Ancient-Tatami — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.6%

Resolved

Trades

236

lifetime

Volume

$2.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 05-16 21:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% 100% +$10

Other

31% 0% $-1

Tech

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike lebanon on february 7 2026	4	$172	88	88	+0	open	—	02-08 20:46
will israel strike gaza on january 26 2026	2	$152	78	78	+0	open	—	01-28 19:48
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$101	62	62	+0	open	—	02-04 17:36
was ilhan omar sprayed with vinegar	2	$86	88	0	+88	open	—	01-28 19:49
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	7	$80	69	30	+39	open	—	01-31 17:12
will don lemon be criminally charged	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	01-30 19:15
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	7	$61	139	139	+0	open	—	01-31 05:04
will israel strike lebanon on january 16 2026	2	$60	33	33	+0	open	—	01-18 12:08
us strikes iran by february 27 2026	1	$56	58	0	+58	open	—	02-28 06:40
will israel strike lebanon on january 26 2026	4	$55	54	54	+0	open	—	01-26 06:24
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 23 426	7	$44	45	14	+31	open	—	01-23 23:38
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	4	$44	26	26	+0	open	—	02-18 19:33
internet access restored in iran by friday 972	2	$43	46	0	+46	open	—	01-22 02:59
will sweden join the board of peace	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	02-03 19:07
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$42	47	0	+47	open	—	02-18 19:41
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	3	$40	56	25	+31	open	—	02-10 22:30
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$40	45	0	+45	open	—	04-15 18:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$40	24	24	+0	open	—	02-04 17:43
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	4	$39	45	45	+0	open	—	02-28 07:22
us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	1	$38	40	0	+40	open	—	02-11 23:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$35	42	0	+42	No	+$7	05-07 15:54
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	1	$35	38	0	+38	No	+$3	05-07 15:53
will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	2	$35	20	20	+0	open	—	02-12 06:28
will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	5	$32	47	47	+0	open	—	02-15 21:16
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	2	$30	16	16	+0	open	—	01-15 17:03
will israel strike lebanon on january 25 2026	4	$30	25	25	+0	open	—	01-24 21:11
moltbook ai agent sues a human by feb 28	2	$28	50	50	+0	open	—	02-01 01:52
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	3	$27	17	17	+0	open	—	01-22 02:59
will russia strike on kyiv municipality on january 24 878	8	$26	50	50	+0	open	—	01-23 23:35
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	1	$25	28	0	+28	open	—	03-05 14:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 21:18:31	LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO3) - LCS Regular Season	Team Liquid	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xead0d0…
05-16 18:43:33	LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x7044e8…
05-16 18:39:04	LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs	RED Canids	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7e9a62…
05-16 18:27:03	Will Trump say "Buy Dell Computer" or "Buy a Dell Computer" in May?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xcd6d85…
05-16 18:26:05	Will Trump say "America Last" in May?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xac1ee6…
05-16 09:36:23	LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana	ThunderTalk Gaming	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x4cfc9f…
05-16 09:27:42	Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0x93b817…
05-15 23:04:05	LoL: Dorado Gaming vs CCG Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season	CCG Esports	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xb68179…
05-15 16:17:53	LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x20b692…
05-15 14:45:44	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xabae0a…
05-15 12:46:32	US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x53a61e…
05-14 19:45:12	Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x170797…
05-11 18:41:10	LoL: Team Orange Gaming vs Kaufland Hangry Knights (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A	Kaufland Hangry Knights	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe21d55…
05-07 15:54:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	42	83¢	$35	0xc95b1d…
05-07 15:53:52	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?	No	BUY	38	92¢	$35	0xb6b100…
05-03 18:04:14	LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x210bf4…
04-28 13:46:32	Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in April?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x545793…
04-26 18:36:50	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Fnatic	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfd60ce…
04-26 18:15:14	LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	FURIA Esports	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x0f2e67…
04-26 17:27:52	LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Natus Vincere	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x69569f…
04-25 19:55:08	LoL: Karmine Corp vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Shifters	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x8e0665…
04-24 12:16:42	lol jdg ig1 2026 04 24 game2	Invictus Gaming	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xa7f574…
04-22 16:36:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x3b1e45…
04-18 17:07:32	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x5aec3f…
04-15 18:34:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	45	88¢	$40	0x787d09…
04-11 12:09:37	will the first eaglet hatch on april 11 2026 441 195	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0xd383be…
04-08 21:00:17	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x9f21f7…
04-08 20:58:23	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	59¢	$7	0x9fd963…
04-07 21:49:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x9ac83c…
04-07 16:10:17	will trump praise allah again by april 15	No	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x49c471…
03-09 14:25:07	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x83b76c…
03-07 17:34:01	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x6ea9c7…
03-06 11:01:25	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	17	23¢	$4	0x2247e2…
03-05 14:07:15	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 5 748 625	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x3f0b12…
03-03 18:17:01	will another country strike iran by march 7 528	No	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x597225…
03-03 18:07:59	will qatar strike iran by march 31	No	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x341265…
03-02 14:54:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd59d91…
02-28 07:22:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	45	1¢	$1	0x9d02ea…
