Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.8%

Resolved

Trades

143

lifetime

Volume

$4.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 04-19 20:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

57% — —

Other

41% 50% +$7

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	9	$782	1,314	1,314	+0	open	—	04-08 19:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$640	362	362	+0	open	—	04-19 15:31
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	4	$420	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$20	04-07 21:46
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	3	$302	254	254	+0	open	—	04-13 10:31
Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	3	$242	664	20	+644	open	—	04-16 17:03
houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	6	$192	361	361	+0	open	—	03-28 17:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	2	$175	95	95	+0	open	—	04-05 22:43
will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	2	$166	125	114	+11	open	—	04-02 16:54
us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	3	$132	112	112	+0	open	—	04-09 21:51
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$85	72	72	+0	open	—	04-16 11:56
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	2	$81	97	97	+0	Yes	$-14	04-19 13:01
will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	4	$79	91	71	+20	open	—	03-14 16:52
Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	1	$75	95	0	+95	open	—	04-04 17:40
saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	1	$72	420	0	+420	open	—	04-19 20:32
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	2	$67	83	83	+0	open	—	04-12 20:53
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	3	$65	86	86	+0	open	—	04-13 12:00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	4	$65	148	148	+0	open	—	04-12 10:32
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	2	$58	47	47	+0	open	—	04-09 19:13
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$56	61	61	+0	open	—	03-21 20:21
military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	2	$51	173	173	+0	open	—	04-12 10:32
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	3	$50	58	30	+29	open	—	04-07 22:35
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	4	$48	98	98	+0	open	—	04-08 17:08
israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	2	$40	200	200	+0	open	—	04-13 10:46
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	3	$31	74	74	+0	open	—	03-24 12:12
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	2	$31	45	45	+0	open	—	04-12 10:41
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$30	71	0	+71	open	—	03-07 15:24
israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	2	$27	22	22	+0	open	—	03-19 20:55
Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	2	$22	26	26	+0	open	—	04-07 19:53
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 13	2	$22	83	83	+1	open	—	03-13 15:58
will iran strike jordan again in march	1	$15	44	0	+44	open	—	03-24 12:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-19 20:32:48	saudi arabia military action against yemen by april 30	Yes	BUY	420	17¢	$72	0xf05d47…
04-19 18:20:24	btc updown 5m 1776622500	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x0463e3…
04-19 18:19:04	btc updown 5m 1776622500	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x755ea9…
04-19 15:31:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	86¢	$38	0x97d4f6…
04-19 13:01:50	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	SELL	97	35¢	$34	0x6a1fc5…
04-19 12:54:28	Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?	Yes	BUY	97	49¢	$47	0xa85e97…
04-16 17:03:22	Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0x14ba64…
04-16 11:56:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	72	57¢	$41	0x20f9db…
04-16 11:20:42	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	72	60¢	$44	0x9a921c…
04-16 10:19:54	Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xa6c24d…
04-16 10:19:38	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	61	88¢	$54	0x897df9…
04-16 10:18:22	Israel military action on Damascus by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	635	36¢	$226	0xa70a18…
04-16 10:17:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	257	88¢	$226	0x4e2530…
04-14 15:24:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	362	89¢	$322	0x8de527…
04-13 12:00:27	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	SELL	86	38¢	$33	0x630b8f…
04-13 10:46:49	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	200	10¢	$20	0x45d324…
04-13 10:31:45	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	213	99¢	$211	0xa442ee…
04-13 10:29:33	israel military action against yemen by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x1cde2b…
04-13 10:28:45	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	99¢	$40	0xa56493…
04-12 20:53:59	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	83	45¢	$37	0x6fa08a…
04-12 13:08:29	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	59	38¢	$22	0x7d6b8d…
04-12 13:03:01	Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x40e9c9…
04-12 10:41:09	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	SELL	45	32¢	$14	0xdd939e…
04-12 10:32:25	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	102	17¢	$17	0x2fb6f4…
04-12 10:32:19	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	SELL	173	0¢	$1	0xa8c630…
04-12 09:22:23	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	45	36¢	$16	0x504d5b…
04-12 09:14:45	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	102	30¢	$30	0x797294…
04-12 09:12:01	will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	Yes	BUY	83	36¢	$30	0xdd7a69…
04-12 01:52:19	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	SELL	47	16¢	$7	0xbd0e7b…
04-12 01:50:49	Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?	No	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0xd5355b…
04-11 18:52:53	Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on April 9, 2026?	Yes	BUY	254	20¢	$50	0xba1180…
04-09 21:51:39	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	SELL	112	64¢	$72	0x5ae539…
04-09 19:13:09	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	47	60¢	$28	0x96fa83…
04-09 19:12:17	Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	47	62¢	$29	0x9562ad…
04-09 11:35:39	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x93c111…
