-30 14:37

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	6	$2.6K	1,319	1,319	+0	No	$0	03-14 19:10
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$2.3K	1,179	1,179	+0	No	-$1	03-22 14:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	6	$2.1K	1,060	1,060	+0	No	-$1	04-22 15:48
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$1.0K	510	510	+0	No	-$1	03-16 20:25
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$1.0K	504	504	+0	No	-$1	04-04 13:59
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	2	$958	480	480	+0	No	$0	03-23 18:41
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$957	480	480	+0	No	$0	04-11 16:09
will bitcoin dip to 54k march 2 8	2	$938	472	472	+0	No	-$4	03-06 13:11
will bitcoin reach 95k in march 2026	2	$931	466	466	+0	No	+$0	03-27 18:11
trump out as president by march 31	2	$923	463	463	+0	No	+$0	03-26 06:49
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$878	440	440	+0	No	$0	03-18 19:51
will solana reach 160 in march 2026	2	$656	330	330	+0	No	+$0	03-08 06:50
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	2	$638	320	320	+0	No	+$0	05-17 15:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	2	$626	315	315	+0	No	+$0	03-24 21:30
bitcoin above 80k on march 19	1	$410	410	0	+410	No	+$0	03-18 19:52
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	6	$405	108	309	-201	open	—	09-30 14:37
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-31?	1	$390	448	0	+448	Yes	+$58	08-31 13:23
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	1	$350	385	0	+385	Yes	+$35	08-30 13:50
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?	2	$339	170	170	+0	No	+$0	05-14 14:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	2	$334	168	168	+0	No	+$0	05-20 17:01
Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-23?	2	$332	172	172	+0	No	+$12	08-23 19:00
bitcoin above 72k on march 28	1	$309	310	0	+310	No	+$1	03-27 18:21
fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	1	$300	341	0	+341	Spain	+$41	07-02 14:36
will xrp reach 2pt2 in june 2026	2	$264	133	133	+0	No	$0	06-16 16:05
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	1	$240	261	0	+261	No	+$21	08-26 09:02
Will Solana reach $130 in May?	2	$229	115	115	+0	No	+$1	05-26 14:54
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-29?	1	$220	234	0	+234	No	+$14	08-29 14:05
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	1	$214	230	0	+230	No	+$16	08-27 14:25
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in June?	2	$214	108	108	+0	No	+$1	06-14 18:03
Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?	2	$193	100	100	+0	No	+$7	08-21 18:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:55:56	Spread: Venezia FC (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x03921f…
10-21 18:40:18	Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-21?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x35000e…
10-20 16:35:50	Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2026-10-20?	No	BUY	17	87¢	$15	0x5a3cf0…
10-17 16:14:29	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	25	81¢	$20	0x3be89f…
10-14 18:46:37	ucl rom rma 2026 10 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0x5c889f…
10-10 16:18:12	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0xd7c41f…
10-06 18:05:44	Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?	No	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0xadf69c…
10-01 15:28:56	Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xe06a71…
09-30 14:37:27	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x01ce0a…
09-24 14:21:53	Will Austria win on 2026-09-24?	Yes	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x319ae7…
09-10 14:32:00	Will PSV win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xbb458f…
09-10 14:31:18	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?	Yes	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0xf41614…
09-04 13:39:07	Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-09-04?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0xedbd68…
09-03 15:38:30	Will Al Diraiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-09-03?	No	BUY	60	88¢	$53	0x467dd5…
09-02 09:14:45	Will FC Mito Holly Hock win on 2026-09-02?	No	BUY	80	82¢	$66	0x0f1359…
09-01 15:22:51	Will AC Monza win on 2026-09-01?	No	BUY	100	83¢	$83	0xdec825…
09-01 15:22:34	Will Torino FC win on 2026-09-01?	Yes	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x7509d7…
08-31 13:23:40	Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-08-31?	Yes	BUY	448	87¢	$390	0x234b94…
08-30 13:50:54	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30?	Yes	BUY	385	91¢	$350	0xab5fd8…
08-29 14:05:16	Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-08-29?	No	BUY	234	94¢	$220	0x153ea1…
08-29 14:03:18	Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x40806a…
08-28 13:42:52	Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	194	93¢	$180	0xd8665d…
08-28 13:42:22	Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-08-28?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xc3be45…
08-28 13:41:00	Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-08-28?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x9d05db…
08-27 14:25:52	Will Athletic Club win on 2026-08-27?	No	BUY	230	93¢	$214	0x030d0d…
08-27 14:23:43	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xfda80e…
08-26 09:02:36	Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-26?	No	BUY	261	92¢	$240	0xd8efbc…
08-25 13:14:21	Will Al Ettifaq Saudi Club win on 2026-08-25?	No	BUY	176	91¢	$160	0xc387a1…
08-25 13:13:48	Will NEC win on 2026-08-25?	No	BUY	60	84¢	$50	0x25cc90…
08-24 14:43:43	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x638c13…
08-24 14:43:19	Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-08-24?	No	BUY	100	84¢	$84	0x498037…
08-23 19:01:36	Will Elche CF win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	144	90¢	$130	0x72b7e6…
08-23 19:00:46	Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-23?	Yes	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x6192c8…
08-23 19:00:22	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-23?	No	SELL	172	100¢	$172	0xe09e47…
08-23 14:37:25	Will SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden win on 2026-08-23?	No	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0x6f0019…
08-23 14:36:43	will bitcoin reach 100k in august 2026	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xca2eb8…