02-28 06:40:27	us strikes iran by february 27 2026	No	BUY	58	97¢	$56	0x3213ee…
02-27 21:02:01	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0x2cdcc1…
02-27 10:58:41	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x3bc5b3…
02-25 15:39:26	will usd reach 1pt7m iranian rials by february 28	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xfad8ee…
02-23 14:22:44	will alexandria ocasio cortez attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x150945…
02-23 06:48:58	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0xf019be…
02-22 21:15:32	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc94a0e…
02-22 14:40:04	will israel strike lebanon on february 22 2026	Yes	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0xce2320…
02-22 11:29:02	will israel strike lebanon on february 22 2026	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xed1b8c…
02-22 03:45:00	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Strickland	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x40544f…
02-22 03:43:58	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	SELL	3	71¢	$2	0x69e2a7…
02-22 03:28:00	ufc geo uro 2026 02 21	Uros Medic	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x4ce959…
02-22 02:27:20	ufc ant12 ser2 2026 02 21	Spivac	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x321ab2…
02-22 02:13:00	ufc ant12 ser2 2026 02 21	Delija	SELL	2	52¢	$1	0x636382…
02-22 02:06:18	ufc jos50 jac21 2026 02 21	Josiah Harrell	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xb48f03…
02-22 01:18:58	ufc mic6 zac5 2026 02 21	Pereira	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x66001d…
02-22 01:11:38	ufc ant12 ser2 2026 02 21	Delija	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5a820e…
02-22 00:39:14	will al green attend the 2026 state of the union address	No	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0x9dff10…
02-21 23:56:12	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0d59cd…
02-21 23:22:00	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x93f75f…
02-21 23:19:36	ufc phi1 jea2 2026 02 21	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x70ae25…
02-21 23:18:22	ufc ram2 pun 2026 02 21	Ramiz Brahimaj	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x5b8d83…
02-21 22:57:48	ufc phi1 jea2 2026 02 21	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x75cd75…
02-21 19:36:52	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	20¢	$3	0x83c940…
02-19 00:44:10	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0x853de0…
02-18 19:41:48	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	25	87¢	$22	0x7661fc…
02-18 19:33:42	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0xebc656…
02-18 18:14:02	us strikes iran by february 21 2026	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xa970b1…
02-18 18:05:48	us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	No	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xb1b715…
02-16 02:06:57	will russia capture all of pokrovsk by march 31	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x695b23…
02-15 21:16:49	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	SELL	20	51¢	$10	0xf1d805…
02-15 20:28:25	will bad bunny have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x74d1aa…
02-14 16:48:03	will israel strike lebanon on february 14 2026	No	BUY	14	86¢	$12	0x9f47ee…
02-14 16:39:45	will there be at least 1050 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026	No	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x7ab42d…
02-14 15:21:27	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xd96a17…
02-13 21:18:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0x480d0a…
02-13 18:25:31	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x772f2d…
02-13 16:43:25	will there be at least 1100 measles cases in the us by february 28 2026 285 136	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa26119…
02-13 16:26:51	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xb3e3cf…
02-13 16:18:55	will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	SELL	54	3¢	$2	0xf5e8a9…
02-13 00:12:53	will mrbeasts million dollar puzzle be solved by february 15	No	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x239b0b…
02-12 23:12:15	judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by friday	No	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x00e98b…
02-12 20:04:21	will austria win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	858	0¢	$1	0x667988…
02-12 17:42:55	judy shelton fed chair nomination odds 5 by friday	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x6dfff3…
02-12 06:47:15	will italy win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	54	2¢	$1	0x60dc3f…
02-12 06:31:47	us strike on somalia by february 14	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xc8d354…
02-12 06:28:11	will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xfb780d…
02-11 23:31:31	us x iran meeting by february 13 2026 452	No	BUY	40	95¢	$38	0xd51d6a…
02-11 19:02:25	will trump and netanyahu only be photographed together by february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0x3753c5…
02-11 18:58:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	12	7¢	$1	0x8fea38…
02-10 22:30:47	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	BUY	22	55¢	$12	0x1eee3e…
02-10 22:22:49	will claude 5 be released by march 31 2026 243 489 141 184	No	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x696ecf…
02-10 20:55:21	will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	No	SELL	25	52¢	$13	0xaa08bd…
02-10 18:47:01	will russia capture all of huliaipole by february 28	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x7c6b90…
02-10 00:47:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x000ad7…
02-09 20:04:53	next thai prime minister chosen by march 31	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xac40f1…
02-09 16:39:37	will bruno mars have the greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xdf3c6b…
02-09 16:17:47	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	BUY	19	78¢	$15	0xf05d2b…
02-09 03:17:29	Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	No	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x862f69…
02-09 00:45:43	will coinbase run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	14	2¢	$0	0x93ede0…
02-09 00:41:25	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	SELL	6	7¢	$0	0x577cef…
02-08 20:59:29	will apple run an ad during super bowl lx	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x48a184…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	91	$11.2M	15,860	06-01 06:36
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	89	$17.9K	3,379	05-20 15:30
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	85	$100.4K	8,697	05-31 10:36
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	84	$532.9K	9,742	05-30 08:42
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	84	$316.2K	24,817	05-04 10:45
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	82	$126.9K	12,563	03-28 08:35
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	78	$206.4K	19,177	04-08 17:06
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	75	$5.37K	3,079	05-23 22:57