Realized P&L
-$100
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
1
Trades
205
lifetime
Volume
$8.40K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$41
Open exposure
$95
4 positions
First seen
2026-04-08
last 06-11 02:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
57%
Other
34%
Crypto
7%
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 0% $-100
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
36 active days in 12wk • peak 75 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +130 $100 47¢ $61 $-39 06-11 02:43
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes +500 $33 $21 $-12 05-29 14:21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No -19 $-9 52¢ $-10 $-1 06-05 00:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -20 $-3 12¢ $-2 +$0 06-05 00:43