04-08 23:05:03	military action against iran ends by april 15 2026 937	No	BUY	173	29¢	$50	0x492763…
04-08 19:19:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	340	26¢	$88	0xf9271b…
04-08 18:15:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	340	29¢	$100	0x6e084c…
04-08 17:08:31	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	49	36¢	$18	0xda265d…
04-08 15:40:57	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	SELL	49	21¢	$10	0x6b8554…
04-08 15:35:47	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	46	22¢	$10	0x14fc9c…
04-08 15:34:25	us x iran meeting by april 10 2026 895	No	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x378166…
04-08 14:05:25	Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?	No	BUY	52	19¢	$10	0x469e91…
04-08 13:51:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	440	32¢	$143	0x5d5e78…
04-07 22:35:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	34	45¢	$15	0x77d0bd…
04-07 22:35:45	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	51¢	$15	0x142f45…
04-07 22:04:19	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0xaf952a…
04-07 21:46:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	406	32¢	$130	0xfbc0a7…
04-07 21:46:23	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	450	23¢	$104	0xcbd8fe…
04-07 21:37:27	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	450	22¢	$100	0xc34e86…
04-07 21:36:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	534	27¢	$144	0x90557c…
04-07 21:09:11	Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	55¢	$16	0x1857f2…
04-07 21:02:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	324	31¢	$100	0x7d2eca…
04-07 21:02:37	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	551	21¢	$116	0x74d49c…
04-07 20:59:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	99	32¢	$32	0x6698fb…
04-07 20:25:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	111	27¢	$30	0x026ec8…
04-07 20:21:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	551	18¢	$100	0x134a9c…
04-07 19:53:41	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	Yes	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0x9f9a9c…
04-06 22:58:23	Will Iran strike Ras Tanura by April 30?	Yes	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xf01118…
04-06 10:36:31	will mrbeasts next video get between 47 and 50 million views on day 2 649	Yes	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb2ce0e…
04-05 22:43:13	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	95	100¢	$95	0x52820a…
04-05 22:11:11	will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2 796	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x6e7b5f…
04-05 22:11:03	will mrbeasts next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2 259	Yes	BUY	102	5¢	$5	0x35f56c…
04-05 12:26:45	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	SELL	18	20¢	$4	0x656c38…
04-05 12:24:41	Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0xc01c45…
04-05 12:24:25	Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	Yes	BUY	95	84¢	$80	0xa99e53…
04-04 17:40:31	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	79¢	$75	0xc30f0f…
04-04 16:53:55	btc updown 15m 1775321100	Up	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0x1d38fa…
04-02 16:54:39	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	SELL	114	67¢	$77	0xef2055…
03-28 20:08:20	will israel take military action in gaza on march 28 2026	Yes	BUY	125	71¢	$89	0x1e30de…
03-28 17:15:43	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	156	29¢	$45	0x66b0cc…
03-28 17:10:39	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	156	33¢	$51	0x130470…
03-24 12:12:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	19	0¢	$0	0x8bf1db…
03-24 12:10:43	will mrbeasts next video get between 65 and 68 million views on day 3	Yes	BUY	193	3¢	$5	0x419d73…
03-24 12:03:13	will iran strike jordan again in march	Yes	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x7da835…
03-21 20:21:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	61	43¢	$26	0x22ab0c…
03-19 21:00:47	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	205	22¢	$45	0x57449e…
03-19 20:59:53	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	61	49¢	$30	0x560295…
03-19 20:56:49	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xbb4011…
03-19 20:56:19	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x4cdd06…
03-19 20:55:23	israel strike on yemen by march 31 2026	No	SELL	22	75¢	$17	0x7f1721…
03-19 20:55:05	houthi strike on israel by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0xb275a9…
03-17 23:43:45	btc updown 15m 1773790200	Up	BUY	647	0¢	$1	0xe29ad8…
03-16 23:56:47	bitcoin up or down march 16 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7e5dcf…
03-16 18:29:55	btc updown 15m 1773684900	Up	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xe1739f…
03-16 18:28:53	btc updown 15m 1773684900	Up	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xf7dc46…
03-16 15:07:13	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0xc362f4…
03-14 16:52:07	will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xf23a52…
03-14 12:03:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0x1850d3…
03-14 00:39:31	will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	No	SELL	71	54¢	$38	0xeb0afe…
03-13 21:45:43	will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	No	BUY	54	41¢	$22	0x748045…
03-13 21:32:21	will khamenei tweet every day through march 20	No	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x63091f…
03-13 15:58:51	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 13	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0x098ec9…
03-13 15:55:27	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 13	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x89305e…
03-13 15:25:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x311ad3…
03-12 17:07:43	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on march 12	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x35dd1a…
03-12 16:44:11	btc updown 5m 1773333600	Up	SELL	11	12¢	$1	0xef8025…
03-12 16:43:47	btc updown 5m 1773333600	Up	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0x06acd6…
03-12 16:39:21	btc updown 5m 1773333300	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xe067ae…
03-12 16:37:31	btc updown 5m 1773333300	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xfe9710…