Outlying-Millet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$14

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.5%

Resolved

Trades

808

lifetime

Volume

$38.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$47

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 05-15 08:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 97% $-14

Other

0% — —

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 120 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	1	$200	223	+223	Up	+$23	05-06 09:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	1	$200	233	+233	open	—	05-04 09:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$200	364	+364	open	—	05-15 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	Up	+$6	05-11 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	1	$200	206	+206	Down	+$6	05-06 22:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	1	$200	313	+313	open	—	04-27 11:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	Down	+$6	05-12 10:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	1	$200	245	+245	Up	+$45	05-13 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	open	—	04-27 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	open	—	04-27 11:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	open	—	05-14 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	Up	+$6	05-08 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	1	$200	206	+206	open	—	05-14 10:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$200	212	+212	open	—	05-04 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	open	—	05-14 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-05 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$200	204	+204	Up	+$4	05-11 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	1	$200	213	+213	open	—	04-27 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	open	—	04-28 10:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-08 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-07 00:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	open	—	05-14 09:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-06 22:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Down	+$2	05-06 08:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$200	211	+211	Up	+$11	05-06 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	Up	+$2	05-11 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$200	202	+202	open	—	04-27 09:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$200	204	+204	open	—	04-28 10:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 08:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	181	99¢	$179	0x7fec24…
05-15 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	364	55¢	$200	0xa403cf…
05-14 10:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc936b9…
05-14 10:49:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x0f6a5d…
05-14 10:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x7b537f…
05-14 10:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x5f082b…
05-14 10:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x3038b2…
05-14 09:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xdbf4ca…
05-14 09:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x33dbe7…
05-14 09:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xdde2a4…
05-14 09:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x9bdd76…
05-14 09:14:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc227b7…
05-14 09:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x1f6bff…
05-14 08:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x59671c…
05-14 08:44:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	189	99¢	$187	0x57a43f…
05-14 08:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x9fe930…
05-14 08:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x60adeb…
05-14 08:09:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x446b02…
05-13 10:44:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd3b66d…
05-13 10:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x90804e…
05-13 09:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	208	96¢	$200	0x3d43b4…
05-13 09:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xda550e…
05-13 08:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x8926bb…
05-13 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x8b16c4…
05-13 08:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	245	82¢	$200	0xf640b7…
05-13 08:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf2ea5a…
05-12 10:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0x9635f6…
05-12 10:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x2bbf0a…
05-12 10:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x98a5a2…
05-12 10:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xc70dca…
05-12 09:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0xc3c76e…
05-12 09:24:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x7e2741…
05-12 09:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x554376…
05-12 09:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x91b2d2…
05-11 10:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x585641…
05-11 10:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	235	85¢	$200	0xe17590…
05-11 10:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4732de…
05-11 10:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x283e5d…
05-11 09:59:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x623c8c…
05-11 09:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x123ad4…
05-11 09:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	260	77¢	$200	0x711ae8…
05-11 09:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0x344580…
05-11 08:59:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x81ac30…
05-11 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xcaacac…
05-11 08:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x644082…
05-11 08:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x23c053…
05-11 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xc0b1ae…
05-08 10:54:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	205	98¢	$200	0x010702…
05-08 10:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xa8194f…
05-08 09:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0xa32b5c…
05-08 09:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x8a006c…
05-08 09:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x4b5444…
05-08 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x74a069…
05-07 23:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	183	100¢	$182	0x92cd9a…
05-07 23:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xee8567…
05-07 22:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x2ed9c0…
05-07 22:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xa665d5…
05-07 22:09:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	220	91¢	$200	0xa23993…
05-07 08:24:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	195	93¢	$182	0xed0d37…
05-07 08:19:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x176e44…
05-07 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x43c6ba…
05-07 08:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	215	93¢	$200	0x0af317…
05-07 00:54:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x9c7d11…
05-07 00:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xf8fbde…
05-07 00:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	185	99¢	$183	0xe49c76…
05-07 00:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xb630d7…
05-07 00:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x8e6c3e…
05-07 00:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xd8dfa2…
05-06 23:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x0f1013…
05-06 23:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x29ada2…
05-06 23:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x75d5fe…
05-06 23:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	182	99¢	$180	0x00d251…
05-06 22:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf11e82…
05-06 22:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x7e8557…
05-06 22:04:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf3c067…
05-06 21:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xa05960…
05-06 20:34:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xab0f8b…
05-06 19:09:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	206	97¢	$200	0x639a38…
05-06 10:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	213	94¢	$200	0xaa9e1a…
05-06 10:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	212	94¢	$200	0x249482…
05-06 10:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x7d247b…
05-06 10:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	210	95¢	$200	0xfb8aab…
05-06 09:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x5e7a89…
05-06 09:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xf6b3cd…
05-06 09:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb97d43…
05-06 09:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x854eea…
05-06 09:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	223	90¢	$200	0xdcde5d…
05-06 08:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0xdb7523…
05-06 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x81673a…
05-06 08:39:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0xd9b002…
05-06 08:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	162	100¢	$161	0xec9ed7…
05-05 10:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	197	96¢	$190	0x1b68a1…
05-05 10:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x912c26…
05-05 10:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x02df42…
05-05 10:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x7ff069…
05-05 09:19:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x07e0d4…
05-05 09:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x770d5e…
05-05 09:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x487076…
05-05 08:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	191	98¢	$187	0x22d23f…
05-05 08:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	204	98¢	$200	0x75138d…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	782	$283.5K	80,435	05-15 08:17
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	782	$265.7K	47,402	05-15 08:16
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	782	$231.9K	36,177	05-15 08:16
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	782	$211.2K	70,643	05-15 08:17
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	778	$453.6K	16,453	05-15 08:19
Good-Natured-Angora 0x6748…ee08	773	$64.1K	15,132	05-15 08:17
Altruistic-Trust 0xd9a0…dbca	771	$1.31K	3,453	05-15 08:17
Alive-Supermarket 0x927f…d215	770	$158.2K	6,422	05-15 08:15