Homely-Crunch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$247

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.0%

Resolved

164

Trades

252

lifetime

Volume

$7.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-22 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 83 days

Categories

Politics

43% 70% -$12

Other

40% 89% -$680

Sports

10% 33% +$452

Crypto

8% 92% +$0

Tech

0% 0% -$7

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	8	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-12 16:17
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	13	$1.1K	600	600	+0	open	—	05-15 06:16
crint bgd nzl 2026 04 17	1	$484	0	1,100	-1,100	New Zealand	-$616	04-16 11:00
nhl nyr tb 2026 04 15	1	$340	970	0	+970	Rangers	+$630	04-14 11:50
nhl tor ott 2026 04 15	2	$333	0	470	-470	Senators	-$137	04-14 12:09
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$300	200	200	+0	No	+$0	04-11 14:36
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	12	$220	400	400	+0	Yes	$0	04-11 11:23
Swalwell, Mills, Gonzales, and Cherfilus-McCormick all out by May 31?	8	$198	140	160	-20	No	-$5	04-27 02:30
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 12, 2026?	3	$133	71	71	+0	No	$0	04-10 16:41
will fidesz kdnp win 70 seats in the hungarian national assembly in this election	8	$111	100	100	+0	Yes	-$7	04-11 09:28
nvda up or down on april 8 2026	5	$96	51	51	+0	Up	+$0	04-08 14:24
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	1	$65	65	0	+65	No	+$0	03-29 11:50
donald trump of truth social posts april 7 april 14 100 119	2	$64	100	100	+0	No	-$2	04-11 06:06
will ng reach 2 80 by april 13 2026	4	$61	100	100	+0	No	-$5	04-13 01:10
will bitcoin dip to 45k in january 2026	1	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	01-26 14:58
will rklb reach 76 by april 13 2026	2	$55	105	0	+105	Yes	-$55	04-16 12:50
will tisza win 54 of the national list votes in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election	4	$51	100	100	+0	No	-$3	04-11 09:10
will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	2	$48	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-06 02:52
nhl bos buf 2026 04 19	1	$42	100	0	+100	Sabres	-$42	04-18 02:27
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	2	$41	50	50	+0	No	$0	06-06 02:43
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 300 319	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	03-05 10:04
will ethereum reach 4200 in february 2026	1	$40	40	0	+40	No	+$0	02-24 14:24
Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	2	$35	20	20	+0	Yes	$0	05-30 03:25
Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Len Sassaman as Satoshi?	3	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	04-15 16:23
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 140 159	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	03-19 11:02
solana above 140 on february 12	1	$30	30	0	+30	No	+$0	02-12 13:48
bitcoin above 54k on march 3	1	$30	30	0	+30	Yes	+$0	03-02 11:27
will bitcoin dip to 61k on april 7	1	$29	29	0	+29	No	+$0	04-07 13:17
Tulsi Gabbard out by April 30?	4	$26	50	50	+0	No	-$2	04-07 15:42
elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 40 59	1	$22	22	0	+22	No	+$0	03-04 12:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 15:13:18	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c40ff…
10-22 15:13:14	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa536e1…
10-02 15:52:14	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x2a14b7…
10-02 15:52:11	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 3 to October 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3b3be4…
09-13 14:24:25	Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x483d06…
09-13 14:24:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7db859…
08-30 14:37:45	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x0afaa4…
08-30 14:37:39	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x65d182…
08-30 14:37:30	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x219627…
08-30 14:37:24	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 29 to August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xace6de…
08-25 14:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1cadbb…
08-25 14:43:13	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x22625d…
08-25 14:43:07	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8a0521…
08-25 14:42:57	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x68ab46…
08-06 14:54:21	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x820cdd…
08-06 14:54:14	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe7c837…
08-06 14:53:59	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7600c9…
08-06 14:53:51	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x248ffb…
08-06 14:53:42	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0xec246b…
07-21 15:00:19	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 24 to July 31, 2026?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xf9f1fe…
07-21 14:59:46	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x10e066…
07-21 14:59:34	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe0fcbe…
07-21 14:59:27	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb14a49…
07-21 14:59:18	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe88f39…
07-21 14:59:07	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa3cbc5…
07-07 15:58:58	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe00a88…
07-07 15:58:02	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x5be5a2…
07-07 15:57:56	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcf10ca…
07-07 15:57:47	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x7a111f…
07-07 15:57:41	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa63447…
06-27 03:31:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on June 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xe9ff56…
06-27 03:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 41°C on June 28?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x49db00…
06-27 03:31:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa8512…
06-27 03:30:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc5661e…
06-27 03:30:25	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd703b5…
06-27 03:30:07	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or below on June 28?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x61e87e…
06-17 15:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C or below on June 19?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x3fcc23…
06-17 15:38:38	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9b037b…