08-22 19:11:33	Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	168	89¢	$150	0xb97517…
08-22 19:10:28	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0xd21d26…
08-22 14:34:49	Will AC Monza win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	130	95¢	$124	0x73fd12…
08-21 18:44:31	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-21?	Yes	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0xece13f…
08-21 18:43:25	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0f043f…
08-21 14:28:07	Will Al Riyadh Saudi Club win on 2026-08-21?	No	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0xdcc713…
08-19 15:46:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0x6bf859…
08-19 15:44:51	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	22	98¢	$22	0x9727bb…
08-19 15:37:51	Will Málaga CF win on 2026-08-19?	No	BUY	66	91¢	$60	0x8aed77…
08-12 16:21:28	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xf294ee…
08-11 14:09:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x1b35f9…
08-11 14:07:57	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	SELL	53	99¢	$52	0x4d0b80…
08-03 08:33:33	will bitcoin reach 80k in august 2026	No	BUY	53	99¢	$52	0xa10c11…
07-29 08:35:38	bitcoin above 60k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2a7596…
07-19 07:35:22	will ethereum reach 2500 in july 2026	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0x27efa3…
07-16 20:10:38	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	68	99¢	$67	0x40077f…
07-12 00:43:49	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	185	76¢	$140	0xe4963a…
07-10 19:33:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	SELL	40	90¢	$36	0xaa309d…
07-10 17:54:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 team to advance	Spain	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0xcabfa0…
07-04 19:54:19	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team to advance	France	BUY	151	93¢	$140	0xc7c358…
07-03 23:47:55	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	SELL	26	34¢	$9	0x235a83…
07-03 15:23:35	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?	Yes	BUY	26	86¢	$22	0x19482b…
07-02 14:36:41	fifwc esp aut 2026 07 02 team to advance	Spain	BUY	341	88¢	$300	0x27fb5b…
07-01 20:07:26	Will United States win on 2026-07-01?	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xd9f0c4…
07-01 13:29:05	fifwc eng cdr 2026 07 01 btts	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x961ffb…
06-29 20:45:53	Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x32dfe4…
06-28 16:33:25	Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0x7501cb…
06-27 12:33:50	cs2 newvis jul 2026 06 27	NEW VISION	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0xf7e062…
06-26 16:22:20	cs2 js1 rt1 2026 06 26	Johnny Speeds	BUY	0	59¢	$0	0xeb6457…
06-26 16:22:19	cs2 js1 rt1 2026 06 26	Johnny Speeds	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xfd5590…
06-25 09:49:58	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	36	99¢	$35	0xed5f80…
06-25 09:48:55	cs2 esb mana1 2026 06 25	ex-MANA eSports	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0xf08166…
06-25 09:46:17	cs2 inf6 fokus 2026 06 25	Infinite	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xe555c2…
06-23 09:26:56	will bitcoin reach 72k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	72	99¢	$72	0xebd248…
06-21 15:49:05	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0xa11db7…
06-21 15:48:10	cs2 furia fal2 2026 06 21	Team Falcons	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0xa2cd0f…
06-20 15:54:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x5abc2d…
06-20 15:54:14	dota2 z10 sb5 2026 06 20	Zero Tenacity	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xaa351b…
06-19 19:34:35	cs2 rt1 baks 2026 06 19	ReThink	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x9b07e4…
06-19 19:33:43	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0xf2b41f…
06-18 14:44:46	cs2 hotu g1 2026 06 18	GenOne	BUY	4	64¢	$2	0xf0dc83…
06-18 14:44:04	cs2 inf6 oxuji 2026 06 18	Oxuji Esports	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbd0805…
06-17 18:21:58	ethereum above 2200 on june 21 2026	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0xc2d23b…
06-17 18:18:07	cs2 ntr nem 2026 06 17	Nuclear TigeRES	BUY	3	83¢	$3	0x79d56a…
06-17 18:17:29	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x9fc914…
06-16 16:07:29	will ethereum reach 2500 in june 2026	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xf6f08c…
06-16 16:06:40	cs2 k271 100t 2026 06 16	K27	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xee309c…
06-16 16:05:50	will xrp reach 2pt2 in june 2026	No	SELL	133	99¢	$132	0x7220cc…
06-15 14:56:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x7a2dce…
06-15 14:53:27	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	SELL	80	99¢	$80	0xb7abea…
06-15 14:51:58	Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs	Team Nemesis	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x7566e1…
06-14 18:07:55	will xrp reach 2pt2 in june 2026	No	BUY	133	99¢	$132	0x9bf2bc…
06-14 18:04:27	Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage	GenOne	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x79df01…
06-14 18:03:46	will ethereum reach 2800 in june 2026	No	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x99030b…
06-13 17:47:30	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x1878fe…
06-13 17:45:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	82	100¢	$82	0x692ae3…
06-13 17:44:34	Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B	Power Rangers	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x23a24d…
06-13 17:43:48	cs2 washed msc 2026 06 13	Washed	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf6e1a5…
06-11 16:25:52	will bitcoin reach 82pt5k in june 2026	No	BUY	59	99¢	$58	0x88cc24…
06-10 12:49:42	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	SELL	78	99¢	$77	0xb15666…
06-10 12:49:04	lol sgw dino 2026 06 10	Saigon Warriors	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x3d02e3…
06-09 17:04:09	will solana reach 130 in june 2026	No	BUY	80	99¢	$80	0x416bfa…
06-09 17:01:24	lol kcb vdn 2026 06 09	Karmine Corp Blue	BUY	9	93¢	$8	0x7eeddb…
06-08 18:02:55	cs2 rgg old 2026 06 08	OLDBOYS-	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x21581a…