06-17 15:38:28	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C or higher on June 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0303e0…
06-17 15:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on June 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x158be8…
06-17 15:37:52	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcfe3aa…
06-17 15:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 18?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb20345…
06-17 15:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on June 18?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x78d550…
06-06 03:00:24	Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0xe06609…
06-06 03:00:16	Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0xa6b33c…
06-06 03:00:09	Will FUT Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	4¢	$1	0x4e0499…
06-06 02:59:30	Will FUT Esports win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0xb33d01…
06-06 02:59:30	Will NRG win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0x36b111…
06-06 02:59:30	Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	5¢	$1	0x04b6f8…
06-06 02:52:54	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	SELL	50	48¢	$24	0x7acb72…
06-06 02:52:36	will spy dip to 720 in june 2026	No	BUY	50	49¢	$24	0x2fbf6a…
06-06 02:43:19	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0x5981c0…
06-06 02:43:04	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	50	41¢	$21	0xa3a66c…
05-31 14:45:31	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e66ba…
05-30 03:25:05	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0xade7a1…
05-30 03:22:39	Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in June 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x234b94…
05-23 09:20:10	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0x493431…
05-23 09:18:30	Solstice FDV above $250M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	50	14¢	$7	0x749059…
05-23 09:11:32	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0xde42f6…
05-23 09:11:06	Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x45add8…
05-22 11:05:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xe7a352…
05-22 10:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 23?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x2d54ed…
05-22 10:40:48	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x52119e…
05-22 10:40:30	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 22?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xac8814…
05-22 10:40:25	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 76-77°F on May 22?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x8fd8ab…
05-22 10:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x35446d…
05-21 13:04:50	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6c364c…
05-21 13:04:40	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf86c11…
05-21 13:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 46-47°F on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xa96af1…
05-21 13:04:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on May 22?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5bfce6…
05-21 13:03:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on May 22?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdca19f…
05-21 13:03:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 22?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x00129e…
05-20 11:42:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on May 20?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe3fdf7…
05-20 11:42:17	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 20?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xac1877…
05-20 11:42:08	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 60-61°F on May 21?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5149a0…
05-17 00:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on May 18?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x99e4f8…
05-17 00:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 18?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x252433…
05-17 00:26:40	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 18?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa94917…
05-17 00:26:35	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 59°F or below on May 18?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf949a3…
05-15 06:16:28	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	72	95¢	$68	0xf1f62d…
05-15 06:16:15	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	51	95¢	$48	0x19a7bf…
05-15 06:16:03	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	49	95¢	$46	0xb58f2f…
05-15 06:15:53	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0xd7d5a1…
05-15 06:15:44	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	45	95¢	$43	0x5edf08…
05-15 06:11:27	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	46	95¢	$44	0x027d5e…
05-15 06:02:35	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	55	95¢	$52	0x60da92…
05-15 06:01:58	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	100	95¢	$95	0x56c1ea…
05-15 06:01:46	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	82	95¢	$78	0x7151fd…
05-15 02:42:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 16?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xcd1abd…
05-15 02:42:33	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 16?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x65dd40…
05-14 12:29:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd28094…
05-14 12:06:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 14?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xfb070c…
05-14 12:06:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 8°C or below on May 15?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x699121…
05-13 18:08:58	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	491	94¢	$463	0xd5558c…
05-13 18:01:18	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x0061f3…
05-13 18:01:14	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x8f4a1e…
05-13 17:49:47	Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	73	94¢	$69	0xebbf15…
05-12 16:17:48	Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	580	97¢	$564	0x64bd47…
05-10 12:51:56	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 56-57°F on May 10?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x614081…
05-10 12:51:44	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 49°F or below on May 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x07b763…